UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.8 143
Results Rating -0.9 175
Consistency 0.15 142
Pace 63.1 321
Improvement +0.4 166

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 114 B C D B- C
Defense C- 220 C- C+ C- D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 C+ 60% 112 +0.1 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 231 C 38% 173 -0.7 222
Three Pointers 44% 115 B+ 38% 22 +4.5 47
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.2 174 B +3.5 72
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 75
Second Chance C 31.0% 166 C 1.05 152 C 0.32 145
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 306
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 258
Turnovers D 18.6% 307
Freethrows C 0.31 172 B+ 77% 28 B- 0.24 116
Total Offense C+ +2.2 114

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 302 C 11.1% 187
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 121 B- 3.7% 93
Three Pointers C+ 86% 145 C- 1.1% 260
Total C 55% 188 C+ 5.3% 161


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 154 D+ 62% 276 +2.1 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 150 D+ 41% 292 +0.9 260
Three Pointers 39% 240 C+ 33% 143 -1.4 125
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 162 C- +1.6 248
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 233
Second Chance B 27.0% 67 D 1.12 303 C+ 0.30 159
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 248
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 148
Turnovers C- 16.0% 221
Freethrows D 0.35 310 C 72% 172 D 0.25 302
Total Defense C- -1.4 220

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 117 D+ 8.3% 286
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 205 D- 1.6% 343
Three Pointers B- 80% 81 C- 0.6% 227
Total B- 52% 97 D 3.8% 316

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 318 17.6 234
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 264 0.18 196
Consistency 0.14 323 0.13 212
Improvement -3.3 323 +3.7 26

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 145 144 142
Results Rating Rank 175 174 173
Conference Record 11 - 9 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 412 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 212 San Jose St. W 85 - 74 74% +9  95% 1 - 0 B- +5 A +13 A+ B- C D- -7 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 275 @Sacramento St. W 92 - 87 66% +6  83% 2 - 0 C +1 A- +10 B D+ A+ F+ -8 F D+ C+
 Mon, Nov 17 166 Loyola Marymount L 74 - 78 OT 65% +3  56% 2 - 1 D+ -7 D -5 D C A+ C- -2 C- B B-
 Sat, Nov 22 78 @Nevada L 64 - 77 18% -8  1% 2 - 2 C- -2 D -5 D- A- F C+ +2 D A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 283 Lehigh W 72 - 70 78% -1  45% 3 - 2 D+ -5 C +0 F C- B- D -5 C D- C+
 Sat, Nov 29 120 Seattle W 74 - 71 42% +1  52% 4 - 2 B- +6 A+ +15 A+ A+ F F+ -9 F C- D-
 Thu, Dec 4 251 Long Beach St. W 84 - 77 OT 80% +1  53% 5 - 2 1 - 0 C -1 C +1 B- F D C- -2 A+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 109 - 84 92% +14  93% 6 - 2 2 - 0 B +11 A+ +22 A+ A+ B F -12 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 100 Utah Valley L 53 - 68 33% -12  0% 6 - 3 D -10 F -18 F C F A- +7 A- A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 218 @Green Bay L 64 - 67 54% -8  0% 6 - 4 C- -3 C +0 A C+ F D+ -4 F A+ D-
 Mon, Dec 22 208 Portland W 79 - 61 73% +11  78% 7 - 4 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ C+ F+ B +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 1 180 @Cal St. Fullerton L 84 - 95 46% -13  0% 7 - 5 2 - 1 D -9 C+ +3 A+ C F F -11 F+ D- D
