Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#128
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#124
Pace65.9#280
Improvement+0.7#136

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#153
First Shot+2.5#106
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#304
Layup/Dunks+1.0#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#213
Freethrows-0.2#200
Improvement+0.6#126

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#119
First Shot+0.3#158
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#98
Layups/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#48
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 10.7 11.8
.500 or above 76.8% 93.3% 76.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 75.3% 63.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.5% 1.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 35 - 46 - 12
Quad 410 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 98 @Nevada L 77-78 28%     0 - 1 +7.0 +10.5 -3.5
  Wed, Nov 12 277 Long Beach St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 1 -6.2 -8.0 +1.9
  Sat, Nov 15 269 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 68%     2 - 1 +9.3 +2.0 +6.0
  Thu, Nov 20 117 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 34%     2 - 2 -16.7 -8.3 -10.2
  Mon, Nov 24 197 Stony Brook W 86-58 67%     3 - 2 +25.6 +15.9 +11.0
  Tue, Nov 25 305 Jacksonville W 68-53 83%     4 - 2 +7.1 +2.5 +6.9
  Sat, Nov 29 279 Sacramento St. W 68-54 86%     5 - 2 +4.7 -9.2 +13.8
  Wed, Dec 3 324 @Air Force W 80-65 80%     6 - 2 +8.3 +18.0 -7.5
  Sat, Dec 6 81 @California L 61-67 22%     6 - 3 +4.3 +1.9 +1.5
  Tue, Dec 16 9 @BYU L 62-82 3%    
  Sun, Dec 21 259 Nicholls St. W 75-65 84%    
  Sun, Dec 28 248 @San Diego W 77-73 64%    
  Tue, Dec 30 134 @Loyola Marymount L 66-69 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 159 Oregon St. W 71-66 68%    
  Sun, Jan 4 292 Pepperdine W 74-62 88%    
  Thu, Jan 8 243 @Portland W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 248 San Diego W 80-70 81%    
  Wed, Jan 14 74 @Santa Clara L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Jan 17 159 @Oregon St. L 68-69 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 118 Seattle W 70-68 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 243 Portland W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 95 @San Francisco L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 74 Santa Clara L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 292 @Pepperdine W 71-65 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 134 Loyola Marymount W 69-66 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 39 St. Mary's L 64-71 27%    
  Wed, Feb 18 155 @Washington St. L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 5 @Gonzaga L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 95 San Francisco L 69-70 49%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.5 3.3 0.9 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.2 6.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 7.1 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.2 6.6 2.5 0.2 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.8 2.2 0.2 11.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.7 2.1 0.2 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.1 1.8 0.2 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.3 0.2 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.6 10.2 13.0 14.5 15.8 12.8 9.9 5.9 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 61.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 33.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-3 9.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 14.1% 13.0% 1.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3%
15-3 1.3% 3.4% 3.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.2
14-4 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.1%
13-5 5.9% 1.8% 1.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.8
12-6 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.8
11-7 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
10-8 15.8% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.7
9-9 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 14.5
8-10 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 13.0
7-11 10.2% 10.2
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 3.7% 3.7
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.0%