UTEP
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#218
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#315
Pace63.7#320
Improvement+2.0#62

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#277
First Shot-4.2#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#170
Layup/Dunks-2.2#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows-3.9#351
Improvement+1.4#81

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#144
First Shot+1.4#120
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#262
Layups/Dunks+4.2#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
Freethrows-2.3#317
Improvement+0.6#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.2% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 11.4% 15.4% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 42.3% 29.4%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 10.7% 17.7%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round2.4% 3.0% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 94 - 15
Quad 46 - 410 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 11 143 Loyola Marymount L 58-71 44%     0 - 1 -14.9 -5.5 -10.8
  Sat, Nov 15 44 @Utah St. L 51-75 6%     0 - 2 -9.7 -14.1 +3.7
  Mon, Nov 24 121 William & Mary L 63-74 27%     0 - 3 -8.1 -11.4 +3.9
  Tue, Nov 25 118 UAB L 59-75 26%     0 - 4 -12.9 -6.7 -7.9
  Sun, Dec 7 117 @Seattle L 68-75 18%     0 - 5 -0.9 +3.4 -4.6
  Sat, Dec 13 110 @Hawaii L 61-66 17%     0 - 6 +1.5 +1.1 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 21 233 Norfolk St. W 66-62 63%    
  Mon, Dec 29 179 @Louisiana Tech L 60-65 31%    
  Fri, Jan 2 260 @Missouri St. L 63-64 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 187 @Florida International L 69-74 33%    
  Thu, Jan 8 158 Middle Tennessee L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 145 Western Kentucky L 71-72 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 284 @Delaware W 66-65 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 107 @Liberty L 62-72 18%    
  Thu, Jan 22 187 Florida International W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 Missouri St. W 66-61 67%    
  Wed, Jan 28 179 Louisiana Tech W 63-62 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 Delaware W 69-63 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 125 @Sam Houston St. L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 133 New Mexico St. L 64-66 42%    
  Wed, Feb 11 253 @Jacksonville St. L 63-64 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 107 Liberty L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 133 @New Mexico St. L 61-69 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 158 @Middle Tennessee L 65-72 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 145 @Western Kentucky L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Mar 5 159 Kennesaw St. L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 253 Jacksonville St. W 66-61 66%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.9 3.9 0.8 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 3.7 1.0 0.1 11.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.7 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 8.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.8 7.3 9.7 11.6 12.4 11.9 10.9 9.2 6.7 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 91.8% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 76.9% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 47.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 20.7% 20.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 19.1% 19.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.8% 14.9% 14.9% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 1.7% 14.1% 14.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
14-6 3.0% 12.0% 12.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.6
13-7 4.8% 8.6% 8.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.4
12-8 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 6.2
11-9 9.2% 4.3% 4.3% 15.7 0.1 0.3 8.8
10-10 10.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.7
9-11 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.7
8-12 12.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-14 9.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.6
5-15 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-16 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 97.3 0.0%