New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#244
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#200
Pace72.6#96
Improvement-4.7#358

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#192
First Shot-1.9#223
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#115
Layup/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows+2.7#44
Improvement-0.9#253

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#303
First Shot-0.1#175
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#352
Layups/Dunks+3.1#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#105
Freethrows-3.8#351
Improvement-3.9#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.1% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 10.1% 18.9% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.1% 54.6% 30.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 5.1% 14.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 54 @TCU W 78-74 6%     1 - 0 +17.0 +8.6 +8.1
  Mon, Nov 10 35 @LSU L 58-93 4%     1 - 1 -19.1 -9.8 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 14 199 @Tulane W 85-63 30%     2 - 1 +22.5 +16.0 +7.9
  Tue, Nov 18 294 @Pepperdine L 79-90 47%     2 - 2 -15.2 +2.5 -17.1
  Fri, Nov 21 181 @Fresno St. L 76-85 27%     2 - 3 -7.5 -2.9 -3.7
  Mon, Nov 24 84 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 9%     2 - 4 +6.6 +1.8 +5.1
  Wed, Nov 26 27 @Texas Tech L 50-82 3%     2 - 5 -14.3 -16.9 +2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 76 @Memphis L 70-86 8%     2 - 6 -5.4 +4.1 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 6 279 Houston Christian L 76-85 67%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -18.4 +1.0 -19.9
  Mon, Dec 8 173 Incarnate Word W 84-83 47%     3 - 7 1 - 1 -3.0 +8.0 -11.0
  Sat, Dec 13 8 @Houston L 57-99 1%     3 - 8 -19.0 -1.6 -18.8
  Mon, Dec 29 190 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-81 29%    
  Wed, Dec 31 218 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 273 @Northwestern St. L 74-76 43%    
  Mon, Jan 5 298 East Texas A&M W 79-73 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 236 Nicholls St. W 77-75 59%    
  Mon, Jan 12 272 @SE Louisiana L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 134 Stephen F. Austin L 73-76 38%    
  Mon, Jan 19 242 Lamar W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 71 @McNeese St. L 67-83 8%    
  Mon, Jan 26 236 @Nicholls St. L 74-78 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 273 Northwestern St. W 77-73 65%    
  Mon, Feb 2 298 @East Texas A&M L 76-77 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 190 UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-77 50%    
  Mon, Feb 9 218 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 279 @Houston Christian L 74-75 45%    
  Mon, Feb 16 173 @Incarnate Word L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 242 @Lamar L 70-73 39%    
  Mon, Feb 23 134 @Stephen F. Austin L 70-79 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 71 McNeese St. L 70-80 19%    
  Mon, Mar 2 272 SE Louisiana W 75-71 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.8 1.4 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.1 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 2.6 0.2 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 2.7 0.4 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 3.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.3 6.9 9.9 11.8 13.3 13.4 12.2 9.1 7.0 4.4 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-4 64.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 35.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
16-6 16.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 29.4% 29.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.5% 15.4% 15.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.4
16-6 1.1% 9.5% 9.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
15-7 2.6% 10.2% 10.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-8 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
13-9 7.0% 3.2% 3.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.8
12-10 9.1% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.1 0.1 8.9
11-11 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
10-12 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.3
9-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
8-14 11.8% 11.8
7-15 9.9% 9.9
6-16 6.9% 6.9
5-17 4.3% 4.3
4-18 2.1% 2.1
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.3% 0.3
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 98.7 0.0%