UTEP
Conference USA
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#175
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#200
Pace73.0#77
Improvement-3.1#340

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#296
First Shot-8.0#350
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#28
Layup/Dunks+4.7#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.0#359
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-3.6#360

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#64
First Shot+3.3#77
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#146
Layups/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#30
Freethrows-2.9#314
Improvement+0.5#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.2% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.4 14.3
.500 or above 48.1% 72.8% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 65.7% 52.1%
Conference Champion 5.2% 9.3% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 6.6% 11.3%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round5.0% 7.8% 4.7%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 48 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2023 154   UC Santa Barbara W 89-76 58%     1 - 0 +10.4 +8.3 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2023 275   Austin Peay W 71-63 80%     2 - 0 -1.2 -6.2 +4.8
  Nov 20, 2023 140   California W 75-72 42%     3 - 0 +4.5 +3.6 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2023 92   Bradley L 59-63 29%     3 - 1 +1.3 -10.3 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2023 125   @ Loyola Marymount L 47-67 28%     3 - 2 -14.4 -24.3 +10.0
  Nov 29, 2023 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-67 81%     3 - 3 -13.9 -17.5 +3.7
  Dec 09, 2023 49   @ Oregon L 65-78 10%    
  Dec 17, 2023 180   @ Abilene Christian L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 20, 2023 229   Norfolk St. W 70-64 69%    
  Dec 30, 2023 136   Seattle W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 04, 2024 254   @ New Mexico St. W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 07, 2024 338   Chicago St. W 74-60 91%    
  Jan 13, 2024 228   @ Florida International L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 18, 2024 221   Middle Tennessee W 64-59 67%    
  Jan 20, 2024 183   Western Kentucky W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 25, 2024 102   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 27, 2024 141   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 01, 2024 216   Jacksonville St. W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 03, 2024 61   Liberty L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 10, 2024 254   New Mexico St. W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 15, 2024 183   @ Western Kentucky L 70-73 42%    
  Feb 17, 2024 221   @ Middle Tennessee L 61-62 46%    
  Feb 22, 2024 102   Louisiana Tech L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 24, 2024 141   Sam Houston St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 29, 2024 216   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-65 46%    
  Mar 02, 2024 61   @ Liberty L 61-73 15%    
  Mar 07, 2024 228   Florida International W 74-68 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.3 4.4 2.5 0.7 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.3 5.4 2.1 0.3 14.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.6 6.4 1.6 0.2 16.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 6.1 5.3 1.0 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.1 5.9 9.2 12.4 13.4 14.1 13.6 10.5 7.5 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 90.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 66.3% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0
12-4 38.5% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 10.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 26.2% 26.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.8% 24.5% 24.5% 12.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.2% 21.2% 21.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.7
12-4 4.5% 15.7% 15.7% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.8
11-5 7.5% 11.9% 11.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.6
10-6 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 9.6
9-7 13.6% 6.3% 6.3% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 12.7
8-8 14.1% 3.8% 3.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 13.5
7-9 13.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.1
6-10 12.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.2
5-11 9.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
4-12 5.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.9
3-13 3.1% 3.1
2-14 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.1 94.6 0.0%