UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#219
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#263
Pace67.5#236
Improvement+0.3#153

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#188
First Shot-2.4#237
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#86
Layup/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#289
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+0.0#175

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#262
First Shot-1.6#232
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks-3.7#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#33
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+0.3#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 9.5% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 27.7% 48.6% 23.3%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 76.1% 65.1%
Conference Champion 5.3% 7.8% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.1% 1.9%
First Four2.2% 1.7% 2.2%
First Round5.7% 8.8% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 17.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 100 @Wichita St. L 58-75 14%     0 - 1 -9.1 -8.9 -0.8
  Sat, Nov 8 235 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 41%     0 - 2 -4.1 +3.6 -7.3
  Tue, Nov 11 142 Lipscomb W 69-64 43%     1 - 2 +3.2 +1.9 +1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 297 @Western Carolina L 73-80 53%     1 - 3 -11.3 +5.4 -17.4
  Tue, Nov 25 230 Tennessee St. L 73-75 63%     1 - 4 -9.1 -3.8 -5.1
  Sun, Nov 30 225 Appalachian St. W 67-55 62%     2 - 4 +5.2 -2.1 +8.3
  Tue, Dec 2 291 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 63%     3 - 4 -2.1 +11.0 -12.7
  Sat, Dec 6 29 @North Carolina St. L 63-75 4%     3 - 5 +5.3 -1.2 +6.1
  Wed, Dec 10 103 Miami (OH) L 87-90 OT 31%     3 - 6 -1.4 +4.6 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 13 131 St. Thomas L 59-80 41%     3 - 7 -22.3 -11.9 -11.4
  Sun, Dec 21 112 @UAB L 71-81 17%    
  Wed, Dec 31 106 High Point L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 256 @Charleston Southern L 73-74 45%    
  Wed, Jan 7 293 Longwood W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 253 @Radford L 78-79 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 277 @Presbyterian L 66-67 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 113 Winthrop L 76-80 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 258 @South Carolina Upstate L 73-74 47%    
  Thu, Jan 29 362 Gardner-Webb W 84-69 92%    
  Sat, Jan 31 113 @Winthrop L 73-83 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 258 South Carolina Upstate W 76-71 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 293 @Longwood W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 277 Presbyterian W 70-64 69%    
  Thu, Feb 19 106 @High Point L 74-85 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 253 Radford W 81-76 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 362 @Gardner-Webb W 81-72 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 256 Charleston Southern W 76-71 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.5 9.1 4.6 0.8 0.0 24.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 7.6 7.1 1.9 0.2 19.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.3 5.4 1.0 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 5.8 9.6 13.0 15.9 16.3 14.0 10.5 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 94.2% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-3 60.8% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1
12-4 26.1% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-5 6.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 15.3% 15.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.9% 22.5% 22.5% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.9% 23.7% 23.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.2
12-4 6.4% 15.8% 15.8% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 5.4
11-5 10.5% 11.5% 11.5% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 9.3
10-6 14.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 12.8
9-7 16.3% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.1 0.8 15.4
8-8 15.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 15.2
7-9 13.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.5 12.5
6-10 9.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.4
5-11 5.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.7
4-12 2.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-13 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 3.4 93.4 0.0%