Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#47
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#27
Pace73.0#104
Improvement+0.7#119

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#52
First Shot+2.6#99
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#22
Layup/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#75
Freethrows+0.8#132
Improvement+0.2#154

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#62
First Shot+3.9#67
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#158
Layups/Dunks-6.2#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#44
Freethrows+3.5#15
Improvement+0.5#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 10.7% 11.6% 3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.2% 53.3% 33.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.4% 50.4% 31.6%
Average Seed 8.3 8.2 9.0
.500 or above 87.8% 89.9% 70.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.8% 62.4% 47.1%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.1% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.7% 8.4%
First Four8.4% 8.4% 7.7%
First Round46.7% 48.7% 29.3%
Second Round23.6% 24.9% 13.1%
Sweet Sixteen6.5% 6.9% 2.8%
Elite Eight2.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Final Four0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 89.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 410 - 11
Quad 35 - 115 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 314 Southern Indiana W 88-58 97%     1 - 0 +18.8 +6.0 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 8 355 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 98%     2 - 0 +16.0 +4.0 +4.7
  Tue, Nov 11 340 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +18.0 +13.2 +3.4
  Sat, Nov 15 42 @SMU L 85-87 34%     3 - 1 +12.9 +13.4 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 21 88 South Carolina W 79-72 66%     4 - 1 +13.4 +10.0 +3.4
  Sun, Nov 23 39 Virginia W 80-73 45%     5 - 1 +19.0 +12.4 +6.7
  Fri, Nov 28 146 Wright St. W 80-67 90%    
  Tue, Dec 2 209 Eastern Michigan W 82-65 94%    
  Sat, Dec 6 61 Boise St. W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Dec 13 75 Providence W 88-82 71%    
  Tue, Dec 16 8 @Connecticut L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Dec 20 56 Northwestern W 76-75 54%    
  Mon, Dec 22 349 NJIT W 88-63 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 45 @Creighton L 75-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 41 Villanova W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Jan 6 15 St. John's L 80-84 35%    
  Wed, Jan 14 85 @Xavier W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 76 @Seton Hall W 71-70 51%    
  Tue, Jan 20 109 DePaul W 81-71 81%    
  Fri, Jan 23 73 Marquette W 83-77 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 15 @St. John's L 77-87 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 79 Georgetown W 80-74 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 75 @Providence L 85-86 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 73 @Marquette L 79-80 49%    
  Wed, Feb 11 8 Connecticut L 72-78 30%    
  Sun, Feb 15 76 Seton Hall W 73-67 70%    
  Wed, Feb 18 79 @Georgetown W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 85 Xavier W 80-73 72%    
  Wed, Feb 25 41 @Villanova L 70-74 35%    
  Wed, Mar 4 45 Creighton W 78-75 58%    
  Sat, Mar 7 109 @DePaul W 78-74 63%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.8 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.9 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 5.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.7 4.6 1.4 0.2 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.4 4.1 1.0 0.1 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.6 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 3.0 4.7 7.3 9.8 12.0 12.7 12.1 11.7 9.1 6.7 4.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 76.2% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 47.6% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
15-5 20.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 30.3% 69.7% 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.2% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.5% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.5% 99.8% 16.4% 83.4% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-6 6.7% 97.8% 12.2% 85.7% 7.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 97.6%
13-7 9.1% 93.7% 10.4% 83.4% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.6 93.0%
12-8 11.7% 84.6% 6.5% 78.1% 8.9 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 2.7 2.5 0.9 0.0 1.8 83.5%
11-9 12.1% 69.4% 4.0% 65.4% 9.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.0 1.8 0.1 3.7 68.2%
10-10 12.7% 48.0% 3.6% 44.4% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 2.1 0.1 6.6 46.1%
9-11 12.0% 21.6% 1.4% 20.2% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.4 20.5%
8-12 9.8% 5.9% 1.1% 4.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 9.2 4.9%
7-13 7.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 7.2 0.5%
6-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 51.2% 5.5% 45.8% 8.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.9 6.0 8.0 9.1 9.9 7.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 48.8 48.4%