Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#256
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#257
Pace72.7#95
Improvement+2.4#54

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#275
First Shot-3.1#267
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-4.0#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#15
Freethrows-3.4#339
Improvement-0.4#212

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#219
First Shot-1.6#230
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#183
Layups/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#46
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement+2.8#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.8% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 23.0% 26.3% 9.3%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 26.2% 16.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 6.7% 10.9%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round2.8% 3.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 80.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 64 @Virginia Tech L 67-98 7%     0 - 1 -19.3 -7.8 -8.4
  Mon, Nov 10 354 @The Citadel W 96-86 70%     1 - 1 -0.7 +13.2 -14.1
  Thu, Nov 13 280 @Alabama A&M L 64-68 42%     1 - 2 -7.4 -8.3 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 14 228 Lindenwood L 77-83 45%     1 - 3 -10.1 -4.3 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 18 357 IU Indianapolis W 103-91 86%     2 - 3 -5.0 +4.8 -11.7
  Fri, Nov 21 255 @East Carolina W 77-65 38%     3 - 3 +9.7 +5.2 +4.5
  Fri, Nov 28 86 @South Carolina L 62-74 9%     3 - 4 -2.7 -5.8 +3.1
  Tue, Dec 2 251 @Tennessee Martin L 56-73 38%     3 - 5 -19.2 -12.7 -7.6
  Mon, Dec 8 361 South Carolina St. W 84-44 88%     4 - 5 +22.1 +5.1 +17.9
  Thu, Dec 18 343 North Florida W 85-76 81%    
  Sun, Dec 21 152 @Furman L 69-78 20%    
  Sun, Dec 28 104 @Richmond L 69-82 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 219 UNC Asheville W 74-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 113 @Winthrop L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 106 High Point L 77-83 28%    
  Wed, Jan 14 258 South Carolina Upstate W 75-72 62%    
  Wed, Jan 21 277 @Presbyterian L 66-68 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 293 @Longwood L 75-76 46%    
  Thu, Jan 29 253 Radford W 81-78 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 106 @High Point L 74-86 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 258 @South Carolina Upstate L 72-75 40%    
  Thu, Feb 12 277 Presbyterian W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 253 @Radford L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 293 Longwood W 78-73 67%    
  Thu, Feb 26 113 Winthrop L 76-82 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 219 @UNC Asheville L 71-76 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 5.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 7.1 3.8 0.5 14.4 5th
6th 0.4 3.5 8.3 4.6 0.5 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 8.8 4.9 0.6 19.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.1 6.6 7.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.5 8.2 13.2 16.4 16.8 14.9 11.0 7.6 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 46.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 10.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 10.6% 10.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.5% 17.7% 17.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
10-6 3.5% 11.3% 11.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.1
9-7 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.0
8-8 11.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.4
7-9 14.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 14.3
6-10 16.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 16.5
5-11 16.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 16.1
4-12 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.1
3-13 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.2
2-14 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
1-15 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 96.6 0.0%