IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.9	#333
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#255

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	5.0%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	12.7	13.9

.500 or above	19.8%	59.4%	19.0%
.500 or above in Conference	31.1%	62.3%	30.5%
Conference Champion	1.7%	6.8%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	15.1%	3.7%	15.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	1.9%	5.0%	1.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 6	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	38	@ San Diego St.	L	53-75	2%
Nov 08, 2025	198	@ Fresno St.	L	68-74	29%
Nov 12, 2025	219	@ Pacific	L	65-70	33%
Nov 16, 2025	109	Illinois St.	L	65-71	28%
Nov 21, 2025	217	Montana St.	W	66-65	53%
Nov 26, 2025	262	@ Portland	L	68-71	40%
Nov 30, 2025	183	San Diego	L	72-73	47%
Dec 04, 2025	135	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	61-71	19%
Dec 06, 2025	117	UC San Diego	L	63-68	33%
Dec 09, 2025	159	@ San Jose St.	L	62-70	24%
Dec 18, 2025	239	Pepperdine	W	70-68	57%
Dec 21, 2025	20	@ Iowa St.	L	55-80	2%
Jan 03, 2026	256	Cal Poly	W	78-75	59%
Jan 08, 2026	93	@ UC Irvine	L	60-74	12%
Jan 10, 2026	223	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	67-66	54%
Jan 15, 2026	258	UC Riverside	W	69-66	59%
Jan 17, 2026	176	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	69-76	27%
Jan 22, 2026	337	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	67-65	57%
Jan 24, 2026	135	UC Santa Barbara	L	64-68	36%
Jan 29, 2026	258	@ UC Riverside	L	66-69	39%
Jan 31, 2026	134	Hawaii	L	63-67	37%
Feb 05, 2026	117	@ UC San Diego	L	60-71	18%
Feb 12, 2026	337	Cal St. Fullerton	W	70-62	75%
Feb 14, 2026	252	@ UC Davis	L	63-67	39%
Feb 19, 2026	93	UC Irvine	L	63-71	27%
Feb 21, 2026	176	Cal St. Northridge	L	72-73	46%
Feb 26, 2026	256	@ Cal Poly	L	75-78	38%
Feb 28, 2026	223	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	64-69	34%
Mar 05, 2026	252	UC Davis	W	66-64	58%
Mar 08, 2026	134	@ Hawaii	L	60-70	21%
Projected Record						11 - 19	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				3.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0					5.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	2.5	1.2	0.2	0.0							7.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.0	3.1	3.1	1.2	0.2	0.0								8.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.6	4.1	3.7	1.2	0.1	0.0									10.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.1	4.8	3.9	1.1	0.1	0.0										12.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.7	4.9	3.7	1.0	0.1												13.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.2	3.6	5.1	3.1	0.7	0.1													14.0	9th
10th		0.0	0.5	2.3	4.0	4.2	2.3	0.4	0.0														13.9	10th
11th	0.3	1.3	2.5	2.9	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0															9.7	11th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.0	5.4	7.1	9.1	10.6	10.8	11.0	10.1	8.7	7.2	5.5	4.1	2.5	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	90.4%	0.2		0.1	0.0
17-3	73.3%	0.3		0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	52.7%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	27.6%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1
14-6	7.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	11.0												0.0								100.0%
19-1	0.1%		49.8%	49.8%		11.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
18-2	0.2%		30.9%	30.9%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-3	0.4%		30.8%	30.8%		12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3
16-4	0.9%		23.6%	23.6%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7
15-5	1.6%		18.2%	18.2%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.3
14-6	2.5%		11.2%	11.2%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		2.2
13-7	4.1%		7.6%	7.6%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.8
12-8	5.5%		4.3%	4.3%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.2
11-9	7.2%		2.1%	2.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	7.1
10-10	8.7%		1.4%	1.4%		16.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	8.6
9-11	10.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.1
8-12	11.0%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.0
7-13	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
6-14	10.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
5-15	9.1%																							9.1
4-16	7.1%																							7.1
3-17	5.4%																							5.4
2-18	3.0%																							3.0
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	14.1											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.2	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%