Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#232
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#274
Pace70.8#147
Improvement+3.5#27

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#255
First Shot-1.5#215
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks-1.0#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#90
Freethrows-0.9#240
Improvement+3.7#5

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot-1.6#225
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#167
Layups/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#124
Freethrows-2.2#316
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 9.1% 16.1% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.1% 70.6% 46.1%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.7% 6.5%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round1.9% 3.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 49 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 19 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -6.6 -11.6 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 7 325 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 59%     0 - 2 -14.8 -16.8 +2.0
  Wed, Nov 12 216 @Valparaiso L 63-68 36%     0 - 3 -5.7 -1.8 -4.4
  Sat, Nov 15 99 @Murray St. L 79-99 12%     0 - 4 -11.7 +1.4 -11.6
  Sat, Nov 22 57 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 7%     0 - 5 -1.8 +1.0 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 193 @Tulane L 72-82 31%     0 - 6 -9.1 -0.8 -8.5
  Tue, Dec 2 37 @Creighton L 76-96 4%     0 - 7 -3.9 +12.8 -17.1
  Sat, Dec 6 164 Incarnate Word W 74-67 46%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +3.7 +2.1 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 17 281 Houston Christian W 79-64 68%     2 - 7 2 - 0 +5.6 +0.5 +5.4
  Sun, Dec 21 135 @Pacific L 82-95 20%     2 - 8 -8.3 +9.1 -17.1
  Mon, Dec 29 215 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-72 37%    
  Wed, Dec 31 192 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 305 East Texas A&M W 78-71 73%    
  Mon, Jan 5 275 Northwestern St. W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 242 @New Orleans L 75-78 40%    
  Mon, Jan 12 70 @McNeese St. L 64-79 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 255 Lamar W 71-67 64%    
  Mon, Jan 19 136 Stephen F. Austin L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 268 @SE Louisiana L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Jan 26 242 New Orleans W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 305 @East Texas A&M W 75-74 53%    
  Mon, Feb 2 275 @Northwestern St. L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 215 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-69 58%    
  Mon, Feb 9 192 UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 164 @Incarnate Word L 69-76 26%    
  Mon, Feb 16 281 @Houston Christian L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 136 @Stephen F. Austin L 67-76 21%    
  Mon, Feb 23 255 @Lamar L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 268 SE Louisiana W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Mar 2 70 McNeese St. L 67-76 20%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.9 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.9 5.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 2.0 0.2 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 5.9 8.8 11.3 13.2 13.3 12.4 10.5 7.8 5.3 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 86.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1
18-4 55.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 31.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
16-6 11.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.3% 18.4% 18.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.7% 17.5% 17.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-5 1.6% 15.8% 15.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
16-6 3.2% 11.1% 11.1% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.8
15-7 5.3% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 4.9
14-8 7.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 7.4
13-9 10.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.2
12-10 12.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.2
11-11 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.2
10-12 13.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.2
9-13 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
8-14 8.8% 8.8
7-15 5.9% 5.9
6-16 3.4% 3.4
5-17 1.5% 1.5
4-18 0.6% 0.6
3-19 0.2% 0.2
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 97.8 0.0%