Army
Patriot League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#266
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#225
Pace71.9#91
Improvement-1.5#244

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#264
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#226
Layup/Dunks+1.9#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#268
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-0.2#186

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#239
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#245
Layups/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#257
Freethrows+1.8#66
Improvement-1.3#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 8.5% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 61.7% 83.3% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 88.3% 97.0% 86.2%
Conference Champion 7.3% 20.6% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.1% 3.4% 3.1%
First Round3.9% 6.8% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 18.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 414 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 10   @ Duke L 56-82 2%     0 - 1 -6.4 -14.4 +10.6
  Nov 13, 2021 278   Hartford W 86-79 54%     1 - 1 +0.3 +5.8 -5.7
  Nov 17, 2021 289   Merrimack W 74-51 67%     2 - 1 +13.0 -2.6 +15.0
  Nov 20, 2021 226   @ La Salle L 58-61 32%     2 - 2 -3.6 -11.8 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2021 177   Marist W 65-61 41%     3 - 2 +0.9 -2.6 +3.8
  Nov 30, 2021 246   Siena L 67-83 56%     3 - 3 -23.1 -9.6 -12.9
  Dec 04, 2021 244   @ Air Force L 58-76 37%     3 - 4 -20.0 -15.1 -4.3
  Dec 10, 2021 305   @ NJIT W 66-49 51%     4 - 4 +11.2 -3.8 +16.0
  Dec 19, 2021 235   @ LIU Brooklyn L 65-90 35%     4 - 5 -26.5 -12.7 -11.9
  Dec 22, 2021 113   @ South Carolina L 75-105 13%     4 - 6 -23.4 +1.0 -21.2
  Jan 01, 2022 259   Loyola Maryland W 77-74 OT 58%     5 - 6 1 - 0 -4.6 -6.9 +2.0
  Jan 04, 2022 331   @ Bucknell W 96-89 62%     6 - 6 2 - 0 -1.7 +15.4 -17.2
  Jan 07, 2022 294   Lehigh W 77-55 68%     7 - 6 3 - 0 +11.7 +1.8 +10.5
  Jan 10, 2022 129   @ Colgate L 57-76 16%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -14.0 -12.6 -2.4
  Jan 13, 2022 198   Boston University W 73-63 44%     8 - 7 4 - 1 +5.9 -0.1 +6.4
  Jan 16, 2022 307   @ Lafayette L 54-68 51%     8 - 8 4 - 2 -19.8 -17.5 -3.6
  Jan 19, 2022 330   American W 76-66 78%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -3.7 -4.7 +0.9
  Jan 22, 2022 148   @ Navy L 63-72 19%    
  Jan 26, 2022 294   @ Lehigh L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 307   Lafayette W 73-68 71%    
  Feb 02, 2022 259   @ Loyola Maryland L 68-71 37%    
  Feb 05, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 09, 2022 198   @ Boston University L 65-71 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 148   Navy L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 16, 2022 129   Colgate L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 330   @ American W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 23, 2022 331   Bucknell W 78-70 79%    
  Feb 26, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 74-69 66%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.6 0.7 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.2 5.0 0.8 0.0 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 9.8 8.4 1.1 0.0 21.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 8.7 8.8 1.3 0.0 20.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 7.5 8.5 1.8 0.0 19.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 5.7 1.6 0.1 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.8 8.2 15.4 21.1 21.7 16.8 9.1 3.4 0.7 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 99.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 76.5% 2.6    1.4 1.0 0.2
13-5 33.0% 3.0    0.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.5% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 2.9 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 23.3% 23.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.7% 18.2% 18.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 3.4% 13.9% 13.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.9
13-5 9.1% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.2
12-6 16.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.9 0.1 1.2 15.5
11-7 21.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 20.5
10-8 21.1% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 20.1
9-9 15.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 15.0
8-10 8.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 8.0
7-11 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
6-12 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.8 94.4 0.0%