Princeton
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#144
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#87
Pace68.1#191
Improvement-0.9#216

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#79
First Shot+5.3#40
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#298
Layup/Dunks+4.3#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#8
Freethrows-2.6#336
Improvement-1.8#285

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#256
First Shot-3.8#298
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#75
Layups/Dunks-5.9#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#131
Freethrows+1.3#91
Improvement+0.9#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.7% 41.4% 19.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.7% 98.8% 91.2%
Conference Champion 38.9% 47.6% 25.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round32.7% 41.3% 19.7%
Second Round2.8% 3.7% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Away) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 34 - 35 - 6
Quad 412 - 117 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 113   South Carolina W 66-62 38%     1 - 0 +8.1 +1.1 +7.2
  Nov 14, 2021 91   Minnesota L 80-87 2OT 31%     1 - 1 -0.7 -5.9 +6.6
  Nov 17, 2021 177   Marist W 80-61 66%     2 - 1 +15.9 +13.8 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2021 124   @ Oregon St. W 81-80 34%     3 - 1 +6.4 +15.9 -9.4
  Nov 24, 2021 137   @ Monmouth L 64-76 38%     3 - 2 -7.9 -3.1 -5.4
  Nov 28, 2021 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 89-79 92%     4 - 2 -4.7 +7.7 -12.5
  Dec 01, 2021 132   @ Hofstra L 77-81 36%     4 - 3 +0.7 +1.5 -0.7
  Dec 04, 2021 158   Drexel W 81-79 OT 62%     5 - 3 -0.2 -2.4 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2021 331   Bucknell W 82-69 91%     6 - 3 -0.7 +3.5 -3.8
  Dec 11, 2021 307   @ Lafayette W 84-73 75%     7 - 3 +5.2 +10.7 -5.1
  Dec 13, 2021 254   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-77 79%     8 - 3 +4.6 +9.2 -5.0
  Jan 07, 2022 337   Columbia W 84-69 92%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +0.8 -4.3 +3.7
  Jan 08, 2022 229   Cornell W 72-70 75%     10 - 3 2 - 0 -3.9 -2.2 -1.6
  Jan 15, 2022 181   Brown W 76-74 66%     11 - 3 3 - 0 -1.3 +7.4 -8.5
  Jan 17, 2022 211   Penn W 74-64 71%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +5.2 -0.3 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2022 243   @ Dartmouth W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 29, 2022 134   Yale W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 04, 2022 229   @ Cornell W 80-78 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 337   @ Columbia W 80-70 82%    
  Feb 12, 2022 243   Dartmouth W 71-63 79%    
  Feb 18, 2022 181   @ Brown L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 134   @ Yale L 73-76 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 179   Harvard W 75-71 67%    
  Mar 05, 2022 211   @ Penn W 75-74 51%    
Projected Record 17 - 7 9 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 4.8 12.4 12.7 7.0 1.6 38.9 1st
2nd 0.3 6.7 15.2 10.1 2.4 0.2 34.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.2 8.3 2.8 0.1 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 1.6 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 1.2 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.2 9.4 16.9 22.9 22.7 15.1 7.2 1.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 1.6    1.6
12-2 97.8% 7.0    6.5 0.5
11-3 84.2% 12.7    9.7 3.0 0.0
10-4 54.8% 12.4    5.9 5.7 0.7 0.0
9-5 20.9% 4.8    0.6 2.1 1.7 0.4
8-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 38.9% 38.9 24.4 11.4 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 1.6% 100.0% 100.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0
12-2 7.2% 97.5% 97.5% 13.6 0.1 2.7 3.6 0.5 0.2
11-3 15.1% 81.0% 81.0% 14.1 0.0 2.1 7.2 2.8 0.0 2.9
10-4 22.7% 43.8% 43.8% 14.4 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.1 0.2 12.8
9-5 22.9% 8.2% 8.2% 14.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.1 21.0
8-6 16.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 16.9
7-7 9.4% 9.4
6-8 3.2% 3.2
5-9 0.9% 0.9
4-10 0.1% 0.1
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 32.7% 32.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.5 16.6 8.7 0.3 67.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 13.0 0.6 1.6 20.6 54.1 22.0 1.1
Lose Out 0.1%