Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.5 303
Results Rating -9.4 314
Consistency 0.15 188
Pace 66.0 249
Improvement +4.8 27

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 282 D C- D+ F F
Defense D 302 F+ C- B- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 311 B- 61% 101 -1.8 247
2 Pt. Jumpers 62% 10 F+ 30% 361 +2.1 71
Three Pointers 33% 337 C 34% 191 -4.3 319
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.0 352 D+ -2.0 250
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 301
Second Chance C 30.0% 193 C- 1.01 211 C- 0.30 197
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 226
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 290
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 269
Freethrows F 0.23 361 F+ 67% 342 F 0.15 363
Total Offense D+ -4.2 282

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 61 A 6.2% 13
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 96 B- 4.1% 113
Three Pointers D 77% 317 C+ 0.7% 133
Total C 56% 179 A- 3.7% 19

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 164 F+ 67% 359 +4.0 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 352 B+ 33% 30 -3.3 4
Three Pointers 47% 32 F+ 39% 357 +6.5 359
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 332 F+ +6.2 358
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.17 360
Second Chance D- 35.7% 343 B 0.93 44 C- 0.33 240
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 79
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 200
Turnovers B- 18.0% 99
Freethrows C+ 0.29 137 B- 71% 101 C+ 0.20 113
Total Defense D -4.3 302

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 212 D+ 8.9% 251
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 332 A+ 16.7% 1
Three Pointers D+ 87% 282 D+ 0.5% 272
Total D 62% 323 C+ 6.1% 140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 260 16.8 89
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 161 0.22 335
Consistency 0.13 201 0.13 217
Improvement +2.5 66 +2.3 62

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 312 304 282
Results Rating Rank 322 309 285
Conference Record 8 - 12 9 - 11 9 - 11
Conference Finish 8 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 71.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 410 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 10 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 92 29% -7  4% 0 - 1 F -23 D -6 D B- F F -17 F F C
 Wed, Nov 12 83 @Marquette L 49 - 89 5% -18  6% 0 - 2 F -30 F -19 F F F F -13 F B+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 313 @Ball St. W 68 - 62 41% +2  57% 1 - 2 C -0 D -5 C+ A+ F B +5 F C A+
 Tue, Nov 18 121 @Murray St. L 68 - 89 10% -16  2% 1 - 3 F+ -15 D+ -4 F A- F F -13 F F D
 Fri, Nov 21 234 @Texas St. L 56 - 65 24% -5  5% 1 - 4 D -10 F -14 F D F B- +3 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 124 @Southern Illinois L 65 - 74 10% -1  37% 1 - 5 C- -3 B- +4 A D+ F F+ -8 F C+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 173 @Central Arkansas L 47 - 85 16% -29  1% 1 - 6 F -36 F -29 F D- F D -6 F B- B+
 Sat, Dec 6 145 Arkansas St. L 78 - 90 27% -8  1% 1 - 7 D- -14 C- -1 A F B F -13 F D D-
 Tue, Dec 9 57 @West Virginia L 58 - 90 4% -22  0% 1 - 8 F -19 C- -1 F+ B B- F -22 F C+ C
