Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#301
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#278
Pace71.7#91
Improvement-0.8#224

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#297
First Shot-6.8#340
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#64
Layup/Dunks-6.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#237
Freethrows-2.0#305
Improvement-1.8#283

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#258
First Shot-1.8#238
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#266
Layups/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#352
Freethrows-0.7#238
Improvement+1.0#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 13.2% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 14.7% 44.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.6% 100.0% 99.4%
Conference Champion 0.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.0% 9.8% 8.7%
First Round5.2% 7.2% 4.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 33.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 12 - 4
Quad 30 - 42 - 8
Quad 413 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 68   @ Memphis L 77-94 5%     0 - 1 -6.1 -2.7 -0.8
  Nov 08, 2023 257   @ San Diego L 61-87 30%     0 - 2 -28.0 -15.0 -11.9
  Nov 10, 2023 186   @ California Baptist L 66-80 20%     0 - 3 -12.8 -0.1 -13.8
  Nov 14, 2023 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-88 16%     0 - 4 -18.9 -10.1 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2023 195   @ Tulsa L 52-72 22%     0 - 5 -19.4 -22.4 +4.3
  Nov 19, 2023 129   @ Missouri W 73-72 12%     1 - 5 +6.3 +0.4 +5.9
  Nov 25, 2023 175   @ Georgetown L 81-88 18%     1 - 6 -4.9 +9.9 -15.2
  Nov 28, 2023 142   @ Arkansas St. W 75-71 14%     2 - 6 +8.2 +2.6 +5.7
  Dec 09, 2023 3   @ Houston L 55-89 1%     2 - 7 -10.7 -3.7 -7.3
  Dec 16, 2023 285   Howard W 81-74 45%     3 - 7 +0.6 -0.6 +0.9
  Dec 17, 2023 346   N.C. A&T W 68-60 70%     4 - 7 -5.0 -9.2 +4.4
  Dec 20, 2023 16   @ Gonzaga L 76-100 2%     4 - 8 -6.1 +2.1 -5.9
  Dec 29, 2023 38   @ Northwestern L 63-74 3%     4 - 9 +3.0 -2.0 +4.6
  Jan 06, 2024 298   Alcorn St. W 88-80 60%     5 - 9 1 - 0 -2.2 +7.9 -10.0
  Jan 11, 2024 324   @ Alabama St. W 73-63 48%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +3.0 -2.5 +5.1
  Jan 13, 2024 340   @ Alabama A&M W 75-67 59%     7 - 9 3 - 0 -1.9 +2.9 -4.5
  Jan 20, 2024 338   Prairie View L 62-71 76%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -24.0 -15.9 -8.2
  Jan 22, 2024 281   Texas Southern W 73-64 54%     8 - 10 4 - 1 +0.3 -5.1 +4.9
  Jan 27, 2024 322   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-82 47%     8 - 11 4 - 2 -17.9 -11.3 -5.7
  Jan 29, 2024 347   @ Florida A&M L 86-88 61%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -12.6 +4.8 -17.2
  Feb 03, 2024 287   Grambling St. L 62-70 47%     8 - 13 4 - 4 -14.7 -2.6 -13.4
  Feb 05, 2024 263   Southern L 63-72 51%     8 - 14 4 - 5 -16.9 -15.4 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2024 362   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-69 86%     9 - 14 5 - 5 -11.3 +3.6 -14.3
  Feb 12, 2024 339   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-63 58%     10 - 14 6 - 5 +3.3 -1.7 +5.2
  Feb 17, 2024 347   Florida A&M W 77-55 79%     11 - 14 7 - 5 +6.0 -2.6 +8.6
  Feb 19, 2024 322   Bethune-Cookman W 61-60 68%     12 - 14 8 - 5 -11.3 -10.1 -1.1
  Feb 24, 2024 298   @ Alcorn St. L 73-87 OT 39%     12 - 15 8 - 6 -18.7 -7.7 -10.4
  Mar 02, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern L 68-72 33%    
  Mar 04, 2024 338   @ Prairie View W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 07, 2024 339   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-74 77%    
  Mar 09, 2024 362   Mississippi Valley W 75-58 95%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 0.7 1st
2nd 0.5 5.5 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 7.9 8.5 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 10.6 29.2 39.8 4th
5th 1.7 18.3 4.1 24.0 5th
6th 0.0 5.1 5.5 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 1.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 0.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.4 8.7 34.4 41.8 14.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 4.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.7% 16.0% 16.0% 15.9 0.2 2.2 12.3
11-7 41.8% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.1 4.8 36.9
10-8 34.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 2.9 31.5
9-9 8.7% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.5 8.2
8-10 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 10.5 89.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.7% 16.0% 15.9 1.1 14.9
Lose Out 0.4% 4.2% 16.0 4.2