Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#294
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#251
Pace74.5#56
Improvement+0.2#173

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#296
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#257
Layup/Dunks-2.6#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#279
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#264
First Shot-4.3#315
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#82
Layups/Dunks+2.4#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#325
Freethrows-0.5#219
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 8.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.0 15.7
.500 or above 8.0% 31.8% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.5% 59.0% 33.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 3.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 5.2% 9.1%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.4%
First Round1.7% 7.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 49 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 78 @Cincinnati L 63-94 6%     0 - 1 -20.5 -7.0 -9.7
  Sat, Nov 8 2 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -15.4 -10.2 -1.7
  Sun, Nov 16 346 Stetson W 76-65 76%     1 - 2 -3.9 -7.2 +2.9
  Wed, Nov 19 227 UNC Asheville W 80-73 48%     2 - 2 +0.3 +9.9 -9.0
  Sat, Nov 22 142 @Lipscomb L 62-83 14%     2 - 3 -16.9 -11.4 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 95 @High Point L 73-93 8%     2 - 4 -11.6 -3.0 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-78 32%     2 - 5 -13.5 -7.1 -6.1
  Thu, Dec 11 64 @Virginia Tech L 74-96 5%     2 - 6 -10.5 +3.4 -13.1
  Thu, Dec 18 19 @Georgia L 71-97 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 244 Wofford W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 148 @Furman L 69-80 15%    
  Wed, Jan 7 232 @Samford L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 361 @The Citadel W 76-71 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 123 East Tennessee St. L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 225 Chattanooga L 75-76 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 169 @Mercer L 75-84 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 330 VMI W 79-73 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 123 @East Tennessee St. L 69-82 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 232 Samford L 76-77 49%    
  Wed, Feb 4 281 @UNC Greensboro L 74-78 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 244 @Wofford L 72-78 31%    
  Wed, Feb 11 361 The Citadel W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Feb 14 225 @Chattanooga L 72-79 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 281 UNC Greensboro W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 @VMI W 76-75 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 169 Mercer L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 148 Furman L 72-77 32%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.7 4.0 0.4 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 4.2 7.3 4.0 0.6 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.3 6.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 18.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.6 4.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.2 7.3 10.9 13.3 14.6 14.0 11.9 8.9 6.1 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 56.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 16.0% 16.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 13.3% 13.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.9% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 3.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.2
11-7 6.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 5.8
10-8 8.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.6
9-9 11.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.5
8-10 14.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.7
7-11 14.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.4
6-12 13.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.3
5-13 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
3-15 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 97.6 0.0%