Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#250
Pace65.1#282
Improvement-1.3#243

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#204
First Shot-2.5#253
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#76
Layup/Dunks+3.8#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#326
Freethrows+0.9#107
Improvement-4.9#353

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#266
First Shot-4.1#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#91
Layups/Dunks-5.6#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
Freethrows+0.8#128
Improvement+3.6#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.4% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% 2.2% 1.7%
First Round1.1% 1.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 103 - 13
Quad 49 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 295   Boston University W 67-58 72%     1 - 0 -1.0 -5.6 +5.0
  Nov 11, 2023 193   @ La Salle L 74-79 32%     1 - 1 -4.3 +10.2 -15.2
  Nov 14, 2023 216   @ Harvard L 56-80 36%     1 - 2 -24.2 -13.3 -11.9
  Nov 19, 2023 169   @ East Carolina W 82-76 27%     2 - 2 +8.3 +19.8 -11.0
  Nov 20, 2023 255   Kennesaw St. L 77-79 53%     2 - 3 -6.7 -6.8 +0.3
  Nov 21, 2023 268   Georgia Southern W 92-78 55%     3 - 3 +8.6 +18.7 -9.4
  Nov 25, 2023 83   @ Princeton L 66-80 10%     3 - 4 -4.3 +9.2 -16.2
  Nov 29, 2023 54   @ Seton Hall L 75-88 7%     3 - 5 -0.6 +12.7 -13.9
  Dec 02, 2023 283   Old Dominion W 81-68 68%     4 - 5 +4.1 +3.8 +0.0
  Dec 06, 2023 106   Vermont L 71-73 29%     4 - 6 -0.2 +8.5 -9.0
  Dec 16, 2023 64   @ Virginia L 54-56 8%     4 - 7 +9.3 -1.3 +10.4
  Dec 19, 2023 267   @ Central Connecticut St. W 79-74 44%     5 - 7 +2.4 +11.1 -8.4
  Dec 30, 2023 204   @ Rhode Island L 71-82 34%     5 - 8 -10.7 -4.9 -5.7
  Jan 04, 2024 208   Stony Brook L 53-62 55%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -14.4 -20.0 +5.1
  Jan 08, 2024 213   @ Monmouth L 62-81 35%     5 - 10 0 - 2 -19.2 -9.3 -10.5
  Jan 11, 2024 122   Hofstra W 71-68 34%     6 - 10 1 - 2 +3.3 +3.8 -0.2
  Jan 13, 2024 154   Towson W 67-59 42%     7 - 10 2 - 2 +6.0 +13.6 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2024 346   @ N.C. A&T L 65-72 73%     7 - 11 2 - 3 -17.3 -9.0 -8.6
  Jan 20, 2024 314   @ Elon W 84-72 57%     8 - 11 3 - 3 +6.3 +8.6 -2.0
  Jan 25, 2024 126   UNC Wilmington L 54-77 34%     8 - 12 3 - 4 -22.9 -14.2 -12.1
  Jan 27, 2024 318   William & Mary L 68-72 78%     8 - 13 3 - 5 -16.2 -1.9 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2024 154   @ Towson L 76-83 24%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -3.6 +7.8 -11.4
  Feb 03, 2024 208   @ Stony Brook L 55-59 35%     8 - 15 3 - 7 -3.9 -16.7 +12.7
  Feb 08, 2024 294   @ Campbell W 86-76 52%     9 - 15 4 - 7 +5.5 +13.0 -7.1
  Feb 10, 2024 213   Monmouth W 77-65 56%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +6.4 +5.8 +1.3
  Feb 15, 2024 105   College of Charleston L 73-77 29%     10 - 16 5 - 8 -2.1 +5.5 -8.0
  Feb 17, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 62-82 18%     10 - 17 5 - 9 -14.2 -1.7 -14.5
  Feb 22, 2024 314   Elon W 61-58 75%     11 - 17 6 - 9 -8.2 -12.4 +4.6
  Feb 24, 2024 333   Hampton W 70-62 83%     12 - 17 7 - 9 -6.1 -8.7 +2.6
  Feb 29, 2024 173   @ Delaware L 67-73 28%     12 - 18 7 - 10 -3.9 -3.8 -0.1
  Mar 02, 2024 134   @ Drexel L 64-73 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 16.2 19.4 35.6 9th
10th 64.4 64.4 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 80.6 19.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 19.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 19.0
7-11 80.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 1.4 79.2
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
Lose Out 80.6% 1.7% 16.0 1.7