Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#224
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#215
Pace86.9#2
Improvement+0.4#141

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#194
First Shot-3.8#283
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#37
Layup/Dunks-2.8#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#174
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement+0.8#102

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-1.9#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#209
Layups/Dunks-1.1#228
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#45
Freethrows-3.8#337
Improvement-0.4#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 10.4% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 49.3% 60.1% 35.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.3% 72.6% 60.7%
Conference Champion 12.1% 14.5% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.9% 5.2%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.2%
First Round7.8% 9.4% 5.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 66   @ Florida St. L 67-94 10%     0 - 1 -15.9 -12.2 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2023 318   Georgia Southern W 96-92 70%     1 - 1 -4.5 +4.8 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2023 223   Northeastern W 79-77 50%     2 - 1 -1.0 -4.7 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2023 208   @ East Carolina L 84-85 36%     2 - 2 -0.2 +2.0 -2.2
  Nov 26, 2023 218   @ Florida International L 84-91 37%     2 - 3 -6.7 +2.4 -8.4
  Dec 02, 2023 186   Georgia St. W 81-80 56%    
  Dec 05, 2023 214   UNC Asheville W 83-81 60%    
  Dec 09, 2023 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 81-80 52%    
  Dec 16, 2023 297   @ Presbyterian W 81-80 54%    
  Dec 23, 2023 214   @ UNC Asheville L 80-84 38%    
  Dec 29, 2023 68   @ Indiana L 74-88 10%    
  Jan 06, 2024 267   Queens W 86-80 70%    
  Jan 10, 2024 162   Stetson L 80-81 50%    
  Jan 12, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 18, 2024 298   @ North Florida W 84-83 55%    
  Jan 20, 2024 251   @ Jacksonville L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 24, 2024 242   North Alabama W 85-81 64%    
  Jan 27, 2024 341   @ Central Arkansas W 86-80 71%    
  Feb 01, 2024 210   Bellarmine W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 03, 2024 219   Eastern Kentucky W 87-84 60%    
  Feb 08, 2024 260   @ Austin Peay L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 10, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 83-89 30%    
  Feb 14, 2024 251   Jacksonville W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 16, 2024 298   North Florida W 87-80 74%    
  Feb 22, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 24, 2024 162   @ Stetson L 77-83 30%    
  Mar 01, 2024 267   @ Queens L 83-84 48%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 3.3 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.2 12.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 4.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.4 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 5.4 1.2 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 6.0 2.0 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.1 0.2 8.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 3.8 0.6 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.8 1.0 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.6 1.2 0.1 5.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.1 0.1 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.6 6.0 8.8 11.5 13.9 13.8 13.1 10.7 7.5 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 94.4% 2.2    1.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 76.6% 3.7    2.3 1.2 0.2
12-4 44.0% 3.3    1.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 15.0% 1.6    0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 6.4 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 64.2% 64.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 38.1% 38.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 2.3% 32.7% 32.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-3 4.8% 23.5% 23.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.7
12-4 7.5% 20.1% 20.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 6.0
11-5 10.7% 13.9% 13.9% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 9.3
10-6 13.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 11.8
9-7 13.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 13.0
8-8 13.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 13.3
7-9 11.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.2
6-10 8.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 8.7
5-11 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.0
4-12 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-13 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.8 3.2 91.2 0.0%