IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.3 #338
Expected Predictive Rating -11.7 #339
Pace 82.0 #3
Improvement +3.6 #41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #272 C- C C F D+
Defense #353 F+ F B F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #334 1.20 #119 -3.3 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #134 0.81 #94 +1.4 #103
Three Pointers 46% #80 0.93 #291 +0.5 #156
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #219 -1.4 #221
Freethrows 0.17 #365 71% #233 0.12 #365
Second Chance 28.0% #253 1.11 #70 0.31 #176
Turnovers 16.7% #161
Total Offense -3.8 #272

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #10 1.28 #326 -7.7 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #352 0.73 #134 +2.8 #11
Three Pointers 40% #239 1.17 #347 -2.2 #289
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #358 -7.1 #358
Freethrows 0.38 #341 76% #348 0.29 #358
Second Chance 36.8% #353 1.25 #362 0.46 #364
Turnovers 19.5% #52
Total Defense -7.5 #353

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #285 2.9% #361
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.4% #196 10.8% #348
Possession Length 16.0 #62 15.7 #10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #139 0.28 #363
Improvement +1.4 #101 +2.2 #64

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 97.9% 96.2% 99.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 44 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 36 @Ohio St. L 102 - 118 1% -13  0 - 1 +1 +16 A B+ B -12 F D- A
 Thu, Nov 6 204 LIU Brooklyn L 90 - 94 29% +1  0 - 2 -10 -1 D B- B- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 72 @Butler L 80 - 112 3% -14  0 - 3 -21 -7 D F+ D+ -7 C F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 230 @Eastern Michigan W 90 - 83 16% +3  1 - 3 +6 +9 A A+ F -4 B+ F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 252 @Charleston Southern L 91 - 103 19% -13  1 - 4 -14 +5 C C+ A+ -17 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 318 Alabama St. L 80 - 101 43% -9  1 - 5 -31 -7 B- F D- -21 F F+ C-
 Sun, Nov 23 350 @Air Force L 85 - 98 42% -2  1 - 6 -22 +1 D B C- -22 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 302 Morehead St. W 85 - 80 50% +2  2 - 6 -6 -7 B- F C- +0 C+ B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 261 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 92 21% -10  2 - 7 0 - 1 -17 +1 D+ C C -18 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 6 197 Youngstown St. L 55 - 78 28% -13  2 - 8 0 - 2 -28 -18 F F B- -12 F F+ B+
 Thu, Dec 11 250 Green Bay L 75 - 85 37% -1  2 - 9 0 - 3 -18 -9 F B- C+ -9 D D- B+
 Mon, Dec 22 62 @Grand Canyon L 78 - 91 3% -8  2 - 10 -1 +9 B+ A+ D -9 F+ F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 290 @Cleveland St. L 86 - 99 25% -10  2 - 11 0 - 4 -17 -0 F C B- -16 F+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 201 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 81 14% +3  2 - 12 0 - 5 -9 -1 D+ B- D+ -7 F D C-
 Sun, Jan 4 148 Wright St. L 77 - 81 20% -5  2 - 13 0 - 6 -6 +5 B- C C+ -12 D F A+
 Fri, Jan 9 250 @Green Bay L 59 - 75 19% -9  2 - 14 0 - 7 -18 -20 F F+ C+ +3 C D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 11 271 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 95 22% +0  2 - 15 0 - 8 -15 +9 C C- B+ -24 F F B-
 Thu, Jan 15 214 Robert Morris W 96 - 93 OT 31% -2  3 - 15 1 - 8 -3 +9 B+ F A+ -12 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 261 Detroit Mercy L 77 - 80 40% +1  3 - 16 1 - 9 -12 -7 D B D- -5 C C B
 Wed, Jan 21 144 @Oakland W 103 - 85 8% +8  4 - 16 2 - 9 +22 +27 A+ A+ B- -5 B- F C
 Wed, Jan 28 214 @Robert Morris L 58 - 74 15% -5  4 - 17 2 - 10 -16 -6 C- F+ C -13 F+ F B-
 Fri, Jan 30 197 @Youngstown St. L 76 - 85 13% +1  4 - 18 2 - 11 -8 +0 D+ A- C -8 F B A-
 Sat, Feb 7 290 Cleveland St. L 89 - 90 46%
 Tue, Feb 10 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 85 42%
 Thu, Feb 12 201 Northern Kentucky L 83 - 89 29%
 Sun, Feb 15 239 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 79 - 89 18%
 Thu, Feb 19 148 @Wright St. L 76 - 91 8%
 Wed, Feb 25 144 Oakland L 85 - 94 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 239 Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 86 36%
Totals 6 - 23 4 - 16 -11 -4 C- C C -8 F+ F B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
9th 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 9th
10th 1.2 3.5 1.2 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 10.2 27.3 31.0 18.8 5.2 0.3 92.8 11th
Total 10.2 27.3 31.0 20.0 9.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.3% 0.3
7-13 2.3% 2.3
6-14 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-15 20.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 19.9
4-16 31.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 30.9
3-17 27.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 27.2
2-18 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.2%