 Tue, Dec 16 279 @Morehead St. L 64 - 78 32% -10  9% 1 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -18 F -19 F D F B- +2 D- D+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 338 @Southern Indiana W 77 - 62 51% +4  73% 2 - 9 1 - 1 B- +6 C+ +3 A+ F F B +4 D D C-
 Thu, Jan 1 311 Tennessee Tech W 77 - 58 63% +5  75% 3 - 9 2 - 1 B- +7 C- -1 B D- D+ A +9 A+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 3 217 Tennessee St. L 79 - 84 41% -3  4% 3 - 10 2 - 2 D -11 D -6 F B C D -5 C+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 260 @SIU Edwardsville W 73 - 70 28% -6  6% 4 - 10 3 - 2 C +0 A- +9 C- C+ A F+ -9 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 278 @Lindenwood W 82 - 74 32% +5  88% 5 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 B B+ D+ D+ -4 F D A-
 Thu, Jan 15 317 Eastern Illinois W 74 - 63 67% -4  7% 6 - 10 5 - 2 C- -2 C+ +2 C B+ C D+ -3 D- F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 363 Western Illinois W 86 - 79 88% +6  87% 7 - 10 6 - 2 D- -14 B- +5 C- D A- F -19 F D F
 Thu, Jan 22 231 @Southeast Missouri St. L 65 - 70 23% -5  13% 7 - 11 6 - 3 D+ -6 D -6 F D+ A+ C -0 F+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 29 217 @Tennessee St. L 63 - 70 22% +2  63% 7 - 12 6 - 4 D+ -7 F -13 F A- C B+ +6 D C A-
 Sat, Jan 31 311 @Tennessee Tech L 77 - 87 40% -8  10% 7 - 13 6 - 5 F+ -16 C +1 B+ F B- F -18 F F A+
 Tue, Feb 3 214 @Tennessee Martin L 52 - 55 21% -1  25% 7 - 14 6 - 6 C- -3 F -13 D C F A +10 D+ C+ A+
 Thu, Feb 5 278 Lindenwood L 74 - 79 55% -0  36% 7 - 15 6 - 7 F+ -15 C- -1 F A+ A F -13 D- D D-
 Sat, Feb 7 260 SIU Edwardsville L 61 - 71 50% -9  0% 7 - 16 6 - 8 F -19 F -12 F+ F+ A- D- -7 F+ A D
 Thu, Feb 12 363 @Western Illinois W 77 - 58 75% +7  82% 8 - 16 7 - 8 C+ +4 D -5 F+ D+ A A +9 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 317 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 78 44% -2  25% 8 - 17 7 - 9 D- -13 C +1 D+ C+ B F -14 C- F F
 Thu, Feb 19 214 Tennessee Martin W 67 - 65 40% -2  27% 9 - 17 8 - 9 C- -4 B- +4 C+ A+ C- D- -8 B- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 231 Southeast Missouri St. L 65 - 70 44% -1  40% 9 - 18 8 - 10 D- -12 F+ -9 F F A C- -3 D+ A B+
 Thu, Feb 26 279 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 55% -9  3% 9 - 19 8 - 11 F+ -16 D- -7 F+ C B F+ -10 D+ F D
 Sat, Feb 28 338 Southern Indiana W 73 - 67 72%
Totals 10 - 19 9 - 11 -8 D+ -4 B- D+ F D -4 C F+ F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ B- F+ C D+ 34% 62% 33% F D C C- C- D+ F F+ F D F+ B+ F+ F+ 39% 14% 47% D F+ D- B C- B- C+ B- C+
1.03 61% 30% 34% -2 -2 0.94 30% 1.0 .30 18% .23 67% .15 1.15 67% 33% 39% +6 +1 1.17 36% 0.9 .33 18% .29 71% .16
Nov
10		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D D F A+ D- 52% 20% 28% C+ D D+ A+ B- F D- F+ F+ F F C+ F F 30% 16% 54% D+ F D+ F F C F F F
1.04 54% 20% 43% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.5 .39 22% .28 67% .18 1.32 73% 38% 44% +13 0 1.28 33% 1.7 .56 16% .39 78% .31
Nov
12		 Marquette F C+ F B+ F+ 36% 30% 34% D- F C F F F C+ F D- F F A+ F F 59% 4% 37% F+ F F A+ B+ C- C- A B-
0.73 59% 0% 38% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.5 .14 30% .28 54% .15 1.33 70% 0% 47% +13 +4 1.35 44% 0.6 .25 13% .31 61% .19
Nov
15		 Ball St. D A F A+ B 41% 34% 24% D- C+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F B C- D C- F 41% 11% 48% F+ F A+ F C A+ F B- D-
1.01 71% 21% 50% +5 -2 1.10 46% 1.5 .69 34% .25 45% .11 0.92 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 14% 1.5 .21 22% .36 68% .25
