UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +13.9 #35
Expected Predictive Rating +13.2 #42
Pace 63.9 #306
Improvement +1.7 #112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #45 B B B B D-
Defense #33 B B- B+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #299 1.29 #54 -0.2 #181
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #31 0.79 #118 +4.0 #27
Three Pointers 36% #284 1.17 #18 +0.3 #167
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #65 +4.1 #65
Freethrows 0.34 #81 76% #66 0.25 #53
Second Chance 32.9% #120 1.15 #42 0.38 #55
Turnovers 14.1% #40
Total Offense +7.4 #45

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #339 1.15 #163 +4.4 #50
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #151 0.76 #193 -0.4 #213
Three Pointers 47% #31 0.85 #15 +0.8 #148
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #49 +4.8 #49
Freethrows 0.29 #160 75% #307 0.22 #189
Second Chance 29.5% #129 0.94 #63 0.28 #84
Turnovers 19.9% #32
Total Defense +6.6 #33

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.9% #332 -1.2% #75
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.3% #32 -8.3% #42
Possession Length 17.0 #147 19.1 #361
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #124 0.14 #71
Improvement -0.2 #191 +1.9 #77

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.3% 4.5% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.4% 75.1% 57.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 73.1% 74.8% 57.3%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.3
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 98.8%
.500 or above in Conference 91.4% 93.5% 72.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.4% 13.3% 14.3%
First Round67.5% 69.3% 51.0%
Second Round33.3% 34.3% 23.7%
Sweet Sixteen8.0% 8.3% 5.2%
Elite Eight2.8% 2.8% 2.0%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Home) - 90.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 25 - 29 - 12
Quad 33 - 012 - 13
Quad 48 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 245 Eastern Washington W 80 - 74 97% +7  1 - 0 -2 +0 C D+ A+ -2 F A A-
 Fri, Nov 7 283 Pepperdine W 74 - 63 98% +10  2 - 0 +1 +7 C A C+ -5 B+ F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 325 West Georgia W 83 - 62 99% +11  3 - 0 +8 +9 B C D +0 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 14 2 Arizona L 65 - 69 17% +1  3 - 1 +20 +7 A+ D F +13 A+ C A+
 Tue, Nov 18 274 Sacramento St. W 79 - 48 97% +19  4 - 1 +22 -0 C- A F +22 A+ B B
 Fri, Nov 21 262 Presbyterian W 86 - 46 97% +24  5 - 1 +31 +13 A+ A+ C- +20 A+ A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 64 California L 72 - 80 69% -2  5 - 2 +1 +3 C- B+ C+ -3 D+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 41 @Washington W 82 - 80 45% +3  6 - 2 1 - 0 +17 +23 A+ A+ A+ -5 D+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 82 Oregon W 74 - 63 83% +8  7 - 2 2 - 0 +15 +14 B A C+ +3 A+ F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 11 Gonzaga L 72 - 82 29% -2  7 - 3 +10 +14 A+ C A+ -5 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 77 Arizona St. W 90 - 77 81% +9  8 - 3 +18 +16 A- C- A+ +1 A+ C- C
 Fri, Dec 19 263 Cal Poly W 108 - 87 97% +7  9 - 3 +12 +18 A+ D A+ -8 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 291 UC Riverside W 97 - 65 98% +14  10 - 3 +21 +10 C- A+ B- +9 C A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 21 @Iowa L 61 - 74 29% -10  10 - 4 2 - 1 +7 +6 B- F+ B+ -1 D A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 37 @Wisconsin L 72 - 80 40% -12  10 - 5 2 - 2 +9 +4 C- B B- +5 B- C C
 Sat, Jan 10 107 Maryland W 67 - 55 89% +9  11 - 5 3 - 2 +13 -0 F+ C A+ +14 A+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 112 @Penn St. W 71 - 60 77% +3  12 - 5 4 - 2 +17 +10 D- A+ F +9 B A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 36 @Ohio St. L 74 - 86 40% -9  12 - 6 4 - 3 +5 +16 B B- A+ -13 B- F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 8 Purdue W 69 - 67 35% -2  13 - 6 5 - 3 +20 +15 A+ F C+ +5 A+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 24 63 Northwestern W 71 - 64 78% +9  14 - 6 6 - 3 +13 +6 A C B +7 A- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 82 @Oregon W 73 - 57 66% +11  15 - 6 7 - 3 +26 +14 D- A+ A+ +14 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 30 Indiana L 97 - 98 2OT 58% +0  15 - 7 7 - 4 +11 +8 D+ A+ A+ +3 A+ C+ C-
 Tue, Feb 3 114 Rutgers W 78 - 64 90%
 Sat, Feb 7 41 Washington W 75 - 70 67%
 Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 69 - 83 9%
 Tue, Feb 17 10 @Michigan St. L 63 - 72 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 7 Illinois L 72 - 76 34%
 Tue, Feb 24 48 USC W 76 - 70 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 76 @Minnesota W 68 - 65 62%
 Tue, Mar 3 13 Nebraska L 70 - 72 45%
 Sat, Mar 7 48 @USC L 73 - 74 48%
Totals 19 - 12 11 - 9 +14 +7 B B B +7 B B- B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.7 2.2 0.4 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.3 2.5 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 9.4 7.7 0.6 18.9 6th
7th 0.4 7.5 11.7 2.1 0.0 21.7 7th
8th 0.0 2.7 11.1 3.8 0.2 17.7 8th
9th 0.4 6.6 5.1 0.3 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 5.2 0.8 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.2 1.3 0.1 5.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.2 1.7 6.8 16.3 25.8 26.3 15.9 5.9 1.2 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.2% 100.0% 3.9% 96.1% 5.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.9% 99.3% 3.8% 95.6% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 99.3%
13-7 15.9% 96.5% 1.5% 94.9% 8.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.9 5.0 4.4 1.6 0.2 0.6 96.4%
12-8 26.3% 88.9% 1.3% 87.6% 9.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 5.0 7.2 6.5 2.3 2.9 88.7%
11-9 25.8% 74.4% 0.7% 73.8% 9.8 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.0 7.3 5.6 0.0 6.6 74.3%
10-10 16.3% 45.5% 0.4% 45.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.6 0.1 8.9 45.2%
9-11 6.8% 14.2% 0.3% 13.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 5.8 14.0%
8-12 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.2%
7-13 0.2% 0.2
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 73.4% 1.1% 72.3% 9.0 26.6 73.1%