 Sat, Jan 3 178 @Cal St. Northridge L 65 - 74 46% -6  0% 7 - 6 2 - 2 D+ -7 F -12 F F+ F+ B+ +5 C+ C- A
 Thu, Jan 8 174 UC Davis L 86 - 93 68% +3  51% 7 - 7 2 - 3 D -11 B+ +9 A+ F A+ F -19 F F D
 Thu, Jan 15 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 75 - 69 81% +9  97% 8 - 7 3 - 3 C- -2 B- +5 B- F+ C- D- -7 C F F
 Sat, Jan 17 119 Hawaii W 77 - 62 53% +12  98% 9 - 7 4 - 3 A- +15 A +14 A+ A- F+ B- +2 B- C+ B
 Thu, Jan 22 220 Cal Poly W 107 - 67 75% +24  99% 10 - 7 5 - 3 A+ +34 A+ +32 A+ A+ B B- +4 C- A- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 251 @Long Beach St. W 74 - 71 62% +8  96% 11 - 7 6 - 3 C +1 B +7 B- C+ A- D -6 F A F
 Thu, Jan 29 137 @UC San Diego W 62 - 48 36% +9  92% 12 - 7 7 - 3 A +18 D+ -4 D+ D D A+ +24 B A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 180 Cal St. Fullerton W 83 - 69 69% +13  99% 13 - 7 8 - 3 B +10 C+ +2 B+ D+ D- A- +7 B- C+ A
 Thu, Feb 5 174 @UC Davis L 75 - 85 45% -5  14% 13 - 8 8 - 4 D+ -8 B+ +8 B- C+ C- F -17 F A+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 110 UC Irvine W 84 - 79 50% +6  58% 14 - 8 9 - 4 B- +6 A +13 A+ B D D- -7 D- A+ D
 Thu, Feb 12 272 @UC Riverside W 76 - 68 65% -3  25% 15 - 8 10 - 4 C+ +5 B +7 C- A+ D C -1 F B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 220 @Cal Poly L 79 - 89 54% +0  35% 15 - 9 10 - 5 D -10 B +6 D+ B+ A- F -17 F D+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 178 Cal St. Northridge L 83 - 85 OT 68% +2  55% 15 - 10 10 - 6 D+ -6 D- -8 D- D F+ C+ +2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 119 @Hawaii L 75 - 78 OT 31% +0  52% 15 - 11 10 - 7 C+ +3 C +2 B+ F+ C- C+ +2 A F F
 Thu, Feb 26 272 UC Riverside W 70 - 59 83% +4  78% 16 - 11 11 - 7 C+ +2 D- -7 D+ C+ F A +9 A+ A D
 Sat, Feb 28 110 @UC Irvine L 60 - 64 28% -5  8% 16 - 12 11 - 8 C+ +3 D+ -3 B- A- F B+ +6 A+ F F
 Sat, Mar 7 137 UC San Diego L 63 - 64 59% -0  50% 16 - 13 11 - 9 C- -3 D+ -3 B+ B+ F C +0 B B F
 Wed, Mar 11 174 UC Davis L 73 - 79 57% -5  5% 16 - 14 D+ -7 D -5 D- F+ B+ C -1 C- B- F
Totals 16 - 14 11 - 9 +1 C+ +2 A+ B C C- -1 B+ B+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ C B+ B 37% 34% 44% C B C C C D C B+ B- C- D+ D+ C+ C- 40% 21% 39% C C- B D C+ C- D C D
1.12 60% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 31% 1.0 .32 19% .31 77% .24 1.11 62% 41% 33% +2 0 1.05 27% 1.1 .30 16% .35 72% .22
Nov
8		 San Jose St. A B- A+ A+ A+ 37% 22% 41% D A+ B+ D+ B- C A D+ A- D- C F A+ D+ 32% 32% 36% C+ D+ F F F A+ F F+ F
1.36 65% 60% 53% +19 0 1.39 42% 1.1 .46 18% .37 74% .27 1.18 57% 64% 25% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.5 .64 22% .43 81% .35
Nov
11		 Sacramento St. A- D F+ A+ B 44% 17% 39% C- B D B- D+ A+ A- B A- F+ C- F F F 40% 27% 33% C- F B- F D+ C+ D A+ C+
1.25 54% 33% 48% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.2 .34 11% .38 76% .29 1.19 57% 57% 41% +8 -1 1.17 24% 1.4 .32 16% .37 65% .24
Nov
17		 Loyola Marymount D C F F D- 39% 24% 37% C+ D D A C A+ D D+ D- C- A B- F C- 37% 21% 42% D C- D- A+ B B- F A+ F
1.00 54% 27% 26% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.3 .33 8% .25 71% .18 1.06 47% 36% 45% +3 0 1.08 31% 0.7 .21 19% .48 52% .25
Nov
22		 Nevada D C- F F F+ 38% 11% 51% B D- C A+ A- F A+ D- B+ C+ F+ F+ B+ D 45% 25% 30% D+ D A A A+ A F F F
0.94 53% 20% 26% -10 +1 0.84 26% 1.5 .39 22% .43 65% .28 1.13 65% 45% 31% +4 0 1.09 26% 0.9 .22 19% .54 87% .47
Nov
