Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.8 #108
Expected Predictive Rating +2.8 #116
Pace 66.4 #243
Improvement -5.6 #355

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #112 C+ C+ C B B
Defense #125 C+ B+ C D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.11 #235 +2.1 #112
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #306 0.93 #17 -0.9 #234
Three Pointers 41% #173 1.04 #155 +0.6 #151
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #123 +1.8 #121
Freethrows 0.34 #72 76% #62 0.26 #48
Second Chance 36.2% #44 0.97 #257 0.35 #96
Turnovers 17.0% #182
Total Offense +2.3 #112

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #48 1.12 #125 -2.2 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #298 0.81 #264 +1.2 #98
Three Pointers 40% #225 0.92 #57 +2.6 #82
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #129 +1.6 #128
Freethrows 0.39 #351 70% #62 0.27 #328
Second Chance 26.3% #44 0.92 #44 0.24 #29
Turnovers 16.6% #197
Total Defense +1.6 #125

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #42 1.8% #324
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.1% #152 -4.6% #89
Possession Length 18.0 #253 17.3 #187
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #250 0.13 #54
Improvement -2.7 #320 -2.9 #324

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 11.8 12.6
.500 or above 72.7% 91.3% 67.0%
.500 or above in Conference 11.1% 28.8% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Home) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 7
Quad 21 - 62 - 13
Quad 34 - 26 - 15
Quad 411 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 217 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 83% +3  1 - 0 +4 +2 C- C- A+ +0 B B+ A-
 Tue, Nov 11 170 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 76% +5  2 - 0 +10 -1 C- C D+ +10 A- B+ A
 Sat, Nov 15 205 Portland W 93 - 56 82% +16  3 - 0 +31 +17 B- A+ B+ +14 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 112 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 41% -3  3 - 1 -2 -1 B F D -0 B- B B+
 Sun, Nov 23 309 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 92% +11  4 - 1 -4 +2 F A+ F+ -5 C B C-
 Wed, Nov 26 274 Denver W 101 - 59 89% +16  5 - 1 +33 +18 B A+ C+ +15 A+ C+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 19 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  5 - 2 +17 +10 B+ D+ D+ +6 A- B+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 229 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 84% +1  6 - 2 +6 +13 A+ D B+ -8 F C B+
 Tue, Dec 9 285 South Dakota W 106 - 79 90% +15  7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ B+ B- -5 C D- C+
 Mon, Dec 15 188 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 71% +13  8 - 2 +13 +16 A A+ C- -3 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 62 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 43% -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -6 +0 D- A- B -6 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 350 @Air Force W 68 - 56 88% +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +3 -5 F A- F +8 C- A+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 49 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 17% -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -6 +2 C A- D+ -11 C F C
 Tue, Jan 6 130 UNLV W 98 - 66 68% +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +31 +20 A+ A+ C +10 A B+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 70 @Nevada L 83 - 92 24% -4  10 - 5 2 - 3 +2 +26 A+ A A+ -25 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 44 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 31% -11  10 - 6 2 - 4 -8 -5 D+ D- A -4 C A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 145 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 49% +2  10 - 7 2 - 5 +1 +1 C F D- -0 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 59 Boise St. L 65 - 81 41% -10  10 - 8 2 - 6 -10 +0 C+ B- C- -11 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 238 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 86% +3  11 - 8 3 - 6 -4 -6 D F B- +2 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 28 32 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 11% -22  11 - 9 3 - 7 -15 +1 F+ B+ B -18 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 102 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 58% +8  12 - 9 4 - 7 +13 +6 A+ D- C- +8 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 3 44 @San Diego St. L 63 - 72 15% -7  12 - 10 4 - 8 +6 +3 C B- C +2 A+ F D
 Sat, Feb 7 32 Utah St. L 70 - 78 23%
 Sat, Feb 14 102 @Colorado St. L 68 - 72 36%
 Tue, Feb 17 145 Fresno St. W 75 - 69 71%
 Sat, Feb 21 62 @Grand Canyon L 67 - 75 24%
 Tue, Feb 24 59 @Boise St. L 68 - 76 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 350 Air Force W 77 - 58 96%
 Tue, Mar 3 70 Nevada L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Mar 7 238 @San Jose St. W 74 - 69 69%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 12 +4 +2 C+ C+ C +2 C+ B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 3.5 1.2 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 4.6 11.3 4.7 0.2 20.9 7th
8th 0.1 3.0 13.4 6.7 0.5 0.0 23.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 11.8 9.7 0.9 0.0 23.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 9.7 10.5 1.7 0.0 24.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 2.5 11.4 25.4 29.4 20.1 8.9 2.0 0.2 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.2% 0.2
11-9 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 11.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
10-10 8.9% 2.3% 2.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7 0.1%
9-11 20.1% 1.0% 1.0% 12.2 0.2 0.1 19.9
8-12 29.4% 0.7% 0.7% 12.5 0.1 0.1 29.1
7-13 25.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 25.3
6-14 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 11.3
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.3 99.1 0.0%