Nov
18		 Murray St. D+ D+ F C- F+ 48% 40% 13% F+ F A C+ A- F C+ B- B- F A+ F F F 38% 13% 50% D+ F D F F D F+ C+ D-
1.03 52% 26% 33% -8 -2 0.83 43% 1.1 .46 21% .31 75% .23 1.34 44% 83% 46% +9 +1 1.23 37% 1.4 .50 14% .40 74% .30
Nov
21		 Texas St. F F F D+ F 56% 18% 27% B- F C+ F D F B- D- C B- F B- D- F 51% 24% 24% F F F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B-
0.87 44% 25% 33% -10 +2 0.84 32% 0.7 .21 23% .36 67% .24 1.01 74% 36% 36% +9 0 1.20 39% 0.2 .07 26% .34 56% .19
Nov
29		 Southern Illinois B- A+ A+ F A+ 34% 23% 43% C- A B- F D+ F D- F F F+ D F F F 49% 17% 34% F F D- A C+ A+ F A D-
1.02 81% 55% 25% +6 -1 1.13 31% 0.8 .24 25% .23 45% .10 1.16 65% 86% 43% +16 +1 1.37 35% 0.8 .26 23% .41 60% .25
Dec
3		 Central Arkansas F F F F F 37% 24% 39% D- F C- F D- F F F F D F F+ F 33% 0% 67% F F F A+ B- B+ B- D+ C+
0.66 44% 17% 26% -15 -1 0.71 26% 0.9 .24 29% .18 22% .04 1.19 72% 39% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.7 .25 20% .24 71% .17
Dec
6		 Arkansas St. C- A+ D A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% F A F A+ F B D- F F F F A C- F 36% 7% 57% D F C- D- D D- A+ F A+
1.09 73% 33% 53% +12 -3 1.20 9% 1.3 .13 13% .27 59% .16 1.26 80% 25% 34% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.2 .44 17% .15 100% .15
Dec
9		 West Virginia C- C F C- D 27% 37% 37% F F+ B+ C+ B B- B+ F C+ F F+ F F F 41% 4% 54% F F F A+ C+ C C A+ B+
0.92 54% 17% 33% -9 -3 0.78 33% 1.0 .33 18% .31 63% .19 1.43 68% 100% 56% +25 +2 1.57 48% 0.7 .35 16% .32 53% .17
Dec
16		 Morehead St. F B- F F F 38% 32% 30% F F F A+ D F A C A B- D- A+ F D 57% 22% 22% F D- F B D+ A+ F D+ F
0.86 61% 27% 21% -8 -1 0.83 18% 1.7 .29 19% .41 72% .30 1.05 65% 20% 40% +2 +1 1.09 42% 0.8 .35 24% .44 76% .34
Dec
18		 Southern Indiana C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C A+ B F F F B+ F C B D+ A+ D+ D 38% 15% 48% F+ D A F D C- C- A+ A-
1.14 74% 50% 47% +17 +1 1.37 39% 0.2 .06 25% .38 63% .24 0.92 56% 0% 35% -6 +1 0.92 21% 1.4 .29 16% .32 44% .14
Jan
1		 Tennessee Tech C- A+ B- D A- 28% 32% 40% F B F+ B- D- D+ A+ F B+ A A A+ A A+ 23% 21% 56% B- A+ F A+ C- A D F+ F+
1.14 92% 40% 32% +9 -2 1.15 23% 1.3 .29 16% .39 68% .26 0.86 45% 10% 26% -16 -1 0.69 44% 0.8 .33 24% .33 82% .27
Jan
3		 Tennessee St. D C+ F D+ F 42% 27% 31% F F C+ A- B C A+ C- A D D A+ A B 49% 25% 26% F C+ D F F D+ D D- F+
1.06 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.2 .41 19% .48 72% .35 1.13 64% 14% 27% -6 0 0.91 35% 1.3 .45 15% .33 81% .27
Jan
8		 SIU Edwardsville A- A- D- C C+ 29% 40% 31% F C- A F+ C+ A A+ D- A F+ B D- F F 23% 28% 49% B- F F C F A+ F C- F+
1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31 1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24
Jan
10		 Lindenwood B+ A+ B- D A- 42% 34% 25% F B A+ D B+ D+ F A+ D+ D+ F+ F C F 43% 12% 45% D- F D C- D A- B F C-
1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -2 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22 1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21
Jan
15		 Eastern Illinois C+ A F B- B- 32% 30% 39% F C A C B+ C C B+ C+ D+ A C- F F+ 31% 31% 38% C+ D- D F F A+ A- D- B+
1.15 71% 31% 35% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.1 .47 19% .32 82% .27 0.98 43% 36% 41% -1 -2 0.96 30% 1.6 .47 26% .21 80% .17
Jan
17		 Western Illinois B- A+ F A+ C+ 31% 26% 43% F C- D- B- D A- F+ A+ B- F F F+ A F 39% 26% 35% D+ F F A+ D F F C F+
