Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.0 #325
Expected Predictive Rating -8.2 #299
Pace 64.5 #296
Improvement -2.0 #277

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #304 C F+ C- D+ D-
Defense #320 D C D B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #344 1.11 #241 -5.4 #342
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #53 0.90 #35 +4.5 #17
Three Pointers 42% #160 0.99 #217 -0.1 #183
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #205 -0.9 #207
Freethrows 0.27 #292 73% #155 0.19 #268
Second Chance 20.0% #362 0.98 #261 0.20 #360
Turnovers 17.1% #224
Total Offense -4.9 #304

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #40 1.30 #333 -6.4 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #234 0.94 #361 -0.9 #260
Three Pointers 37% #285 0.98 #133 +2.5 #87
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #317 -4.8 #319
Freethrows 0.26 #60 74% #293 0.19 #83
Second Chance 29.4% #131 1.07 #222 0.31 #168
Turnovers 13.5% #332
Total Defense -5.1 #320

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.9% #331 1.3% #290
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.1% #155 7.9% #321
Possession Length 18.6 #296 17.4 #198
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #317 0.16 #142
Improvement -0.1 #184 -1.9 #294

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 1.4% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.1% 32.6% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 8.8% 32.8%
First Four2.4% 3.0% 1.8%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 49 - 1311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 66 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  0 - 1 +1 -1 B- F D+ +3 B B+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 14 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0 - 2 -23 -12 F+ D- F+ -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 104 @Utah L 69 - 87 6% -9  0 - 3 -10 -2 C- F+ B+ -9 D+ C+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 235 Hampton W 67 - 61 29% +0  1 - 3 +2 +6 C+ C+ F -3 C- C- C
 Tue, Nov 18 264 @Brown L 49 - 68 25% -12  1 - 4 -22 -14 D+ F F -11 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 277 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 27% -9  1 - 5 -17 -8 C- F F -9 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 173 Siena L 69 - 73 28% -1  1 - 6 -8 -0 A F D+ -8 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 256 Northeastern W 76 - 59 44% +13  2 - 6 +9 +1 B F B+ +9 A C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 195 @Fordham W 70 - 69 16% -7  3 - 6 +2 +6 B- A F+ -4 D C D+
 Tue, Dec 16 237 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 40% -11  3 - 7 -32 -10 D- F D+ -23 F C- B+
 Sat, Dec 20 177 @Harvard L 53 - 81 14% -16  3 - 8 -26 -11 F D A -19 F F C
 Wed, Dec 31 323 Bucknell W 65 - 58 61% +7  4 - 8 1 - 0 -6 -5 D+ F D+ -0 F+ B+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 178 Navy L 58 - 65 30% -6  4 - 9 1 - 1 -11 -6 F A+ D- -6 D A- D+
 Wed, Jan 7 304 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 33% -5  4 - 10 1 - 2 -13 -10 D- F B -4 D- C C+
 Sat, Jan 10 233 @American W 84 - 73 20% +3  5 - 10 2 - 2 +10 +11 B+ D A- -1 A- D D
 Wed, Jan 14 335 Army W 82 - 75 66% +7  6 - 10 3 - 2 -7 +3 A- F B- -10 C- C D-
 Sat, Jan 17 316 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 36% -12  6 - 11 3 - 3 -25 -16 F F D- -11 C- F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 178 @Navy L 68 - 85 14% -6  6 - 12 3 - 4 -15 +4 B C D- -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 233 American L 67 - 76 39% -8  6 - 13 3 - 5 -16 -3 B F F+ -14 D+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 28 213 @Colgate L 74 - 79 18% +0  6 - 14 3 - 6 -5 +4 B+ F A- -9 C F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 335 @Army L 72 - 74 44%
 Mon, Feb 2 283 Boston University W 70 - 69 50%
 Sat, Feb 7 304 Lehigh W 70 - 69 56%
 Wed, Feb 11 213 Colgate L 70 - 74 36%
 Sun, Feb 15 317 @Loyola Maryland L 71 - 75 37%
 Wed, Feb 18 316 Lafayette W 72 - 70 59%
 Sun, Feb 22 323 @Bucknell L 68 - 71 39%
 Wed, Feb 25 283 @Boston University L 67 - 73 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 317 Loyola Maryland W 74 - 72 59%
Totals 10 - 19 7 - 11 -10 -5 C F+ C- -5 D C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 7.4 4.1 0.7 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 1.4 9.4 4.4 0.4 15.7 5th
6th 0.2 7.7 6.7 0.5 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 3.1 10.3 1.6 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 8.8 3.7 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.6 5.6 6.0 0.4 12.6 9th
10th 0.9 3.9 5.0 1.0 10.8 10th
Total 0.9 4.6 11.8 19.0 23.6 20.1 12.6 5.8 1.5 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 14.6% 14.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 1.5% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4
10-8 5.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5
9-9 12.6% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.9
8-10 20.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.7 19.4
7-11 23.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 23.1
6-12 19.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 18.8
5-13 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
4-14 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%