Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#333
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#337
Pace66.1#274
Improvement-2.0#311

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#348
First Shot-5.8#333
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#291
Layup/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#352
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+0.4#148

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#270
First Shot-0.1#177
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#338
Layups/Dunks-2.9#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#89
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-2.4#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 5.0% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 19.7% 31.8% 12.6%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 13.6% 28.0%
First Four0.9% 1.5% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 213 @Valparaiso L 63-66 17%     0 - 1 -3.3 -8.2 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 259 Nicholls St. W 65-57 42%     1 - 1 -0.4 -10.3 +9.9
  Tue, Nov 11 55 @Notre Dame L 58-78 3%     1 - 2 -7.3 -0.1 -10.3
  Fri, Nov 14 22 @Kentucky L 53-99 1%     1 - 3 -27.4 -8.6 -20.2
  Tue, Nov 25 283 @Central Arkansas L 60-81 25%     1 - 4 -24.5 -6.2 -20.5
  Fri, Nov 28 7 @Purdue L 62-109 0.5%    1 - 5 -23.4 -3.6 -18.5
  Sat, Dec 6 238 Lindenwood L 74-82 37%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -15.2 -2.7 -12.3
  Wed, Dec 10 260 Eastern Kentucky L 59-68 42%     1 - 7 -17.4 -13.1 -5.3
  Sun, Dec 14 4 @Iowa St. L 53-78 0.4%    1 - 8 -0.1 -7.3 +7.2
  Thu, Dec 18 232 SIU Edwardsville L 64-67 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 214 @Southeast Missouri St. L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Jan 3 252 @Tennessee Martin L 62-70 22%    
  Thu, Jan 8 266 Tennessee Tech L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 235 Tennessee St. L 68-71 38%    
  Tue, Jan 13 354 Western Illinois W 69-63 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 313 @Arkansas Little Rock L 65-70 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 317 @Southern Indiana L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 322 @Morehead St. L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 252 Tennessee Martin L 65-67 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 214 Southeast Missouri St. L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 235 @Tennessee St. L 65-74 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 266 @Tennessee Tech L 67-75 24%    
  Tue, Feb 10 354 @Western Illinois W 66-65 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 68-67 55%    
  Thu, Feb 19 322 Morehead St. W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 Southern Indiana W 72-70 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 238 @Lindenwood L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 232 @SIU Edwardsville L 61-70 20%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.9 0.5 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 5.3 1.3 0.1 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.9 5.4 1.6 0.1 16.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 6.3 4.9 1.4 0.1 18.6 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.0 4.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 14.8 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.5 8.6 11.7 13.5 13.7 12.8 10.8 8.0 5.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 69.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 34.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 10.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 35.7% 35.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 22.6% 22.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-6 0.8% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-7 1.8% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
12-8 3.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.2 3.1
11-9 5.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 5.2
10-10 8.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.8
9-11 10.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.7
8-12 12.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-13 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-14 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 11.7% 11.7
4-16 8.6% 8.6
3-17 5.5% 5.5
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%