Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#75
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#231
Pace68.5#203
Improvement+1.5#55

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#133
First Shot-0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#103
Layup/Dunks+0.5#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#54
Freethrows-2.4#307
Improvement+1.9#22

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#38
First Shot+4.0#71
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#87
Layups/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#94
Freethrows+0.6#154
Improvement-0.4#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 1.8% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 14.2% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.8% 12.6% 4.3%
Average Seed 9.4 8.9 9.9
.500 or above 29.6% 46.8% 22.2%
.500 or above in Conference 13.7% 19.6% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 24.2% 18.5% 26.6%
First Four1.6% 2.2% 1.3%
First Round7.5% 13.0% 5.2%
Second Round3.3% 6.2% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 33 - 11
Quad 22 - 35 - 13
Quad 33 - 38 - 16
Quad 46 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 151   Abilene Christian L 59-64 81%     0 - 1 -7.3 -14.6 +7.3
  Nov 12, 2023 133   Sam Houston St. W 85-70 77%     1 - 1 +14.1 +15.3 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2023 109   St. Bonaventure L 64-66 61%     1 - 2 +2.0 +0.6 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2023 156   Notre Dame L 64-66 OT 73%     1 - 3 -1.5 -8.5 +7.0
  Nov 20, 2023 287   New Orleans W 96-68 93%     2 - 3 +18.4 +15.0 +2.5
  Nov 24, 2023 358   Houston Christian W 92-65 98%     3 - 3 +9.0 -1.6 +7.9
  Nov 30, 2023 15   Creighton L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 05, 2023 119   @ Southern Illinois W 65-64 53%    
  Dec 10, 2023 190   Tulsa W 72-64 78%    
  Dec 17, 2023 174   Oral Roberts W 79-69 83%    
  Dec 20, 2023 266   Wofford W 81-65 92%    
  Dec 31, 2023 348   South Carolina St. W 87-64 98%    
  Jan 03, 2024 342   Chicago St. W 79-57 98%    
  Jan 06, 2024 13   Baylor L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 09, 2024 51   @ Texas Tech L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 13, 2024 33   @ Iowa St. L 62-70 22%    
  Jan 16, 2024 4   Kansas L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 20, 2024 44   @ Kansas St. L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 23, 2024 23   TCU L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 27, 2024 102   West Virginia W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 30, 2024 4   @ Kansas L 64-79 9%    
  Feb 03, 2024 44   Kansas St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 06, 2024 3   @ Houston L 57-72 8%    
  Feb 10, 2024 24   @ Oklahoma L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 17, 2024 11   BYU L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 21, 2024 36   @ Cincinnati L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 24, 2024 24   Oklahoma L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 28, 2024 83   Central Florida W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 02, 2024 30   @ Texas L 67-76 22%    
  Mar 05, 2024 51   Texas Tech L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 09, 2024 11   @ BYU L 66-78 15%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.1 3.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.8 0.3 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.8 0.9 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.6 7.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 15.9 12th
13th 0.3 1.8 5.6 6.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 18.4 13th
14th 0.7 2.6 4.9 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.9 14th
Total 0.7 2.9 6.8 11.2 13.9 15.5 14.0 12.3 8.9 6.2 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 89.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 45.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 97.3% 6.4% 90.9% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.2%
12-6 1.1% 92.3% 4.1% 88.2% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 92.0%
11-7 2.0% 83.4% 5.0% 78.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 82.5%
10-8 3.5% 50.5% 4.6% 45.9% 9.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 48.1%
9-9 6.2% 25.0% 2.8% 22.1% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 22.8%
8-10 8.9% 6.1% 2.3% 3.8% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 3.9%
7-11 12.3% 2.3% 2.1% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.0 0.1%
6-12 14.0% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.9
5-13 15.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.1 0.1 15.3
4-14 13.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.8
3-15 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.1
2-16 6.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.8
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
Total 100% 8.3% 1.6% 6.7% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 91.7 6.8%