Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#231
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#199
Pace60.0#364
Improvement+4.7#6

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#257
First Shot-5.1#318
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#74
Layup/Dunks-2.0#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
Freethrows-2.6#317
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
First Shot+0.5#150
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#274
Layups/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#250
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement+4.8#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.7% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.8
.500 or above 53.2% 62.6% 36.5%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 69.2% 42.6%
Conference Champion 4.5% 6.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.8% 3.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round3.6% 4.7% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 411 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 323 @Central Michigan L 66-82 60%     0 - 1 -22.7 -5.6 -18.3
  Sun, Nov 9 350 NC Central W 76-54 85%     1 - 1 +6.7 +4.7 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 11 31 @Ohio St. L 53-75 4%     1 - 2 -5.4 -5.6 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 245 @Dartmouth W 85-77 41%     2 - 2 +6.2 +9.5 -3.5
  Fri, Nov 21 194 Charlotte W 65-63 55%     3 - 2 -3.4 +4.1 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 24 190 Elon L 53-88 53%     3 - 3 -39.9 -18.4 -26.6
  Wed, Nov 26 168 @Mercer L 67-75 27%     3 - 4 -5.8 +2.9 -9.7
  Sun, Nov 30 222 @UNC Asheville L 55-67 37%     3 - 5 -12.6 -14.3 +0.7
  Thu, Dec 11 280 @East Carolina W 67-54 48%     4 - 5 +9.5 -0.5 +11.0
  Sun, Dec 14 105 High Point W 86-78 OT 22%     5 - 5 +12.0 +5.7 +5.7
  Thu, Dec 18 244 Coastal Carolina W 69-65 64%    
  Sat, Dec 20 334 Georgia St. W 71-61 82%    
  Wed, Dec 31 215 @Old Dominion L 66-70 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 161 @Marshall L 65-72 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 334 @Georgia St. W 68-64 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 244 @Coastal Carolina L 66-68 42%    
  Thu, Jan 15 182 James Madison W 68-67 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 215 Old Dominion W 69-67 58%    
  Thu, Jan 22 325 Louisiana W 66-57 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 358 Louisiana Monroe W 75-62 88%    
  Thu, Jan 29 201 @Southern Miss L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 143 @Troy L 63-71 23%    
  Wed, Feb 4 179 South Alabama W 64-63 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 230 @Georgia Southern L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 182 @James Madison L 65-70 31%    
  Thu, Feb 19 161 Marshall L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 230 Georgia Southern W 73-70 60%    
  Fri, Feb 27 240 @Texas St. L 62-65 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.9 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.2 1.2 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.7 2.6 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 4.4 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.2 0.1 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 2.4 0.3 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.2 2.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.4 7.8 11.1 13.5 14.7 13.8 11.7 8.8 5.7 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 84.0% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 50.7% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.0% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 29.0% 29.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.5% 32.9% 32.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.9% 19.3% 19.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.4
13-5 5.7% 13.4% 13.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.9
12-6 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 8.0
11-7 11.7% 4.3% 4.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.2
10-8 13.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.6
9-9 14.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6
8-10 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.8
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 0.4 96.4 0.0%