Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#100
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#124
Pace67.8#222
Improvement+1.6#81

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#79
First Shot+4.3#70
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#213
Layup/Dunks-2.3#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#31
Freethrows-1.6#267
Improvement+2.7#15

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#144
First Shot-1.4#217
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#39
Layups/Dunks+5.2#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#341
Freethrows-1.7#280
Improvement-1.1#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.7% 30.3% 22.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 13.0
.500 or above 96.5% 98.5% 93.9%
.500 or above in Conference 97.3% 98.0% 96.3%
Conference Champion 35.5% 39.9% 29.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round26.6% 30.1% 21.9%
Second Round5.5% 6.7% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.9% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 47 - 8
Quad 413 - 220 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 65   Princeton L 67-74 49%     0 - 1 -1.9 -2.6 +0.5
  Nov 14, 2023 162   @ George Washington L 60-71 56%     0 - 2 -7.9 -16.7 +9.7
  Nov 20, 2023 321   Buffalo W 102-68 89%     1 - 2 +25.2 +20.8 +3.3
  Nov 21, 2023 130   Wright St. W 85-76 59%     2 - 2 +11.4 +9.3 +2.0
  Nov 22, 2023 205   High Point W 97-92 OT 74%     3 - 2 +3.0 +8.5 -6.1
  Nov 30, 2023 191   South Florida W 82-63 81%     4 - 2 +14.6 +13.0 +2.3
  Dec 06, 2023 168   @ Iona W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 09, 2023 188   @ Saint Louis W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 12, 2023 12   @ Duke L 65-79 10%    
  Dec 16, 2023 229   Norfolk St. W 76-65 84%    
  Dec 21, 2023 126   @ UNLV L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 30, 2023 53   @ St. John's L 76-84 25%    
  Jan 04, 2024 107   College of Charleston W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 06, 2024 156   Delaware W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 11, 2024 210   @ Northeastern W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 13, 2024 317   @ Campbell W 71-61 82%    
  Jan 18, 2024 327   Hampton W 86-68 95%    
  Jan 22, 2024 261   @ Stony Brook W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 25, 2024 315   William & Mary W 82-66 93%    
  Jan 27, 2024 239   @ Monmouth W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 01, 2024 261   Stony Brook W 75-62 88%    
  Feb 03, 2024 219   Towson W 69-59 82%    
  Feb 08, 2024 327   @ Hampton W 83-71 85%    
  Feb 10, 2024 361   @ N.C. A&T W 87-69 95%    
  Feb 15, 2024 124   @ Drexel L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 17, 2024 210   Northeastern W 79-69 81%    
  Feb 22, 2024 124   Drexel W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 24, 2024 297   Elon W 83-68 91%    
  Feb 29, 2024 116   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 02, 2024 107   @ College of Charleston L 75-77 42%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 5.8 10.7 11.1 5.2 1.4 35.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 6.1 8.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 6.9 2.3 0.3 14.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.1 4.8 1.8 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.4 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.3 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 2.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.2 6.1 9.1 12.0 16.0 16.9 15.1 12.0 5.3 1.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 99.1% 5.2    5.0 0.2
16-2 92.2% 11.1    9.1 1.9 0.0
15-3 70.9% 10.7    6.2 3.8 0.6 0.0
14-4 34.6% 5.8    1.7 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 7.3% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 35.5% 35.5 23.6 8.9 2.5 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 67.9% 59.5% 8.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 20.8%
17-1 5.3% 52.0% 50.6% 1.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.5 3.0%
16-2 12.0% 44.2% 43.9% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.3 0.2 6.7 0.6%
15-3 15.1% 35.0% 35.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.4 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 9.8 0.0%
14-4 16.9% 29.4% 29.4% 12.9 0.1 1.4 2.3 1.1 0.1 11.9
13-5 16.0% 22.2% 22.2% 13.2 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 12.5
12-6 12.0% 16.3% 16.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 10.1
11-7 9.1% 13.2% 13.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 7.9
10-8 6.1% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.7
9-9 3.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
8-10 1.6% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.5
7-11 0.8% 4.7% 4.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
6-12 0.3% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 26.7% 26.5% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.7 8.8 8.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 73.3 0.3%