Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.3#347
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#350
Pace69.5#148
Improvement-0.6#214

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#345
First Shot-7.4#346
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#219
Layup/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#328
Freethrows-2.9#341
Improvement-0.5#214

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#339
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#343
Layups/Dunks+3.7#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#291
Freethrows-3.9#353
Improvement+0.0#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 30 - 10 - 9
Quad 46 - 136 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 54-105 1%     0 - 1 -31.9 -8.6 -25.2
  Nov 09, 2023 33   @ Nebraska L 54-81 1%     0 - 2 -12.5 -15.9 +5.5
  Nov 14, 2023 25   @ Florida L 68-89 1%     0 - 3 -5.2 -0.7 -4.2
  Nov 20, 2023 56   Oregon L 54-67 4%     0 - 4 -6.5 -10.4 +2.5
  Dec 06, 2023 279   @ Presbyterian W 65-60 17%     1 - 4 +1.8 -9.4 +11.2
  Dec 16, 2023 45   Iowa L 52-88 2%     1 - 5 -25.3 -25.3 +3.7
  Dec 17, 2023 13   @ Iowa St. L 58-96 1%     1 - 6 -19.2 -2.8 -16.4
  Dec 21, 2023 58   @ Central Florida L 56-69 2%     1 - 7 -1.2 -5.9 +4.4
  Dec 30, 2023 53   @ South Carolina L 62-94 2%     1 - 8 -19.5 -3.0 -17.2
  Jan 06, 2024 322   @ Bethune-Cookman L 86-98 27%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -18.9 +0.0 -17.5
  Jan 13, 2024 263   Southern L 65-74 30%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -16.9 -3.6 -14.0
  Jan 15, 2024 287   Grambling St. L 52-65 36%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -22.5 -14.8 -9.8
  Jan 20, 2024 339   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 97-99 36%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -11.7 +12.4 -24.0
  Jan 22, 2024 362   @ Mississippi Valley W 81-70 72%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -8.3 +1.9 -10.3
  Jan 27, 2024 298   Alcorn St. L 67-76 38%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -19.2 -7.0 -13.0
  Jan 29, 2024 301   Jackson St. W 88-86 39%     3 - 13 2 - 5 -8.3 +6.5 -14.9
  Feb 03, 2024 340   @ Alabama A&M L 61-73 37%     3 - 14 2 - 6 -21.9 -14.6 -7.1
  Feb 05, 2024 324   @ Alabama St. L 53-62 27%     3 - 15 2 - 7 -16.0 -17.0 +0.7
  Feb 10, 2024 281   Texas Southern L 75-78 OT 33%     3 - 16 2 - 8 -11.7 -7.1 -4.2
  Feb 12, 2024 338   Prairie View L 58-61 57%     3 - 17 2 - 9 -18.0 -18.3 +0.2
  Feb 17, 2024 301   @ Jackson St. L 55-77 21%     3 - 18 2 - 10 -26.9 -19.3 -7.5
  Feb 19, 2024 298   @ Alcorn St. L 68-79 21%     3 - 19 2 - 11 -15.7 -7.8 -8.2
  Feb 24, 2024 324   Alabama St. W 73-65 47%     4 - 19 3 - 11 -4.4 -2.8 -1.7
  Feb 26, 2024 340   Alabama A&M W 76-58 58%     5 - 19 4 - 11 +2.7 -4.0 +6.0
  Mar 02, 2024 287   @ Grambling St. L 62-71 18%    
  Mar 04, 2024 263   @ Southern L 64-75 15%    
  Mar 09, 2024 322   Bethune-Cookman L 72-73 48%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.5 0.5 9th
10th 12.4 10.5 1.0 23.9 10th
11th 37.1 34.1 4.3 0.0 75.5 11th
12th 12th
Total 37.1 46.5 14.8 1.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
6-12 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.7
5-13 46.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.2 46.3
4-14 37.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 37.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 2.2% 16.0 2.2
Lose Out 37.1% 0.2% 16.0 0.2