Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#190
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#283
Pace69.6#184
Improvement-0.1#200

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#172
First Shot-2.9#258
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#40
Layup/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#296
Freethrows+3.5#28
Improvement+1.6#66

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#228
First Shot+0.5#153
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#311
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#310
Freethrows+0.4#150
Improvement-1.7#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 12.1% 20.8% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 22.6% 35.8% 15.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 8.9% 20.5%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Home) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 34 - 95 - 16
Quad 47 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 298 Detroit Mercy W 91-71 79%     1 - 0 +9.5 +2.4 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 7 157 @Oregon St. L 73-76 31%     1 - 1 +0.1 +3.0 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 15 350 @Chicago St. W 67-63 77%     2 - 1 -5.6 -4.2 -1.0
  Thu, Nov 20 95 High Point L 80-90 24%     2 - 2 -4.6 +3.4 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 317 Southern Indiana W 84-73 76%     3 - 2 +1.8 +4.5 -3.3
  Wed, Nov 26 182 @Robert Morris L 74-88 37%     3 - 3 -12.6 +5.3 -18.4
  Wed, Dec 3 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 62-63 90%     3 - 4 -16.7 -19.0 +2.3
  Sun, Dec 7 79 @Yale L 66-80 13%     3 - 5 -3.6 -1.8 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 13 85 @Belmont L 84-87 14%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +6.6 +23.1 -16.8
  Wed, Dec 17 92 Northern Iowa L 64-69 34%    
  Sun, Dec 21 195 @Charlotte L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Jan 1 100 Murray St. L 80-84 36%    
  Sun, Jan 4 212 @Valparaiso L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Jan 7 130 Southern Illinois L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 90 @Illinois St. L 69-80 17%    
  Tue, Jan 13 92 @Northern Iowa L 61-72 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 135 Drake L 73-74 48%    
  Tue, Jan 20 276 Evansville W 75-68 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 117 @Bradley L 69-77 23%    
  Tue, Jan 27 187 Indiana St. W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 130 @Southern Illinois L 72-79 26%    
  Tue, Feb 3 100 @Murray St. L 77-87 19%    
  Fri, Feb 6 85 Belmont L 76-81 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 135 @Drake L 70-77 28%    
  Sun, Feb 15 90 Illinois St. L 72-77 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 276 @Evansville W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 21 212 Valparaiso W 73-69 65%    
  Tue, Feb 24 117 Bradley L 72-74 42%    
  Sun, Mar 1 187 @Indiana St. L 76-79 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.7 0.9 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.7 5.0 1.6 0.1 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.7 5.8 1.9 0.2 16.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.4 6.6 5.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 18.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.7 5.8 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 16.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 10.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.6 7.2 11.0 13.1 14.1 13.3 11.2 8.9 6.1 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 48.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 21.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 16.3% 16.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.5% 15.6% 15.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 0.9% 10.7% 10.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-7 2.1% 8.5% 8.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-8 4.0% 4.8% 4.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-9 6.1% 4.9% 4.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.8
10-10 8.9% 2.5% 2.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7
9-11 11.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.1 0.1 11.0
8-12 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.2
7-13 14.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-14 13.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.0
4-16 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-17 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%