Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#221
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#203
Pace61.7#341
Improvement+2.6#68

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#132
First Shot+3.1#92
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#283
Layup/Dunks-6.1#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows-2.2#322
Improvement+8.8#1

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#319
First Shot-2.9#276
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#308
Layups/Dunks+2.7#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
Freethrows-3.0#337
Improvement-6.2#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.7% n/a n/a
First Round7.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 410 - 414 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 107   @ George Mason L 45-67 17%     0 - 1 -14.9 -19.7 +2.3
  Nov 17, 2023 188   @ UTEP L 63-71 34%     0 - 2 -7.0 -6.0 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2023 130   Tarleton St. L 59-66 29%     0 - 3 -4.5 -5.2 -0.2
  Nov 22, 2023 320   Sacramento St. W 74-71 73%     1 - 3 -6.5 -2.8 -3.7
  Nov 26, 2023 82   @ Appalachian St. L 58-78 12%     1 - 4 -10.3 -4.2 -7.2
  Nov 29, 2023 139   Morehead St. L 50-61 41%     1 - 5 -11.9 -16.0 +2.4
  Dec 02, 2023 296   @ Tennessee St. L 65-69 56%     1 - 6 -8.5 -6.8 -1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 150   Murray St. W 53-49 45%     2 - 6 +2.3 -9.7 +12.9
  Dec 12, 2023 120   @ Southern Illinois W 70-68 19%     3 - 6 +8.0 +10.0 -1.7
  Dec 16, 2023 140   @ Western Kentucky L 64-65 24%     3 - 7 +3.4 -0.7 +4.0
  Dec 22, 2023 152   Ohio W 71-67 46%     4 - 7 +2.0 +5.1 -2.5
  Dec 30, 2023 68   @ Memphis L 70-81 10%     4 - 8 -0.1 -1.3 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2024 309   @ Bellarmine W 84-68 59%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +10.5 +12.8 -1.4
  Jan 06, 2024 189   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-69 34%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -9.0 -10.1 +0.2
  Jan 13, 2024 160   @ Lipscomb L 77-91 28%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -11.1 +0.3 -11.2
  Jan 18, 2024 247   North Alabama W 83-80 OT 65%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -4.1 -4.1 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 94-71 86%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +8.4 +17.0 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2024 205   @ Stetson L 82-83 37%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -0.8 +11.3 -12.1
  Jan 27, 2024 210   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-73 38%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -6.0 +0.2 -6.8
  Jan 31, 2024 284   @ Jacksonville L 43-63 52%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -23.7 -16.7 -12.9
  Feb 03, 2024 241   North Florida W 95-91 2OT 63%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -2.7 +15.1 -17.8
  Feb 08, 2024 255   Kennesaw St. W 85-69 66%     9 - 13 5 - 5 +8.6 +9.9 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2024 259   Queens W 79-76 67%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -4.7 +12.6 -16.8
  Feb 15, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 77-67 72%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +0.9 +1.0 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2024 247   @ North Alabama W 87-79 44%     12 - 13 8 - 5 +6.4 +19.5 -12.3
  Feb 24, 2024 160   Lipscomb L 85-90 48%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -7.5 +5.6 -13.1
  Feb 28, 2024 189   Eastern Kentucky W 83-79 55%     13 - 14 9 - 6 -0.4 +11.6 -11.7
  Mar 01, 2024 309   Bellarmine W 90-87 OT 77%     14 - 14 10 - 6 -8.0 +7.2 -15.3
  Mar 05, 2024 241   North Florida W 75-71 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.0 1.0 8.2 90.8
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 1.0 8.2 90.8 0.0%