Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#187
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#221
Pace78.8#16
Improvement+0.5#148

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#245
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#350
Layup/Dunks+6.8#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#209
Freethrows-2.3#309
Improvement+0.0#180

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#130
First Shot+1.7#115
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#225
Layups/Dunks-1.5#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#67
Freethrows+2.7#43
Improvement+0.5#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.5% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 13.9
.500 or above 23.1% 33.1% 14.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.8% 31.0% 21.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 12.1% 18.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.7% 2.5% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 46.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 86 - 15
Quad 47 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 195 @Charlotte L 76-92 41%     0 - 1 -15.3 +3.4 -18.9
  Mon, Nov 10 233 @SIU Edwardsville W 64-55 47%     1 - 1 +8.0 -8.0 +15.9
  Fri, Nov 14 2 @Duke L 62-100 1%     1 - 2 -12.4 -3.0 -6.2
  Wed, Nov 19 179 Louisiana Tech W 60-51 60%     2 - 2 +4.7 -13.2 +17.7
  Sat, Nov 22 308 Ball St. W 70-52 82%     3 - 2 +6.7 -1.8 +9.9
  Wed, Nov 26 179 @Louisiana Tech L 73-75 37%     3 - 3 -0.3 +6.8 -7.2
  Fri, Nov 28 331 Alcorn St. L 74-81 80%     3 - 4 -17.4 -12.3 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 7 317 Southern Indiana W 77-55 84%     4 - 4 +9.8 +5.4 +5.8
  Sun, Dec 14 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-80 47%    
  Thu, Dec 18 117 Bradley L 73-75 43%    
  Sun, Dec 21 90 @Illinois St. L 71-81 16%    
  Mon, Dec 29 85 Belmont L 78-83 32%    
  Thu, Jan 1 92 @Northern Iowa L 63-73 17%    
  Sun, Jan 4 135 @Drake L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 276 Evansville W 77-70 75%    
  Wed, Jan 14 90 Illinois St. L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 100 @Murray St. L 79-89 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 117 @Bradley L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 135 Drake L 74-75 49%    
  Tue, Jan 27 190 @Illinois-Chicago L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 212 Valparaiso W 75-70 66%    
  Tue, Feb 3 276 @Evansville W 74-73 55%    
  Mon, Feb 9 130 Southern Illinois L 77-78 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 100 Murray St. L 82-86 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 212 @Valparaiso L 72-73 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 92 Northern Iowa L 66-70 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 85 @Belmont L 75-86 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 130 @Southern Illinois L 74-81 28%    
  Sun, Mar 1 190 Illinois-Chicago W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.8 1.7 0.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.8 5.8 2.0 0.2 16.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.1 6.0 5.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 3.7 5.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 14.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.0 9.8 12.2 13.7 13.5 11.3 9.3 6.7 4.6 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 80.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-5 48.4% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 20.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 30.3% 30.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 13.6% 13.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.4% 13.4% 13.4% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
13-7 2.7% 7.6% 7.6% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5
12-8 4.6% 6.0% 6.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3
11-9 6.7% 4.1% 4.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.4
10-10 9.3% 2.8% 2.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.0
9-11 11.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.2
8-12 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.1 0.0 13.4
7-13 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.6
6-14 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-15 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-16 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 1.9% 1.9
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 98.2 0.0%