IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#357
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#333
Pace92.4#1
Improvement-2.7#336

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#323
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#228
Layup/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#85
Freethrows-3.4#337
Improvement-2.3#338

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#362
First Shot-5.6#342
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#334
Layups/Dunks-7.1#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows-2.8#334
Improvement-0.5#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.2% 68.3% 78.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 44 - 135 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 31 @Ohio St. L 102-118 1%     0 - 1 +0.7 +17.3 -13.6
  Thu, Nov 6 201 LIU Brooklyn L 90-94 21%     0 - 2 -9.6 -3.2 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 8 57 @Butler L 80-112 2%     0 - 3 -19.3 -6.4 -5.8
  Fri, Nov 14 224 @Eastern Michigan W 90-83 11%     1 - 3 +6.2 +8.0 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 18 256 @Charleston Southern L 91-103 14%     1 - 4 -14.4 +4.6 -17.2
  Fri, Nov 21 278 Alabama St. L 80-101 23%     1 - 5 -27.4 -7.8 -16.9
  Sun, Nov 23 322 @Air Force L 85-98 24%     1 - 6 -19.7 +1.5 -19.7
  Sat, Nov 29 310 Morehead St. W 85-80 41%     2 - 6 -6.7 -5.0 -2.4
  Wed, Dec 3 296 @Detroit Mercy L 78-92 18%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -18.2 +1.6 -19.6
  Sat, Dec 6 166 Youngstown St. L 55-78 16%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -26.6 -15.8 -12.0
  Thu, Dec 11 264 Green Bay L 75-85 30%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -18.7 -6.7 -11.5
  Mon, Dec 22 91 @Grand Canyon L 72-95 2%    
  Mon, Dec 29 329 @Cleveland St. L 88-95 25%    
  Thu, Jan 1 195 @Northern Kentucky L 79-94 8%    
  Sun, Jan 4 153 Wright St. L 78-90 14%    
  Fri, Jan 9 264 @Green Bay L 77-88 14%    
  Sun, Jan 11 233 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 82-95 12%    
  Thu, Jan 15 183 Robert Morris L 78-87 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 296 Detroit Mercy L 83-87 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 144 @Oakland L 87-105 5%    
  Sun, Jan 25 220 Purdue Fort Wayne L 87-94 24%    
  Wed, Jan 28 183 @Robert Morris L 75-90 7%    
  Fri, Jan 30 166 @Youngstown St. L 76-92 6%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 Cleveland St. L 91-92 46%    
  Thu, Feb 12 195 Northern Kentucky L 82-91 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 84-97 11%    
  Thu, Feb 19 153 @Wright St. L 75-93 6%    
  Wed, Feb 25 144 Oakland L 90-102 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 233 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 85-92 27%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.3 2.1 5.7 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 24.1 10th
11th 6.8 16.1 19.6 14.2 7.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 66.6 11th
Total 6.8 16.4 21.7 20.0 15.6 9.9 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.2% 0.2
9-11 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
8-12 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
7-13 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
6-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-16 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
3-17 20.0% 20.0
2-18 21.7% 21.7
1-19 16.4% 16.4
0-20 6.8% 6.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.2%