St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#249
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#213
Pace60.2#349
Improvement-2.2#311

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#325
First Shot-7.8#348
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#69
Layup/Dunks-8.9#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-2.3#333

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#137
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#38
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#130
Freethrows-6.1#360
Improvement+0.0#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 11.1% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 59.8% 70.2% 47.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 78.0% 68.2%
Conference Champion 15.2% 17.5% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.0% 3.3%
First Four2.4% 2.5% 2.4%
First Round7.9% 9.8% 5.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 413 - 714 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 75   @ Seton Hall L 59-70 9%     0 - 1 -0.7 +0.5 -2.9
  Nov 11, 2023 352   @ NJIT W 75-48 72%     1 - 1 +16.6 +4.8 +14.6
  Nov 15, 2023 316   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-67 54%    
  Nov 20, 2023 128   Umass Lowell L 61-69 35%     1 - 2 -8.5 -9.8 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2023 63   @ Rutgers L 40-71 8%     1 - 3 -19.8 -20.4 -1.2
  Dec 01, 2023 293   @ Niagara W 72-67 49%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +0.9 -1.4 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2023 199   @ Canisius L 61-67 29%    
  Dec 08, 2023 85   @ Duquesne L 59-73 11%    
  Dec 12, 2023 310   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 30, 2023 306   @ Bucknell W 62-61 51%    
  Jan 05, 2024 168   Iona L 64-65 45%    
  Jan 07, 2024 265   Mount St. Mary's W 62-58 64%    
  Jan 14, 2024 322   @ Manhattan W 63-62 55%    
  Jan 19, 2024 308   @ Fairfield W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 21, 2024 199   Canisius W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 25, 2024 273   Rider W 65-60 66%    
  Jan 28, 2024 350   @ Siena W 62-57 68%    
  Feb 02, 2024 293   Niagara W 65-59 69%    
  Feb 04, 2024 234   @ Marist L 57-61 36%    
  Feb 08, 2024 268   @ Quinnipiac L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 10, 2024 308   Fairfield W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 16, 2024 350   Siena W 65-54 85%    
  Feb 18, 2024 168   @ Iona L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 23, 2024 265   @ Mount St. Mary's L 59-61 44%    
  Feb 25, 2024 234   Marist W 60-58 57%    
  Mar 03, 2024 322   Manhattan W 66-59 73%    
  Mar 07, 2024 273   @ Rider L 62-63 44%    
  Mar 09, 2024 268   Quinnipiac W 68-64 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.5 4.3 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 15.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.7 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.4 4.3 1.6 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 4.0 1.1 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.4 1.0 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.6 0.9 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.4 2.1 0.9 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.9 7.0 9.2 11.3 12.9 11.8 12.0 9.2 7.6 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 98.8% 1.1    1.1 0.0
17-3 94.7% 2.5    2.2 0.3
16-4 83.2% 3.7    2.8 0.9 0.1
15-5 56.0% 4.3    2.3 1.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 26.6% 2.5    0.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
13-7 5.6% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 9.8 4.3 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 57.1% 57.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.1% 49.1% 49.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6
17-3 2.7% 37.7% 37.7% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.7
16-4 4.5% 29.8% 29.8% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 3.1
15-5 7.6% 19.6% 19.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 6.1
14-6 9.2% 13.8% 13.8% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9
13-7 12.0% 9.6% 9.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.8
12-8 11.8% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 10.9
11-9 12.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.0 0.6 12.3
10-10 11.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 11.0
9-11 9.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.1
8-12 7.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.9
7-13 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.9
6-14 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.4 90.9 0.0%