Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#210
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#259
Pace62.1#338
Improvement+4.2#33

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#207
First Shot-2.5#251
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#79
Layup/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#157
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+0.1#175

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#225
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#246
Layups/Dunks+2.2#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#319
Freethrows+0.6#149
Improvement+4.0#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.1% n/a n/a
First Round6.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 10
Quad 49 - 711 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 96   @ Indiana L 63-69 14%     0 - 1 +2.7 +0.4 +1.7
  Nov 13, 2023 49   @ Pittsburgh L 74-86 8%     0 - 2 +0.7 +8.0 -7.4
  Nov 17, 2023 163   Missouri St. L 61-70 39%     0 - 3 -8.9 -3.8 -6.3
  Nov 18, 2023 333   Hampton L 85-92 79%     0 - 4 -18.4 +3.0 -21.0
  Nov 20, 2023 248   Norfolk St. L 66-69 56%     0 - 5 -7.3 +1.6 -9.4
  Nov 25, 2023 126   UNC Wilmington L 55-71 39%     0 - 6 -15.9 -14.6 -3.2
  Nov 29, 2023 272   @ Florida International W 68-65 50%     1 - 6 +0.2 -4.9 +5.1
  Dec 03, 2023 43   @ Cincinnati L 62-99 7%     1 - 7 -23.5 -2.3 -21.6
  Dec 09, 2023 62   @ Minnesota L 57-77 10%     1 - 8 -8.4 -6.4 -4.0
  Dec 16, 2023 230   @ Mercer L 65-70 42%     1 - 9 -5.6 +3.4 -9.9
  Dec 19, 2023 268   Georgia Southern W 53-42 60%     2 - 9 +5.6 -18.7 +25.6
  Dec 30, 2023 34   Florida Atlantic W 72-68 14%     3 - 9 +13.0 +6.1 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2024 284   Jacksonville W 80-70 73%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +0.9 +5.9 -4.9
  Jan 06, 2024 241   North Florida L 58-78 65%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -26.7 -8.2 -22.6
  Jan 10, 2024 259   @ Queens L 75-78 48%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -5.2 -5.3 +0.2
  Jan 12, 2024 255   @ Kennesaw St. L 75-78 47%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -5.0 -3.4 -1.4
  Jan 20, 2024 205   Stetson W 80-56 60%     5 - 12 2 - 3 +18.8 +10.2 +11.3
  Jan 25, 2024 160   Lipscomb L 72-98 49%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -28.5 +1.6 -33.0
  Jan 27, 2024 221   Austin Peay W 73-67 62%     6 - 13 3 - 4 +0.2 +1.2 -0.5
  Feb 01, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 82-59 73%     7 - 13 4 - 4 +13.9 +9.0 +6.1
  Feb 03, 2024 247   @ North Alabama L 69-70 46%     7 - 14 4 - 5 -2.6 +0.1 -2.9
  Feb 07, 2024 189   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-90 36%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -7.0 +13.3 -20.8
  Feb 10, 2024 309   Bellarmine W 63-52 78%     8 - 15 5 - 6 +0.0 -8.7 +10.0
  Feb 17, 2024 205   @ Stetson L 60-61 39%     8 - 16 5 - 7 -0.8 -9.4 +8.5
  Feb 22, 2024 255   Kennesaw St. L 67-74 68%     8 - 17 5 - 8 -14.4 -13.5 -0.6
  Feb 24, 2024 259   Queens W 90-81 68%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +1.3 +10.2 -9.0
  Feb 28, 2024 241   @ North Florida W 79-60 44%     10 - 17 7 - 8 +17.8 +11.5 +8.2
  Mar 01, 2024 284   @ Jacksonville W 59-57 54%     11 - 17 8 - 8 -1.7 -3.2 +1.9
  Mar 04, 2024 259   Queens W 78-73 68%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4 89.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4 89.6 0.0%