IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.6	#362
Expected Predictive Rating	-17.2	#356

Pace	76.0	#41
Improvement	-0.8	#234

Offense
Total Offense	-8.1	#352

First Shot	-6.5	#342
After Offensive Rebound	-1.7	#286

Layup/Dunks	-1.7	#245
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.8	#324
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#218
Freethrows	-0.9	#242

Improvement	-0.6	#232

Defense
Total Defense	-7.4	#354

First Shot	-5.8	#345
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.6	#298

Layups/Dunks	-4.7	#328
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#79
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.4	#346
Freethrows	+3.0	#32

Improvement	-0.2	#194

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.2%	0.0%	0.2%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	85.6%	50.0%	85.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 14
Quad 4	2 - 11	2 - 25

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	96 @Minnesota	L	60-87	2%	0 - 1			-18.8	-10.2	-7.8
Fri, Nov 7	37 @Clemson	L	59-97	1%	0 - 2			-22.6	-6.0	-16.6
Sat, Nov 15	180 @Elon	L	84-95	6%	0 - 3			-9.4	+2.2	-10.7
Tue, Nov 18	109 @DePaul	L	62-93	3%	0 - 4			-24.4	-13.2	-7.6
Sat, Nov 22	104 @Richmond	L	67-102	3%	0 - 5			-27.8	-6.5	-19.1
Wed, Nov 26	207 Navy	L	51-84	12%	0 - 6			-36.0	-19.1	-18.6
Fri, Nov 28	272 SE Louisiana	L	68-76	18%	0 - 7			-14.0	-6.7	-7.1
Sat, Nov 29	108 @UNC Wilmington	L	62-88	3%	0 - 8			-19.3	-8.5	-11.1
Wed, Dec 3	210 @Queens	L	74-107	8%	0 - 9			-33.3	-7.6	-24.2
Sat, Dec 6	235 Georgia Southern	L	84-88	21%	0 - 10			-11.1	+0.9	-11.8
Mon, Dec 15	221 Wofford	L	57-83	20%	0 - 11			-32.6	-19.1	-13.8
Sun, Dec 21	15 @Tennessee	L	57-93	0.0%
Sat, Jan 3	113 @Winthrop	L	71-93	2%
Wed, Jan 7	106 @High Point	L	71-94	2%
Wed, Jan 14	253 Radford	L	79-86	25%
Sat, Jan 17	277 Presbyterian	L	66-72	28%
Wed, Jan 21	293 @Longwood	L	73-84	15%
Sat, Jan 24	258 South Carolina Upstate	L	73-80	26%
Thu, Jan 29	219 @UNC Asheville	L	69-84	8%
Wed, Feb 4	293 Longwood	L	76-81	31%
Sat, Feb 7	277 @Presbyterian	L	63-75	13%
Thu, Feb 12	113 Winthrop	L	74-90	7%
Sat, Feb 14	106 @High Point	L	71-94	2%
Thu, Feb 19	253 @Radford	L	76-89	12%
Thu, Feb 26	219 UNC Asheville	L	72-81	22%
Sat, Feb 28	258 @South Carolina Upstate	L	70-83	12%
Projected Record					2 - 24	2 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st																				1st
2nd												0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.0	0.0									0.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0									0.3	4th
5th					0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.0										0.8	5th
6th					0.2	0.8	0.8	0.1											1.9	6th
7th			0.0	0.6	2.3	2.0	0.4												5.3	7th
8th	0.0	0.7	3.2	6.8	5.4	1.0	0.0												17.2	8th
9th	14.8	25.2	22.3	9.9	2.1	0.1													74.4	9th

Total	14.8	25.9	25.6	17.4	10.0	4.0	1.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		0.0								Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5	0.0%
10-6
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5	0.0%																							0.0
10-6
9-7	0.0%																							0.0
8-8	0.2%																							0.2
7-9	0.5%																							0.5
6-10	1.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
5-11	4.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
4-12	10.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
3-13	17.4%																							17.4
2-14	25.6%																							25.6
1-15	25.9%																							25.9
0-16	14.8%																							14.8

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	12.3%