1.27 76% 14% 43% +6 -1 1.11 27% 1.2 .33 10% .25 100% .25 1.17 71% 43% 26% +2 -1 1.06 44% 0.7 .29 12% .39 65% .25
Jan
22		 Southeast Missouri St. D F F A+ F 37% 30% 33% F+ F D- B+ D+ A+ F D- F C F B- C+ F+ 43% 12% 45% D- F+ A A+ A+ C- D D D-
0.96 35% 25% 44% -7 -1 0.85 22% 1.3 .27 12% .28 71% .20 1.03 67% 33% 32% +2 +1 1.08 21% 0.7 .14 16% .37 71% .26
Jan
29		 Tennessee St. F D F F F 28% 30% 43% F F C+ A+ A- C F A+ F B+ D B+ C- D+ 43% 23% 34% F+ D B+ F C A- F A+ D
0.91 53% 19% 22% -15 -2 0.69 33% 1.4 .44 19% .16 89% .14 1.01 63% 30% 33% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.2 .33 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
31		 Tennessee Tech C B A+ B A- 48% 28% 24% C- B+ F+ F F B- D+ B C- F F F F F 44% 7% 49% F F F A+ F A+ F F F
1.13 65% 53% 38% +9 0 1.20 23% 0.7 .15 13% .25 80% .20 1.28 68% 67% 43% +13 +2 1.33 60% 0.7 .43 31% .45 86% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Tennessee Martin F C- C F D 41% 30% 28% C- D D A- C F F D F A F B B- D+ 20% 8% 73% D+ D+ C+ B- C+ A+ A A+ A+
0.84 58% 36% 23% -5 -1 0.89 28% 1.1 .31 27% .07 67% .04 0.89 75% 33% 31% 0 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .29 27% .22 50% .11
Feb
5		 Lindenwood C- D+ A- F F 34% 26% 40% F+ F B- A+ A+ A D+ C+ D+ F A- A F F+ 45% 25% 29% B- D- F B+ D D- F+ C D-
1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22 1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25
Feb
7		 SIU Edwardsville F A F A C- 11% 54% 35% F F+ C F F+ A- F D+ F D- F A+ F F 33% 27% 39% C- F+ A+ C A D C F F+
0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12 1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23
Feb
12		 Western Illinois D D F A+ F+ 42% 27% 31% D- F+ D+ C D+ A F F F A F A+ A+ C 43% 13% 43% F D+ A+ A+ A+ D- C A+ A
1.09 56% 19% 44% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 54% .11 0.82 65% 14% 22% -8 +1 0.89 13% 0.6 .08 14% .30 44% .13
Feb
14		 Eastern Illinois C F A- B- C 33% 33% 33% F D+ C+ C C+ B C F F+ F A A F C+ 46% 25% 29% F C- F A F F F C+ F
1.08 47% 47% 35% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 17% .32 61% .20 1.17 41% 25% 43% -7 0 0.88 49% 0.8 .39 12% .51 73% .38
Feb
19		 Tennessee Martin B- A+ F A+ B+ 23% 47% 30% F C+ C A+ A+ C- B F C D- C- A+ C+ B 31% 18% 51% C B- F A- D- F A+ D A
1.12 80% 25% 46% +5 -4 1.02 33% 1.6 .53 20% .38 61% .23 1.09 60% 11% 32% -6 0 0.90 53% 0.7 .38 15% .20 70% .14
Feb
21		 Southeast Missouri St. F+ B- F F F+ 30% 44% 26% F F D+ F F A F A+ C- C- F B+ A F+ 27% 33% 40% A+ D+ F+ A+ A B+ F C F+
0.95 60% 32% 23% -6 -4 0.82 25% 0.8 .19 13% .32 89% .29 1.03 92% 31% 26% +2 -2 1.02 33% 0.6 .21 21% .41 68% .28
Feb
26		 Morehead St. D- A D+ F D+ 26% 38% 36% F F+ D+ B C B C+ F D+ F+ F A+ B C 48% 15% 37% F D+ D- F F D D B+ C-
1.08 69% 37% 28% -1 -3 0.94 33% 1.1 .36 12% .34 63% .21 1.18 73% 0% 29% -1 +1 1.02 39% 1.5 .58 15% .35 68% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 16.5 71.7 88.1 7th
8th 10.3 10.3 8th
9th 1.6 1.6 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 28.3 71.7 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 71.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 1.2 70.4
8-12 28.3% 28.3
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 98.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.1% 24.5% 16.0 24.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.2%
Lose Out 28.3%