USC
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#34
Expected Predictive Rating+18.0#19
Pace74.8#52
Improvement-2.7#335

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#29
First Shot+7.5#21
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#129
Layup/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows+6.4#1
Improvement-0.8#242

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#58
First Shot+3.2#73
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#90
Layups/Dunks-0.5#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#55
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement-1.9#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 10.0% 10.4% 3.7%
Top 6 Seed 31.6% 32.5% 17.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 80.0% 80.8% 67.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 79.7% 80.6% 66.8%
Average Seed 7.2 7.1 7.9
.500 or above 98.7% 98.9% 94.7%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 63.8% 51.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Four6.6% 6.5% 7.8%
First Round76.5% 77.4% 62.8%
Second Round45.6% 46.4% 33.3%
Sweet Sixteen15.6% 16.0% 9.1%
Elite Eight5.2% 5.3% 3.8%
Final Four1.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Championship Game0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 93.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 26 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 016 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 249 Cal Poly W 94-64 96%     1 - 0 +21.9 +2.5 +14.8
  Sun, Nov 9 321 Manhattan W 114-83 98%     2 - 0 +18.5 +15.0 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 14 90 Illinois St. W 87-67 76%     3 - 0 +25.7 +17.4 +8.6
  Thu, Nov 20 147 Troy W 107-106 3OT 92%     4 - 0 -1.3 +1.5 -3.0
  Mon, Nov 24 46 Boise St. W 70-67 58%     5 - 0 +14.0 +4.5 +9.4
  Tue, Nov 25 56 Seton Hall W 83-81 63%     6 - 0 +11.6 +18.1 -6.5
  Wed, Nov 26 61 Arizona St. W 88-75 65%     7 - 0 +22.1 +23.6 -0.8
  Tue, Dec 2 66 @Oregon W 82-77 56%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +16.3 +15.7 +0.7
  Sat, Dec 6 47 Washington L 76-84 69%     8 - 1 1 - 1 -0.1 +2.6 -2.4
  Tue, Dec 9 246 @San Diego W 94-81 91%     9 - 1 +11.2 +9.0 +0.7
  Sun, Dec 14 165 Washington St. W 89-73 94%    
  Wed, Dec 17 286 Texas San Antonio W 90-67 98%    
  Sun, Dec 21 219 Brown W 82-63 97%    
  Fri, Jan 2 1 @Michigan L 74-91 6%    
  Mon, Jan 5 12 @Michigan St. L 71-79 23%    
  Fri, Jan 9 103 @Minnesota W 76-70 70%    
  Tue, Jan 13 94 Maryland W 86-75 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 7 Purdue L 75-80 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 58 Northwestern W 83-76 73%    
  Sun, Jan 25 40 @Wisconsin L 81-83 43%    
  Wed, Jan 28 23 @Iowa L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 133 Rutgers W 84-70 90%    
  Tue, Feb 3 27 Indiana W 79-78 55%    
  Sun, Feb 8 104 @Penn St. W 85-79 70%    
  Wed, Feb 11 31 @Ohio St. L 79-83 37%    
  Wed, Feb 18 14 Illinois L 81-83 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 66 Oregon W 83-75 75%    
  Tue, Feb 24 30 @UCLA L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 26 Nebraska W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Mar 4 47 @Washington L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 30 UCLA W 77-75 58%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 3.6 0.8 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.8 1.8 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 5.6 2.2 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.2 0.4 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.7 1.4 0.1 7.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.6 0.2 5.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.9 10.3 13.4 15.2 15.1 12.7 9.6 5.9 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 86.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 43.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 16.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.2% 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.9% 100.0% 7.5% 92.5% 3.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.9% 100.0% 4.9% 95.1% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 9.6% 99.9% 2.3% 97.6% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.2 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-8 12.7% 99.7% 1.1% 98.6% 6.2 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.3 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-9 15.1% 98.5% 0.8% 97.7% 7.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.8 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 98.5%
10-10 15.2% 94.3% 0.5% 93.8% 8.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.7 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.9 94.3%
9-11 13.4% 81.1% 0.2% 80.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.1 3.7 1.6 0.0 2.5 81.0%
8-12 10.3% 54.0% 0.1% 53.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.4 0.1 4.7 54.0%
7-13 6.9% 21.7% 0.0% 21.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.1 5.4 21.6%
6-14 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5 3.9%
5-15 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 1.8 0.2%
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 80.0% 1.3% 78.7% 7.2 0.2 0.9 3.1 5.7 9.3 12.3 12.7 12.0 9.7 8.2 5.6 0.2 20.0 79.7%