28		 Lehigh C F+ C F F 54% 22% 24% B- F B+ F C- B- A+ A+ A+ D D A+ F+ C- 20% 20% 61% B- C C+ F D- C+ F F F
1.12 48% 40% 18% -11 +1 0.83 41% 0.8 .32 14% .58 88% .51 1.09 63% 13% 40% +1 -1 1.02 21% 1.3 .29 19% .44 91% .40
Nov
29		 Seattle A+ C A+ A A+ 31% 14% 56% C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ F+ F B+ F 49% 28% 23% B F B+ F C- D- F A- F+
1.18 55% 60% 40% +7 0 1.17 50% 1.1 .54 27% .55 88% .48 1.13 67% 58% 30% +8 0 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .41 64% .26
Dec
4		 Long Beach St. C C- A A A- 15% 43% 43% F B- C F F D A+ A+ A+ C- B- A+ C A 16% 40% 44% A+ A+ F F F C F F+ F
1.14 57% 50% 40% +9 -4 1.11 28% 0.4 .13 19% .64 84% .54 1.04 56% 23% 33% -7 -4 0.80 39% 1.3 .50 18% .40 79% .31
Dec
6		 Cal St. Bakersfield A+ A A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% B- A+ A B+ A+ B A+ A A+ F C- D+ F F 37% 22% 41% F F A+ A+ A+ D F B F
1.50 70% 57% 44% +14 +1 1.33 47% 1.2 .56 15% .55 79% .44 1.15 59% 40% 53% +12 0 1.26 17% 0.4 .07 16% .61 70% .43
Dec
13		 Utah Valley F F F+ F F 57% 22% 22% B- F C C- C F D- A+ C A- A+ F C+ A 45% 11% 45% C A- C+ A+ A- B D F F+
0.78 35% 30% 20% -20 +1 0.65 31% 1.0 .31 28% .29 86% .25 1.01 43% 60% 33% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.8 .30 22% .34 78% .27
Dec
17		 Green Bay C A+ B- C+ A- 48% 12% 40% A A F+ A+ C+ F F D+ F D+ B A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ B-
1.13 75% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.24 23% 1.6 .36 19% .15 71% .11 1.18 52% 0% 52% +10 +3 1.28 11% 0.3 .04 12% .46 52% .24
Dec
22		 Portland A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 11% 55% B A+ C+ C+ C+ F+ F F F B C+ B A+ A+ 50% 19% 31% D- A+ D+ F F B A A+ A+
1.24 81% 20% 46% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.1 .37 20% .18 56% .10 0.96 58% 33% 13% -10 +1 0.83 31% 1.6 .50 22% .22 64% .14
Jan
1		 Cal St. Fullerton C+ A+ B- A+ A+ 27% 14% 59% C- A+ A- F C F F A+ D F F F A+ F 43% 25% 31% C+ F+ A F D- D F F F
1.10 85% 43% 45% +17 0 1.37 37% 0.8 .30 32% .19 100% .19 1.25 77% 54% 25% +8 0 1.18 17% 1.8 .31 13% .56 81% .45
Jan
3		 Cal St. Northridge F D+ F F F 46% 5% 48% A+ F D F F+ F+ B A+ A B+ D F A+ C+ 52% 14% 33% D C+ C D+ C- A F B+ F
0.89 54% 0% 19% -15 +3 0.77 24% 0.9 .21 19% .34 85% .29 1.01 64% 67% 14% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.1 .34 22% .65 62% .40
Jan
8		 UC Davis B+ A D A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C- A+ F C F A+ A- F C+ F F C F F 22% 22% 57% B+ F C- F F D F+ F F
1.21 68% 33% 52% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 13% .40 64% .26 1.31 91% 36% 41% +13 -1 1.25 27% 1.4 .37 15% .40 83% .33
Jan
15		 Cal St. Bakersfield B- C+ A B+ B 24% 14% 62% C- B- D+ F F+ C- A+ A A+ D- C F A+ C 39% 39% 22% B- C D+ F F F D B- C-
1.21 60% 50% 38% +6 0 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 18% .57 79% .45 1.12 56% 50% 10% -4 -2 0.89 33% 1.4 .45 13% .39 71% .28
Jan
17		 Hawaii A A+ B A+ A+ 36% 27% 38% D A+ A- C+ A- F+ C- A+ B- B- A+ F D+ C+ 39% 16% 45% B- B- D+ A- C+ B A D A-
1.24 75% 42% 41% +11 -1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 19% .30 80% .24 1.00 41% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 21% .26 77% .20
Jan
22		 Cal Poly A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% B- A+ A+ C+ A+ B F C F B- F A+ A C- 39% 7% 54% C- C- A+ F A- C- F+ A D+
1.60 95% 29% 56% +29 +1 1.63 45% 1.1 .50 13% .19 73% .14 1.00 78% 0% 28% 0 +2 1.07 17% 1.2 .21 19% .37 70% .26
Jan
