Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#125
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Pace73.4#72
Improvement+0.4#155

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#114
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#48
Layup/Dunks-4.0#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#105
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-0.7#240

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#167
First Shot-0.3#186
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#159
Layups/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#77
Freethrows-4.2#357
Improvement+1.1#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 19.4% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 84.8% 92.0% 78.5%
.500 or above in Conference 84.5% 88.6% 80.9%
Conference Champion 22.3% 26.4% 18.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round16.6% 19.4% 14.1%
Second Round1.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 38 - 59 - 10
Quad 49 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 27 @Texas Tech L 77-98 8%     0 - 1 -3.2 +10.1 -13.2
  Sat, Nov 15 120 @Utah L 79-85 36%     0 - 2 -0.1 +3.3 -3.1
  Wed, Nov 19 89 Wyoming W 78-70 48%     1 - 2 +10.9 +4.6 +6.2
  Wed, Nov 26 162 Idaho St. W 84-81 60%     2 - 2 +2.9 +8.5 -5.8
  Fri, Nov 28 172 Idaho W 94-68 63%     3 - 2 +25.1 +27.5 +0.1
  Tue, Dec 2 51 @Oklahoma St. L 83-93 15%     3 - 3 +3.3 +6.2 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 318 @Texas Southern W 82-70 80%     4 - 3 +5.7 -2.1 +6.4
  Wed, Dec 17 157 @Oregon St. L 73-74 47%    
  Sun, Dec 21 133 @New Mexico St. L 72-74 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 145 @Western Kentucky L 81-82 44%    
  Sun, Jan 4 158 @Middle Tennessee L 77-78 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 284 Delaware W 80-68 87%    
  Sat, Jan 10 107 Liberty W 76-74 56%    
  Wed, Jan 14 253 @Jacksonville St. W 74-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 187 @Florida International W 81-80 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 159 Kennesaw St. W 88-83 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 145 Western Kentucky W 84-79 66%    
  Wed, Jan 28 260 @Missouri St. W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 179 Louisiana Tech W 73-66 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 218 UTEP W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 179 @Louisiana Tech W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 159 @Kennesaw St. L 85-86 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 158 Middle Tennessee W 80-75 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 253 Jacksonville St. W 77-66 82%    
  Thu, Feb 26 187 Florida International W 84-77 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 260 Missouri St. W 77-66 83%    
  Thu, Mar 5 284 @Delaware W 77-71 70%    
  Sat, Mar 7 107 @Liberty L 73-77 35%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.0 5.9 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 22.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.2 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.8 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.2 6.4 8.8 10.5 12.4 12.8 12.5 10.7 7.9 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
18-2 98.2% 2.5    2.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 91.4% 4.7    4.1 0.6 0.0
16-4 74.3% 5.9    4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 46.6% 5.0    2.4 2.1 0.5 0.0
14-6 20.1% 2.5    0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-7 4.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 22.3% 22.3 14.8 5.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 43.5% 40.3% 3.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4%
19-1 0.9% 51.7% 51.3% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8%
18-2 2.6% 40.4% 40.4% 11.9 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5
17-3 5.2% 37.2% 37.2% 12.2 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 3.3
16-4 7.9% 30.7% 30.7% 12.5 0.1 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.5
15-5 10.7% 24.4% 24.4% 12.8 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.1
14-6 12.5% 20.9% 20.9% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.0 9.9
13-7 12.8% 16.8% 16.8% 13.3 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 10.7
12-8 12.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 10.9
11-9 10.5% 8.7% 8.7% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 9.6
10-10 8.8% 6.1% 6.1% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.2
9-11 6.4% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.1
8-12 4.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 4.1
7-13 2.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.6
6-14 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-15 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.2 6.6 3.1 0.7 0.1 83.4 0.0%