West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#102
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Pace67.6#224
Improvement-0.8#263

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#164
First Shot-1.9#229
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#61
Layup/Dunks-2.8#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#248
Freethrows+2.2#57
Improvement-2.5#350

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#70
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#76
Layups/Dunks+3.9#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#322
Freethrows+4.9#5
Improvement+1.6#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.8% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.9% 4.8% 1.4%
Average Seed 10.2 9.8 11.1
.500 or above 10.8% 17.5% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 7.3% 9.7% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.2% 34.8% 46.0%
First Four1.2% 1.5% 0.9%
First Round3.1% 5.0% 1.7%
Second Round1.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 23 - 55 - 16
Quad 33 - 28 - 18
Quad 43 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 103   Missouri St. W 67-59 62%     1 - 0 +9.5 +3.7 +6.5
  Nov 10, 2023 246   Monmouth L 65-73 86%     1 - 1 -15.4 -9.8 -5.7
  Nov 14, 2023 230   Jacksonville St. W 70-57 85%     2 - 1 +6.6 +0.5 +7.1
  Nov 20, 2023 91   SMU L 58-70 47%     2 - 2 -6.7 -7.4 -0.2
  Nov 22, 2023 45   Virginia L 54-56 28%     2 - 3 +8.5 -3.2 +11.5
  Nov 26, 2023 210   Bellarmine W 62-58 82%     3 - 3 -1.3 -11.0 +9.8
  Dec 01, 2023 57   St. John's L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 06, 2023 39   Pittsburgh L 70-74 37%    
  Dec 09, 2023 146   Drexel W 64-58 73%    
  Dec 16, 2023 140   Massachusetts W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 20, 2023 160   Radford W 69-62 75%    
  Dec 23, 2023 112   Toledo W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 30, 2023 27   Ohio St. L 65-73 22%    
  Jan 06, 2024 3   @ Houston L 55-73 5%    
  Jan 09, 2024 44   Kansas St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 13, 2024 30   Texas L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 17, 2024 24   @ Oklahoma L 61-73 15%    
  Jan 20, 2024 4   Kansas L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 23, 2024 83   @ Central Florida L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 27, 2024 75   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 31, 2024 36   Cincinnati L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 03, 2024 11   BYU L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 10, 2024 30   @ Texas L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 12, 2024 23   @ TCU L 66-78 15%    
  Feb 17, 2024 13   Baylor L 72-80 23%    
  Feb 20, 2024 83   Central Florida W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 24, 2024 33   @ Iowa St. L 60-71 17%    
  Feb 26, 2024 44   @ Kansas St. L 68-77 21%    
  Mar 02, 2024 51   Texas Tech L 65-68 41%    
  Mar 06, 2024 23   TCU L 69-75 30%    
  Mar 09, 2024 36   @ Cincinnati L 65-75 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.8 0.2 5.6 9th
10th 0.6 3.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.0 1.5 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.7 6.4 2.8 0.2 0.0 15.2 12th
13th 0.3 2.2 6.3 7.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 20.4 13th
14th 2.2 6.7 9.3 7.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 29.1 14th
Total 2.2 7.0 11.6 14.7 16.3 14.2 12.0 9.1 5.7 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.2% 96.6% 5.7% 90.9% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4%
12-6 0.3% 91.6% 6.0% 85.6% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.1%
11-7 0.9% 78.1% 3.5% 74.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 77.3%
10-8 2.0% 46.5% 3.9% 42.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 44.3%
9-9 3.9% 20.9% 1.9% 19.0% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 19.4%
8-10 5.7% 4.0% 1.3% 2.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 2.7%
7-11 9.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.0 0.2%
6-12 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
5-13 14.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 14.0
4-14 16.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.3
3-15 14.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.7
2-16 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
1-17 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
0-18 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
Total 100% 3.7% 0.8% 2.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 96.3 2.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%