Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.2 #290
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 #259
Pace 69.8 #152
Improvement -0.5 #213

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #116 C C+ B- C+ D
Defense #362 D- F+ F+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #319 1.07 #279 -4.7 #331
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #58 0.81 #107 +3.2 #43
Three Pointers 40% #205 1.13 #44 +1.7 #123
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #167 +0.2 #167
Freethrows 0.30 #182 77% #47 0.23 #135
Second Chance 29.8% #211 1.14 #68 0.34 #129
Turnovers 14.5% #68
Total Offense +2.0 #116

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #68 1.26 #305 -4.8 #335
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #292 0.77 #198 +1.4 #80
Three Pointers 40% #207 1.14 #337 -2.2 #283
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #335 -5.6 #334
Freethrows 0.30 #185 68% #26 0.20 #133
Second Chance 35.9% #342 1.17 #318 0.42 #355
Turnovers 12.5% #351
Total Defense -9.2 #362

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.5% #321 1.6% #315
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #130 9.3% #333
Possession Length 17.5 #188 16.8 #80
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #331 0.21 #301
Improvement -2.2 #301 +1.7 #80

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 1.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 18.6% 29.2% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.2% 2.3%
First Four2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
First Round1.8% 2.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 64 - 11
Quad 47 - 711 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 124 @Seattle L 73 - 84 13% -6  0 - 1 -6 +2 C- B- D- -7 C+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 6 45 @Washington L 70 - 84 3% -8  0 - 2 +1 +3 A- D D- -3 C D+ D+
 Sun, Nov 9 161 @Montana St. W 75 - 73 17% -2  1 - 2 +5 +10 A+ A+ F -5 C+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 343 Texas San Antonio L 79 - 84 76% -4  1 - 3 -20 +6 B- F A -26 F D- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 100 @Colorado St. W 83 - 81 9% +2  2 - 3 +10 +25 A C A+ -15 C F C-
 Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73 - 103 0% -23  2 - 4 -3 +8 B- A D -9 F D A-
 Wed, Nov 26 113 @Wyoming L 59 - 101 11% -16  2 - 5 -36 -12 F B- C- -24 D- F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 247 Eastern Washington W 93 - 89 53% +0  3 - 5 -4 +15 A F A+ -19 F D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 226 @Idaho St. L 79 - 93 27% -6  3 - 6 -15 +7 C A C -23 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 216 Cal St. Fullerton L 86 - 105 46% -19  3 - 7 -25 +3 F A+ B+ -27 F F C-
 Sat, Dec 20 186 @Northern Colorado W 86 - 79 22% -2  4 - 7 +8 +10 A- F+ C -2 B- D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 71 @Tulsa L 85 - 90 6% -4  4 - 8 +6 +6 D+ A+ F+ +1 A D+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 354 UMKC W 87 - 74 82% +12  5 - 8 1 - 0 -4 +8 C D+ A+ -12 C F F+
 Sun, Jan 4 138 @St. Thomas L 88 - 92 14% -3  5 - 9 1 - 1 +0 +15 C+ A B+ -14 C F F
 Thu, Jan 8 177 @South Dakota St. L 79 - 87 21% -1  5 - 10 1 - 2 -6 +7 D+ C A -13 C- F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 291 @South Dakota L 72 - 82 39% -2  5 - 11 1 - 3 -14 -5 F D+ C- -9 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 333 Oral Roberts W 98 - 87 74% +6  6 - 11 2 - 3 -3 +19 A+ C+ B -22 F D F
 Thu, Jan 22 136 North Dakota St. L 77 - 82 29% -5  6 - 12 2 - 4 -7 +9 C+ C+ A+ -16 F D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 280 North Dakota L 86 - 93 60% -0  6 - 13 2 - 5 -17 +3 C+ F B- -19 F D+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 354 @UMKC W 69 - 61 64% -0  7 - 13 3 - 5 -3 -4 F C B +1 C+ B F
 Sat, Jan 31 242 Nebraska Omaha W 81 - 80 51%
 Thu, Feb 5 136 @North Dakota St. L 73 - 85 14%
 Sat, Feb 7 280 @North Dakota L 81 - 84 38%
 Thu, Feb 12 177 South Dakota St. L 80 - 83 40%
 Sat, Feb 14 242 @Nebraska Omaha L 77 - 83 30%
 Thu, Feb 19 291 South Dakota W 88 - 85 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 138 St. Thomas L 79 - 84 31%
 Thu, Feb 26 333 @Oral Roberts W 79 - 78 52%
Totals 10 - 18 6 - 10 -7 +2 C C+ B- -9 D- F+ F+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 2.5 0.2 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.6 7.0 0.9 0.0 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 10.0 11.0 1.8 0.0 24.7 6th
7th 0.9 7.7 18.6 15.3 3.5 0.1 46.0 7th
8th 1.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 2.2 9.9 21.3 26.4 21.6 12.6 4.9 1.0 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 1.0% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.0
9-7 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.1 0.2 4.6
8-8 12.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.0
7-9 21.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.7 20.9
6-10 26.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.5 25.8
5-11 21.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 21.0
4-12 9.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.8
3-13 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.9 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%