Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#104
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#67
Pace66.4#261
Improvement+0.2#158

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#130
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#72
Layup/Dunks-2.4#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#176
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement-1.3#309

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#21
Layups/Dunks-1.5#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#34
Freethrows-3.0#323
Improvement+1.5#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 24.1% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 4.4% 0.7%
Average Seed 12.2 11.3 12.5
.500 or above 87.5% 96.2% 85.3%
.500 or above in Conference 84.4% 90.5% 82.8%
Conference Champion 18.3% 24.9% 16.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.1% 2.3%
First Four1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
First Round16.3% 23.3% 14.5%
Second Round3.5% 6.4% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 20.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 6
Quad 36 - 38 - 9
Quad 410 - 118 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 28   @ Colorado St. L 73-81 14%     0 - 1 +7.9 +5.0 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2023 281   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-63 77%     1 - 1 +6.7 +2.9 +4.3
  Nov 21, 2023 211   Southern Utah W 67-53 82%     2 - 1 +8.6 -4.8 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2023 179   McNeese St. W 71-62 78%     3 - 1 +5.1 +3.6 +2.8
  Nov 29, 2023 49   @ New Mexico L 71-80 20%    
  Dec 02, 2023 240   Nicholls St. W 78-66 86%    
  Dec 05, 2023 97   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-72 37%    
  Dec 09, 2023 152   Louisiana W 74-67 73%    
  Dec 12, 2023 290   SE Louisiana W 79-65 91%    
  Dec 16, 2023 148   @ Saint Louis W 73-72 51%    
  Dec 20, 2023 132   @ Seattle L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 30, 2023 78   @ Grand Canyon L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 06, 2024 133   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 11, 2024 180   @ Middle Tennessee W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 14, 2024 42   Liberty L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 20, 2024 230   @ Jacksonville St. W 69-64 66%    
  Jan 25, 2024 150   UTEP W 71-64 72%    
  Jan 27, 2024 235   New Mexico St. W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 01, 2024 218   @ Florida International W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 07, 2024 184   Western Kentucky W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 10, 2024 42   @ Liberty L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 15, 2024 230   Jacksonville St. W 72-61 83%    
  Feb 17, 2024 218   Florida International W 77-67 81%    
  Feb 22, 2024 150   @ UTEP W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 24, 2024 235   @ New Mexico St. W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 28, 2024 184   @ Western Kentucky W 74-71 59%    
  Mar 07, 2024 133   Sam Houston St. W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 09, 2024 180   Middle Tennessee W 67-59 77%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 3.4 5.3 5.1 2.4 0.5 18.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.4 9.9 9.0 4.6 0.9 31.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.7 7.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 18.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.0 4.6 1.5 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.5 6.9 10.3 12.4 14.3 15.2 13.2 10.0 5.9 2.4 0.5 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.4    2.2 0.2
14-2 85.5% 5.1    3.8 1.3 0.0
13-3 53.1% 5.3    3.0 2.2 0.1
12-4 25.9% 3.4    1.2 1.8 0.4 0.0
11-5 9.4% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.3% 18.3 11.1 6.2 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 83.8% 52.5% 31.3% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 65.9%
15-1 2.4% 56.7% 41.0% 15.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 26.5%
14-2 5.9% 41.9% 35.6% 6.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 3.4 9.7%
13-3 10.0% 29.8% 28.1% 1.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 7.0 2.3%
12-4 13.2% 19.8% 19.2% 0.6% 12.2 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.6 0.8%
11-5 15.2% 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 12.6 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.7 0.0%
10-6 14.3% 12.6% 12.6% 13.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.5
9-7 12.4% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.2 0.0%
8-8 10.3% 6.6% 6.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.6
7-9 6.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.6
6-10 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.3
5-11 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.5
4-12 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 16.7% 15.5% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 3.1 5.7 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.4 83.3 1.4%