VMI
Southern
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.1#358
Expected Predictive Rating-19.8#360
Pace84.6#2
Improvement-3.6#318

Offense
Total Offense-11.6#359
First Shot-10.1#358
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#271
Layup/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#323
Freethrows-4.7#359
Improvement-2.4#305

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#317
First Shot-3.3#293
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#284
Layups/Dunks-4.4#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#125
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement-1.2#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 14.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 30 - 100 - 16
Quad 41 - 111 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 78   @ Richmond L 75-93 2%     0 - 1 -8.2 +3.7 -10.5
  Nov 13, 2023 53   @ South Carolina L 64-74 1%     0 - 2 +2.5 -3.7 +6.4
  Nov 17, 2023 310   South Dakota L 81-85 23%     0 - 3 -12.3 -8.8 -2.9
  Nov 18, 2023 299   Northern Arizona L 69-78 21%     0 - 4 -16.5 -9.8 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2023 238   @ Air Force L 54-64 9%     0 - 5 -11.1 -16.2 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2023 323   @ Navy L 47-67 19%     0 - 6 -26.9 -30.4 +4.4
  Dec 02, 2023 279   Presbyterian L 71-75 24%     0 - 7 -12.7 -8.1 -4.5
  Dec 09, 2023 261   American L 69-77 22%     0 - 8 -15.8 -2.3 -14.2
  Dec 12, 2023 228   @ Radford L 56-73 8%     0 - 9 -17.6 -12.9 -6.8
  Dec 17, 2023 194   @ Longwood L 49-68 7%     0 - 10 -18.3 -25.6 +8.2
  Jan 03, 2024 187   @ Wofford L 85-87 OT 6%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -0.9 -2.4 +1.8
  Jan 06, 2024 230   Mercer L 64-86 17%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -28.1 -19.7 -5.6
  Jan 11, 2024 144   @ Chattanooga L 61-109 4%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -43.8 -16.6 -23.7
  Jan 13, 2024 95   @ Samford L 96-134 2%     0 - 14 0 - 4 -29.3 +0.6 -20.0
  Jan 17, 2024 138   Furman L 60-100 9%     0 - 15 0 - 5 -40.9 -19.4 -18.5
  Jan 20, 2024 273   The Citadel W 70-63 23%     1 - 15 1 - 5 -1.3 -9.0 +7.5
  Jan 24, 2024 198   East Tennessee St. L 73-74 15%     1 - 16 1 - 6 -6.0 -6.6 +0.6
  Jan 27, 2024 132   @ Western Carolina L 77-102 4%     1 - 17 1 - 7 -20.0 -6.8 -8.8
  Jan 31, 2024 146   UNC Greensboro L 79-85 9%     1 - 18 1 - 8 -7.4 -2.3 -4.6
  Feb 03, 2024 230   @ Mercer L 69-90 8%     1 - 19 1 - 9 -21.6 -7.1 -13.6
  Feb 08, 2024 144   Chattanooga L 84-88 9%     1 - 20 1 - 10 -5.3 -1.6 -3.2
  Feb 10, 2024 95   Samford L 63-102 5%     1 - 21 1 - 11 -35.7 -17.6 -13.6
  Feb 14, 2024 138   @ Furman L 62-75 4%     1 - 22 1 - 12 -8.4 -12.2 +4.2
  Feb 17, 2024 273   @ The Citadel L 51-76 11%     1 - 23 1 - 13 -27.8 -24.2 -3.2
  Feb 21, 2024 198   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-82 7%     1 - 24 1 - 14 -12.6 -7.1 -4.6
  Feb 24, 2024 132   Western Carolina L 51-84 8%     1 - 25 1 - 15 -33.4 -27.8 -1.9
  Feb 28, 2024 146   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-100 4%     1 - 26 1 - 16 -38.0 -13.1 -25.5
  Mar 02, 2024 187   Wofford L 70-82 14%    
Projected Record 1 - 27 1 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 85.9 14.1 100.0 10th
Total 85.9 14.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 14.1% 14.1
1-17 85.9% 85.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.1%
Lose Out 85.9%