Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-22.0#362
Expected Predictive Rating-25.7#362
Pace63.4#319
Improvement+1.9#98

Offense
Total Offense-14.8#362
First Shot-12.3#362
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#325
Layup/Dunks-2.3#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.0#356
Freethrows-4.7#360
Improvement+0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#355
First Shot-5.2#335
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#325
Layups/Dunks-2.9#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#327
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+1.9#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 11.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 30 - 20 - 12
Quad 41 - 171 - 30


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 80   @ LSU L 60-106 1%     0 - 1 -36.2 -11.3 -22.1
  Nov 10, 2023 35   @ Oklahoma L 43-82 0.3%    0 - 2 -24.6 -17.4 -10.8
  Nov 14, 2023 1   @ Connecticut L 53-87 0.1%    0 - 3 -10.5 -8.4 -3.6
  Nov 17, 2023 24   @ TCU L 52-86 0.3%    0 - 4 -18.2 -13.2 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2023 113   @ Santa Clara L 39-81 1%     0 - 5 -35.4 -26.8 -12.9
  Nov 24, 2023 236   @ Cal St. Northridge L 48-84 4%     0 - 6 -37.0 -25.6 -9.9
  Nov 26, 2023 342   @ Pacific L 65-68 OT 13%     0 - 7 -13.0 -18.1 +5.3
  Dec 02, 2023 87   @ North Texas L 48-79 1%     0 - 8 -21.8 -8.3 -19.6
  Dec 05, 2023 118   @ Liberty L 39-74 1%     0 - 9 -28.8 -22.7 -14.1
  Dec 11, 2023 16   @ Gonzaga L 40-78 0.2%    0 - 10 -20.1 -23.1 -0.3
  Dec 19, 2023 195   @ Tulsa L 50-79 3%     0 - 11 -28.4 -16.1 -15.1
  Dec 22, 2023 15   @ Baylor L 48-107 0.2%    0 - 12 -41.0 -16.8 -27.0
  Dec 30, 2023 69   @ San Francisco L 42-92 1%     0 - 13 -39.3 -17.3 -31.0
  Jan 06, 2024 324   Alabama St. L 51-54 18%     0 - 14 0 - 1 -15.4 -16.4 +0.6
  Jan 08, 2024 340   Alabama A&M L 70-78 26%     0 - 15 0 - 2 -23.3 -3.3 -20.5
  Jan 13, 2024 338   @ Prairie View L 60-71 13%     0 - 16 0 - 3 -20.6 -16.4 -4.1
  Jan 15, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern L 61-93 5%     0 - 17 0 - 4 -35.3 -7.2 -29.7
  Jan 20, 2024 322   Bethune-Cookman L 64-80 18%     0 - 18 0 - 5 -28.3 -19.2 -8.1
  Jan 22, 2024 347   Florida A&M L 70-81 28%     0 - 19 0 - 6 -27.0 -9.8 -17.1
  Jan 27, 2024 287   @ Grambling St. L 46-54 6%     0 - 20 0 - 7 -12.0 -25.7 +13.6
  Jan 29, 2024 263   @ Southern L 54-78 5%     0 - 21 0 - 8 -26.4 -13.7 -14.2
  Feb 03, 2024 339   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-83 26%     0 - 22 0 - 9 -21.1 -6.3 -14.7
  Feb 10, 2024 301   Jackson St. L 69-77 14%     0 - 23 0 - 10 -18.3 -3.3 -15.6
  Feb 12, 2024 298   Alcorn St. L 55-72 14%     0 - 24 0 - 11 -27.2 -18.7 -10.5
  Feb 17, 2024 340   @ Alabama A&M L 57-80 13%     0 - 25 0 - 12 -32.9 -14.5 -19.6
  Feb 19, 2024 324   @ Alabama St. L 46-61 9%     0 - 26 0 - 13 -22.0 -21.8 -1.4
  Feb 24, 2024 281   Texas Southern L 52-73 11%     0 - 27 0 - 14 -29.7 -20.5 -9.7
  Feb 26, 2024 338   Prairie View W 57-51 25%     1 - 27 1 - 14 -9.0 -16.9 +8.3
  Mar 02, 2024 339   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 65-77 12%    
  Mar 07, 2024 298   @ Alcorn St. L 59-76 5%    
  Mar 09, 2024 301   @ Jackson St. L 58-75 5%    
Projected Record 1 - 30 1 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 84.0 15.3 0.7 100.0 12th
Total 84.0 15.3 0.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 15.3% 15.3
1-17 84.0% 84.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 80.0%