Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#313
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Pace68.0#220
Improvement-3.0#340

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#129
First Shot+1.3#139
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#173
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#139
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+0.2#160

Defense
Total Defense-10.3#365
First Shot-8.1#362
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#317
Layups/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#347
Freethrows-1.8#295
Improvement-3.1#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.9% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 3.4% 10.3% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 35.3% 23.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 19.6% 13.1% 20.5%
First Four1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
First Round1.0% 2.2% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 47 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 117 @Seattle L 73-84 9%     0 - 1 -4.9 -2.1 -1.8
  Thu, Nov 6 49 @Washington L 70-84 3%     0 - 2 -0.1 +2.3 -2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 169 @Montana St. W 75-73 15%     1 - 2 +4.2 +10.9 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 15 289 Texas San Antonio L 79-84 54%     1 - 3 -14.9 +9.3 -24.6
  Fri, Nov 21 70 @Colorado St. W 83-81 4%     2 - 3 +13.0 +25.1 -11.7
  Mon, Nov 24 3 @Arizona L 73-103 0.5%    2 - 4 -4.4 +7.3 -9.5
  Wed, Nov 26 89 @Wyoming L 59-101 6%     2 - 5 -33.1 -10.6 -22.3
  Wed, Dec 3 242 Eastern Washington W 93-89 45%     3 - 5 -3.5 +14.3 -17.8
  Sat, Dec 6 162 @Idaho St. L 79-93 14%     3 - 6 -11.1 +11.1 -22.8
  Sat, Dec 13 267 Cal St. Fullerton L 86-105 49%     3 - 7 -27.7 +1.6 -27.6
  Sat, Dec 20 148 @Northern Colorado L 74-87 12%    
  Mon, Dec 22 82 @Tulsa L 72-91 4%    
  Wed, Dec 31 346 UMKC W 80-74 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 132 @St. Thomas L 72-86 10%    
  Thu, Jan 8 164 @South Dakota St. L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 275 @South Dakota L 83-89 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 299 Oral Roberts W 82-81 56%    
  Thu, Jan 22 144 North Dakota St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 343 North Dakota W 81-75 70%    
  Wed, Jan 28 346 @UMKC L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 235 Nebraska Omaha L 79-81 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 144 @North Dakota St. L 73-86 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 @North Dakota L 78-79 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 164 South Dakota St. L 77-83 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 235 @Nebraska Omaha L 76-84 24%    
  Thu, Feb 19 275 South Dakota W 87-86 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 132 St. Thomas L 75-83 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 299 @Oral Roberts L 79-84 34%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.1 3.5 1.0 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.4 5.4 1.2 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 8.3 5.9 1.2 0.0 18.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 8.9 5.5 1.0 0.0 19.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 16.3 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 3.6 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.5 9th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.4 8.8 12.7 16.1 16.6 14.4 11.2 6.8 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 79.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 37.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 12.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.2% 9.7% 9.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.8% 10.0% 10.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-5 2.0% 8.2% 8.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8
10-6 4.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.1 0.2 3.8
9-7 6.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.5
8-8 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.0
7-9 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.1
6-10 16.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.4
5-11 16.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.0
4-12 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.7
3-13 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
2-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%