Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#206
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#225
Pace67.8#226
Improvement+0.0#183

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#204
First Shot-2.5#246
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#109
Layup/Dunks-3.3#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#272
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement+0.2#159

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#223
First Shot-4.1#310
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#31
Layups/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#244
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 40.6% 50.0% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.7% 41.1% 30.8%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 7.8% 11.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.8% 3.4% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 411 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 238 @La Salle L 60-73 44%     0 - 1 -14.3 -8.3 -6.7
  Thu, Nov 13 56 @Seton Hall L 58-70 8%     0 - 2 +0.6 -3.5 +3.5
  Tue, Nov 18 68 @Syracuse L 73-78 10%     0 - 3 +6.1 +5.7 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 23 182 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 56%     1 - 3 -3.6 -2.0 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 28 308 Ball St. W 80-73 70%     2 - 3 -1.3 +8.4 -9.3
  Sat, Nov 29 307 Le Moyne L 79-83 70%     2 - 4 -12.3 +0.6 -13.0
  Sun, Nov 30 320 @Lafayette W 88-74 63%     3 - 4 +7.6 +12.8 -5.2
  Wed, Dec 3 255 Princeton W 63-58 70%     4 - 4 -3.3 -9.4 +6.4
  Sat, Dec 6 131 @Georgia Tech L 67-79 23%     4 - 5 -7.2 -0.5 -6.6
  Sun, Dec 14 305 @Fairfield W 74-72 57%    
  Wed, Dec 17 168 Quinnipiac W 76-75 53%    
  Sun, Dec 21 309 Lehigh W 76-68 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 226 Campbell W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 139 @Towson L 65-72 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 121 William & Mary L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 115 @Hofstra L 66-75 20%    
  Thu, Jan 15 271 Drexel W 72-66 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 211 Northeastern W 74-71 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 230 @Hampton L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 226 @Campbell L 74-76 42%    
  Thu, Jan 29 311 N.C. A&T W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 115 Hofstra L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 197 @Stony Brook L 69-72 38%    
  Thu, Feb 12 271 @Drexel L 68-69 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 139 Towson L 68-69 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 109 @UNC Wilmington L 66-76 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 172 @College of Charleston L 70-75 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 197 Stony Brook W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 192 Elon W 78-76 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 211 @Northeastern L 71-74 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.4 0.1 7.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.2 4.0 0.4 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.3 1.1 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.1 2.0 0.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.3 3.1 0.2 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.9 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.5 9.7 12.8 14.5 14.6 12.7 9.9 6.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1
14-4 51.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 19.0% 19.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 20.6% 20.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.2% 13.5% 13.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-6 4.0% 11.9% 11.9% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.5
11-7 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.2
10-8 9.9% 5.2% 5.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.4
9-9 12.7% 2.3% 2.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.4
8-10 14.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.3
7-11 14.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.1 0.1 14.4
6-12 12.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
5-13 9.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 97.1 0.0%