Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#248
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#168
Pace65.4#270
Improvement-1.9#271

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#242
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#278
Layup/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#310
Freethrows+3.5#16
Improvement-1.6#272

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#255
Layups/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#308
Freethrows-3.5#349
Improvement-0.4#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.1% 40.3% 31.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 98.5% 100.0% 96.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.3% 1.8% 5.1%
First Round34.2% 39.2% 28.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 32 - 53 - 6
Quad 414 - 417 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2023 333   Hampton W 75-68 82%     1 - 0 -7.1 -9.4 +1.8
  Nov 17, 2023 183   Fordham L 64-77 38%     1 - 1 -14.3 -12.3 -1.0
  Nov 18, 2023 225   San Jose St. L 53-77 46%     1 - 2 -27.2 -21.5 -6.7
  Nov 20, 2023 210   Florida Gulf Coast W 69-66 44%     2 - 2 +0.3 +5.4 -4.6
  Nov 25, 2023 147   @ Wichita St. L 67-80 22%     2 - 3 -9.2 +3.5 -13.8
  Nov 28, 2023 318   William & Mary W 96-62 77%     3 - 3 +21.8 +22.0 +1.6
  Dec 01, 2023 86   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 63-60 10%     4 - 3 +12.6 +3.9 +9.0
  Dec 09, 2023 172   @ Illinois St. W 64-58 27%     5 - 3 +8.2 +0.0 +8.8
  Dec 13, 2023 208   @ Stony Brook L 78-84 33%     5 - 4 -5.9 +12.0 -18.5
  Dec 16, 2023 122   @ Hofstra L 58-74 17%     5 - 5 -10.2 -2.6 -10.3
  Dec 20, 2023 188   @ UTEP L 65-67 30%     5 - 6 -1.0 +2.1 -3.2
  Dec 21, 2023 156   South Dakota St. W 84-65 32%     6 - 6 +19.4 +10.2 +9.2
  Jan 02, 2024 5   @ Tennessee L 50-87 2%     6 - 7 -14.9 -12.7 -1.0
  Jan 06, 2024 306   @ South Carolina St. W 79-72 53%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +1.9 +10.5 -8.1
  Jan 08, 2024 253   @ NC Central L 58-60 41%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -3.9 -11.5 +7.5
  Jan 20, 2024 285   @ Howard W 65-61 47%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +0.3 -8.5 +9.0
  Jan 27, 2024 359   Coppin St. W 68-58 91%     9 - 8 3 - 1 -8.9 -10.8 +1.8
  Jan 29, 2024 336   Morgan St. W 83-73 83%     10 - 8 4 - 1 -4.4 +1.2 -5.8
  Feb 03, 2024 312   Delaware St. W 65-64 74%     11 - 8 5 - 1 -10.1 -1.4 -8.5
  Feb 05, 2024 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 60-69 74%     11 - 9 5 - 2 -20.2 -13.1 -7.1
  Feb 17, 2024 306   South Carolina St. W 71-67 OT 73%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -6.6 -15.4 +8.3
  Feb 19, 2024 253   NC Central W 80-74 61%     13 - 9 7 - 2 -1.3 +3.1 -4.5
  Feb 24, 2024 359   @ Coppin St. W 68-66 81%     14 - 9 8 - 2 -11.5 -2.2 -9.1
  Feb 26, 2024 336   @ Morgan St. W 85-82 67%     15 - 9 9 - 2 -6.0 +11.0 -16.8
  Mar 02, 2024 312   @ Delaware St. W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 04, 2024 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-59 88%    
  Mar 07, 2024 285   Howard W 76-71 68%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.6 18.9 45.4 33.6 98.5 1st
2nd 1.1 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 2.1 18.9 45.4 33.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 33.6    33.6
11-3 100.0% 45.4    45.4
10-4 100.0% 18.9    5.7 9.6 3.5
9-5 28.6% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2
8-6
7-7
Total 98.5% 98.5 84.8 9.7 3.9 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 33.6% 44.0% 44.0% 14.9 0.1 3.1 9.3 2.3 18.8
11-3 45.4% 35.0% 35.0% 15.4 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.9 29.5
10-4 18.9% 26.8% 26.8% 15.7 0.1 1.6 3.4 13.8
9-5 2.1% 18.7% 18.7% 15.9 0.1 0.3 1.7
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 36.1% 36.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 4.1 18.9 13.0 63.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 33.6% 44.0% 14.9 0.4 9.1 27.6 6.9
Lose Out 2.1% 18.7% 15.9 2.7 16.0