Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#248
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#256
Pace65.0#299
Improvement+1.2#86

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#256
First Shot-5.3#327
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#68
Layup/Dunks+3.1#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#320
Freethrows-3.2#333
Improvement+0.0#191

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#216
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#181
Layups/Dunks-1.3#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#323
Freethrows+2.7#48
Improvement+1.2#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 19.1% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 45.1% 66.2% 39.5%
.500 or above in Conference 72.2% 82.0% 69.6%
Conference Champion 17.8% 24.6% 16.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.5% 4.0%
First Four4.7% 4.6% 4.8%
First Round11.5% 17.1% 10.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 413 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-92 32%     0 - 1 -20.0 -1.3 -18.9
  Wed, Nov 12 73 @Marquette L 49-89 8%     0 - 2 -29.2 -15.4 -15.7
  Sat, Nov 15 277 @Ball St. W 68-62 44%     1 - 2 +2.7 -2.8 +5.7
  Tue, Nov 18 118 @Murray St. L 68-89 15%     1 - 3 -14.9 +0.0 -16.1
  Fri, Nov 21 203 @Texas St. L 56-65 31%     1 - 4 -8.7 -9.7 +0.2
  Sat, Nov 29 142 @Southern Illinois L 66-75 21%    
  Wed, Dec 3 317 @Central Arkansas W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Dec 6 172 Arkansas St. L 75-76 47%    
  Tue, Dec 9 71 @West Virginia L 57-73 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 310 @Morehead St. W 70-69 50%    
  Thu, Dec 18 314 @Southern Indiana W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 322 Tennessee Tech W 72-65 73%    
  Sat, Jan 3 224 Tennessee St. W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Jan 8 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-68 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 306 @Lindenwood W 71-70 50%    
  Thu, Jan 15 329 Eastern Illinois W 70-62 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 353 Western Illinois W 72-61 83%    
  Thu, Jan 22 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 263 @Tennessee Martin L 67-69 41%    
  Thu, Jan 29 224 @Tennessee St. L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 322 @Tennessee Tech W 69-68 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 306 Lindenwood W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 204 SIU Edwardsville W 66-65 53%    
  Thu, Feb 12 353 @Western Illinois W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 329 @Eastern Illinois W 67-65 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 263 Tennessee Martin W 70-66 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 Southeast Missouri St. W 71-70 55%    
  Thu, Feb 26 310 Morehead St. W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 314 Southern Indiana W 75-69 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.1 4.5 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 17.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.4 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.0 0.8 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.7 0.9 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.1 0.8 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 1.0 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.2 7.2 8.7 10.9 11.8 12.1 11.0 9.4 7.3 5.0 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 99.7% 1.2    1.2 0.0
17-3 97.1% 2.8    2.6 0.2
16-4 82.8% 4.2    3.4 0.7 0.0
15-5 61.8% 4.5    2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 33.0% 3.1    1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-7 11.3% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.8% 17.8 11.7 4.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 42.9% 42.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.5% 51.7% 51.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.2% 45.6% 45.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.9% 42.0% 42.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.7
16-4 5.0% 40.5% 40.5% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 3.0
15-5 7.3% 30.9% 30.9% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.2 5.0
14-6 9.4% 25.5% 25.5% 15.7 0.1 0.6 1.8 7.0
13-7 11.0% 18.5% 18.5% 15.9 0.3 1.8 8.9
12-8 12.1% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 10.6
11-9 11.8% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.1
10-10 10.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 10.5
9-11 8.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.5
8-12 7.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.2
7-13 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-14 3.1% 3.1
5-15 1.9% 1.9
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.8 8.6 86.3 0.0%