Rutgers
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#63
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#106
Pace66.1#271
Improvement-0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#66
Layup/Dunks+1.0#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#265
Freethrows+1.4#98
Improvement+0.0#181

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#10
First Shot+7.5#13
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#106
Layups/Dunks+1.0#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows+2.5#53
Improvement+0.0#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 3.7% 6.6% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.7% 29.1% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.2% 26.4% 12.6%
Average Seed 8.6 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 52.3% 66.6% 42.5%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 31.4% 21.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 10.5% 14.9%
First Four3.6% 4.1% 3.2%
First Round18.8% 26.9% 13.2%
Second Round9.3% 13.9% 6.1%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.2% 2.2%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 33 - 110 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 65   Princeton L 61-68 50%     0 - 1 +1.1 -1.9 +2.1
  Nov 10, 2023 276   Boston University W 69-45 94%     1 - 1 +14.7 -2.5 +18.2
  Nov 12, 2023 197   Bryant W 66-57 88%     2 - 1 +4.4 -8.3 +12.5
  Nov 15, 2023 145   Georgetown W 71-60 83%     3 - 1 +9.2 -6.2 +15.4
  Nov 18, 2023 224   Howard W 85-63 90%     4 - 1 +16.2 +6.0 +9.9
  Nov 27, 2023 249   St. Peter's W 71-40 92%     5 - 1 +23.5 +2.2 +23.1
  Dec 02, 2023 19   Illinois L 58-76 39%     5 - 2 0 - 1 -6.9 -7.6 +0.7
  Dec 06, 2023 70   @ Wake Forest L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 09, 2023 75   @ Seton Hall L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 16, 2023 347   LIU Brooklyn W 81-57 99%    
  Dec 23, 2023 27   Mississippi St. L 60-64 35%    
  Dec 30, 2023 358   Stonehill W 80-54 99%    
  Jan 03, 2024 26   @ Ohio St. L 63-70 24%    
  Jan 06, 2024 35   @ Iowa L 72-78 28%    
  Jan 09, 2024 64   Indiana W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 14, 2024 16   @ Michigan St. L 57-67 18%    
  Jan 17, 2024 48   Nebraska W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 21, 2024 19   @ Illinois L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 28, 2024 1   Purdue L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 31, 2024 115   Penn St. W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 03, 2024 51   @ Michigan L 66-70 34%    
  Feb 06, 2024 66   @ Maryland L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 10, 2024 22   Wisconsin L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 15, 2024 52   Northwestern W 64-62 56%    
  Feb 18, 2024 112   @ Minnesota W 65-64 56%    
  Feb 22, 2024 1   @ Purdue L 60-75 10%    
  Feb 25, 2024 66   Maryland W 63-60 61%    
  Feb 29, 2024 51   Michigan W 69-67 55%    
  Mar 03, 2024 48   @ Nebraska L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 07, 2024 22   @ Wisconsin L 58-66 25%    
  Mar 10, 2024 26   Ohio St. L 66-67 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 3.9 1.0 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 4.7 2.1 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.4 0.4 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 4.2 5.1 2.0 0.1 12.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.7 2.3 0.2 12.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 3.9 2.0 0.2 11.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 7.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.9 6.8 10.3 12.4 13.7 13.6 11.7 9.4 6.9 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 62.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 28.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.3% 99.2% 9.4% 89.8% 5.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 2.5% 97.2% 8.0% 89.2% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 97.0%
12-8 4.3% 87.6% 8.4% 79.2% 7.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 86.5%
11-9 6.9% 70.4% 4.7% 65.7% 8.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.0 69.0%
10-10 9.4% 46.0% 4.3% 41.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.0 5.1 43.6%
9-11 11.7% 15.0% 3.8% 11.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.9 11.7%
8-12 13.6% 4.4% 2.5% 1.9% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.0 1.9%
7-13 13.7% 2.4% 2.2% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.3 0.1%
6-14 12.4% 1.1% 1.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.2
5-15 10.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.2
4-16 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.7
3-17 3.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 20.7% 3.0% 17.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.5 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 79.3 18.2%