IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#73
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.5	#302

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#292

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	4.5%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	14.4	15.2

.500 or above	6.0%	23.0%	5.0%
.500 or above in Conference	11.9%	26.4%	11.1%
Conference Champion	0.3%	1.1%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	30.9%	15.1%	31.8%

First Four	0.7%	1.1%	0.7%
First Round	1.5%	4.2%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 5.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 6	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	87	@ Minnesota	L	59-76	5%
Nov 07, 2025	42	@ Clemson	L	56-80	1%
Nov 15, 2025	228	@ Elon	L	67-74	25%
Nov 18, 2025	84	@ DePaul	L	64-82	6%
Nov 22, 2025	137	@ Richmond	L	62-75	13%
Nov 26, 2025	224	Navy	L	69-74	33%
Nov 28, 2025	243	SE Louisiana	L	69-73	37%
Nov 29, 2025	118	@ UNC Wilmington	L	64-78	11%
Dec 03, 2025	245	@ Queens	L	72-79	29%
Dec 06, 2025	249	Georgia Southern	L	75-76	48%
Dec 15, 2025	206	Wofford	L	68-71	42%
Dec 21, 2025	16	@ Tennessee	L	52-81	1%
Jan 03, 2026	161	@ Winthrop	L	74-85	18%
Jan 07, 2026	108	@ High Point	L	66-81	10%
Jan 14, 2026	150	Radford	L	65-71	32%
Jan 17, 2026	267	Presbyterian	W	69-68	52%
Jan 21, 2026	204	@ Longwood	L	70-79	24%
Jan 24, 2026	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	82-77	68%
Jan 29, 2026	184	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-79	22%
Feb 04, 2026	204	Longwood	L	73-76	41%
Feb 07, 2026	267	@ Presbyterian	L	66-71	33%
Feb 12, 2026	161	Winthrop	L	77-82	35%
Feb 14, 2026	108	@ High Point	L	66-81	10%
Feb 19, 2026	150	@ Radford	L	62-74	17%
Feb 26, 2026	184	UNC Asheville	L	73-76	39%
Feb 28, 2026	336	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	79-80	48%
Projected Record						7 - 19	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0						3.0	3rd
4th							0.1	1.3	2.6	1.4	0.2	0.0							5.7	4th
5th						0.4	2.3	4.2	2.3	0.3	0.0								9.5	5th
6th				0.1	1.3	4.5	6.0	2.9	0.4	0.0									15.1	6th
7th			0.4	2.8	7.0	7.6	3.0	0.3	0.0										21.1	7th
8th	0.1	1.2	5.2	8.9	6.6	2.1	0.2												24.4	8th
9th	2.5	6.1	6.4	3.7	0.9	0.1													19.6	9th

Total	2.6	7.3	12.0	15.4	15.7	14.7	11.6	8.8	5.9	3.3	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0					Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-3	82.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0
12-4	55.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	14.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2	0.0%																							0.0
13-3	0.1%		35.3%	35.3%		13.0												0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0
12-4	0.3%		21.4%	21.4%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
11-5	0.7%		20.0%	20.0%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.6
10-6	1.7%		14.3%	14.3%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4
9-7	3.3%		6.8%	6.8%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	3.0
8-8	5.9%		5.4%	5.4%		16.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	5.5
7-9	8.8%		3.4%	3.4%		16.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	8.5
6-10	11.6%		2.0%	2.0%		16.7														0.0		0.0	0.2	11.4
5-11	14.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	14.6
4-12	15.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	15.6
3-13	15.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	15.4
2-14	12.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
1-15	7.3%																							7.3
0-16	2.6%																							2.6

Total	100%		1.8%	1.8%	0.0%	15.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.9	98.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%