24		 Long Beach St. B D- D- A+ C+ 52% 19% 29% B B- C+ C- C+ A- F+ F+ F D D F D F 38% 23% 40% F+ F A+ B A F C- F F+
1.18 52% 33% 50% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.2 .37 13% .29 69% .20 1.13 67% 45% 37% +7 0 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 13% .29 88% .26
Jan
29		 UC San Diego D+ F F A C- 24% 24% 51% D- D+ F+ B- D D A+ C- A+ A+ B A+ F+ B+ 57% 12% 31% F B C A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B
0.95 36% 27% 39% -4 -1 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 18% .37 70% .26 0.73 54% 0% 38% -5 +2 0.98 26% 0.0 .00 29% .26 58% .15
Jan
31		 Cal St. Fullerton C+ A+ A+ D+ B 38% 9% 53% B B+ B F D+ D- C A B- A- F A+ D+ B- 31% 25% 43% B+ B- A+ F C+ A C B+ B-
1.13 75% 60% 32% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.7 .25 22% .30 82% .24 0.94 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 15% 1.6 .24 20% .31 67% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 UC Davis B+ D+ A+ B+ C 68% 2% 30% A+ B- A F C+ C- A B- A F F+ A+ F F 50% 14% 36% F F D+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.16 53% 100% 38% 0 +5 1.11 42% 0.8 .33 20% .41 76% .31 1.31 68% 17% 56% +14 +2 1.34 28% 0.4 .12 15% .48 88% .42
Feb
7		 UC Irvine A A A+ D- A+ 36% 28% 36% D+ A+ B+ C B D A+ B+ A+ D- F B- D- F 36% 41% 23% A+ D- A+ A A+ D A F C
1.18 65% 69% 29% +9 -1 1.17 39% 0.9 .36 20% .44 76% .33 1.11 75% 35% 38% +6 -3 1.09 23% 0.9 .19 15% .22 92% .20
Feb
12		 UC Riverside B D- F A+ D+ 45% 17% 38% C+ C- B A+ A+ D C+ B- B- C F F D F 38% 20% 42% C+ F B+ B B A+ C A+ B
1.18 52% 13% 44% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.4 .48 17% .36 74% .26 1.06 76% 56% 37% +12 0 1.27 23% 0.8 .18 26% .30 64% .19
Feb
14		 Cal Poly B F A+ C C- 28% 15% 57% D+ D+ D A+ B+ A- B- C+ B- F F F D- F 43% 8% 49% C- F B- F D+ F F D+ F
1.18 47% 63% 33% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.6 .43 12% .32 74% .24 1.33 71% 50% 38% +9 +2 1.24 28% 1.3 .34 12% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Cal St. Northridge D- F F C D- 20% 18% 63% D D- C- F D F+ A+ A- A+ C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 48% 27% 24% A- A+ C D D+ F F C F
1.00 45% 20% 34% -5 -1 0.89 27% 0.9 .25 19% .48 81% .39 1.02 53% 22% 19% -12 0 0.77 32% 1.1 .36 7% .39 67% .26
Feb
21		 Hawaii C D+ A+ B- B 47% 15% 38% B+ B+ D- F F+ C- B+ A+ A C+ A- A+ A- A+ 47% 18% 35% C A A- F F F F A- F
1.01 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 16% .37 78% .29 1.05 50% 22% 28% -10 +1 0.84 24% 1.9 .46 12% .52 68% .35
Feb
26		 UC Riverside D- B+ D+ D+ C 32% 34% 34% F D+ C- B C+ F A+ D+ A+ A D+ B+ A+ A+ 42% 27% 31% B A+ A+ B A D F+ F+ F
1.03 67% 38% 31% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.1 .32 19% .51 68% .34 0.87 60% 31% 13% -11 -1 0.79 15% 0.8 .12 16% .37 81% .30
Feb
28		 UC Irvine D+ F A+ A- B- 31% 18% 51% C+ B- F A+ A- F D- A- D+ B+ A- B+ A+ A+ 41% 41% 17% A A+ C+ F F F F B+ F
0.91 29% 50% 39% -3 0 0.96 20% 2.0 .40 27% .19 78% .15 0.97 47% 32% 0% -16 -2 0.65 30% 1.7 .51 11% .46 63% .29
Mar
7		 UC San Diego D+ A- F A A 21% 17% 62% D+ B+ C- A+ B+ F D- A+ B- C F A+ A+ A 60% 11% 30% F B B+ C- B F D- B- D
1.01 67% 29% 38% +4 -1 1.10 27% 1.4 .38 27% .20 100% .20 1.03 71% 20% 7% -6 +3 0.96 21% 1.0 .21 11% .32 67% .22
Mar
11		 UC Davis D B F F F 52% 8% 40% A- D- D F F+ B+ B B+ B+ C D F A D 26% 34% 40% A+ C- A+ F B- F C- B- C
0.99 63% 25% 19% -8 +3 0.92 27% 0.7 .20 16% .37 78% .29 1.07 64% 56% 29% +4 -3 1.06 16% 1.4 .22 14% .35 73% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%