UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.2#30
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#46
Pace63.3#328
Improvement+3.6#21

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#24
First Shot+8.8#13
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#189
Layup/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#90
Freethrows+2.1#71
Improvement+4.2#4

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#39
First Shot+4.7#46
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks+3.1#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-0.6#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
Top 4 Seed 9.6% 9.7% 4.0%
Top 6 Seed 30.0% 30.2% 14.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.8% 78.1% 57.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 77.3% 77.6% 56.3%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 7.8
.500 or above 96.2% 96.4% 85.0%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 84.3% 71.0%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.1% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Four5.7% 5.7% 7.5%
First Round75.2% 75.5% 54.4%
Second Round47.8% 48.0% 29.6%
Sweet Sixteen17.5% 17.7% 7.7%
Elite Eight6.6% 6.6% 2.4%
Final Four2.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 9
Quad 26 - 211 - 12
Quad 32 - 014 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 250 Eastern Washington W 80-74 97%     1 - 0 -2.1 -0.1 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 7 294 Pepperdine W 74-63 98%     2 - 0 +0.8 +7.2 -5.1
  Mon, Nov 10 313 West Georgia W 83-62 98%     3 - 0 +9.1 +10.2 +0.4
  Fri, Nov 14 3 Arizona L 65-69 21%     3 - 1 +18.6 +5.6 +12.8
  Tue, Nov 18 281 Sacramento St. W 79-48 98%     4 - 1 +21.5 +1.5 +19.7
  Fri, Nov 21 277 Presbyterian W 86-46 98%     5 - 1 +30.7 +14.1 +18.2
  Tue, Nov 25 80 California L 72-80 75%     5 - 2 -0.9 +1.4 -2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 48 @Washington W 82-80 51%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +16.0 +21.0 -4.9
  Sat, Dec 6 62 Oregon W 74-63 79%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +16.9 +14.8 +3.8
  Sat, Dec 13 5 Gonzaga L 72-82 24%     7 - 3 +11.8 +14.1 -3.0
  Wed, Dec 17 63 Arizona St. W 90-77 79%     8 - 3 +18.9 +17.2 +1.5
  Fri, Dec 19 252 Cal Poly W 91-69 98%    
  Tue, Dec 23 265 UC Riverside W 83-60 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 22 @Iowa L 66-70 34%    
  Tue, Jan 6 43 @Wisconsin L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 95 Maryland W 79-67 86%    
  Wed, Jan 14 105 @Penn St. W 79-72 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 31 @Ohio St. L 73-75 41%    
  Tue, Jan 20 7 Purdue L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 59 Northwestern W 77-69 77%    
  Wed, Jan 28 62 @Oregon W 74-72 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 26 Indiana W 73-71 60%    
  Tue, Feb 3 130 Rutgers W 78-63 92%    
  Sat, Feb 7 48 Washington W 76-70 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 67-83 8%    
  Tue, Feb 17 11 @Michigan St. L 65-72 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 12 Illinois L 75-76 47%    
  Tue, Feb 24 36 USC W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 96 @Minnesota W 71-65 71%    
  Tue, Mar 3 24 Nebraska W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 36 @USC L 75-76 46%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.7 1.3 0.3 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.9 1.4 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.6 1.9 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 6.0 2.8 0.3 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.2 0.3 5.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.5 7.6 11.3 14.3 15.5 14.8 12.4 8.3 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 66.8% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-3 34.2% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 11.3% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 1.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.1% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 3.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.5% 99.9% 6.7% 93.1% 4.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 8.3% 99.9% 5.1% 94.9% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 12.4% 99.7% 3.8% 95.9% 6.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 14.8% 98.1% 2.5% 95.7% 7.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.1 4.6 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 98.1%
12-8 15.5% 93.5% 1.4% 92.1% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 4.5 3.2 1.5 0.2 1.0 93.4%
11-9 14.3% 82.1% 0.5% 81.7% 8.9 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 3.6 2.8 1.1 2.6 82.1%
10-10 11.3% 59.5% 0.3% 59.2% 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.4 0.0 4.6 59.4%
9-11 7.6% 25.5% 0.1% 25.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.1 5.6 25.5%
8-12 4.5% 4.8% 0.1% 4.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 4.6%
7-13 2.4% 2.4
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 77.8% 2.2% 75.6% 7.1 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.6 9.3 11.1 12.9 12.6 9.8 7.2 5.2 0.1 22.2 77.3%