Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#271
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#272
Pace71.4#138
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#269
First Shot-7.9#359
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#12
Layup/Dunks-0.9#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.0#360
Freethrows+2.1#70
Improvement+0.1#168

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#243
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#255
Layups/Dunks-4.3#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#13
Freethrows-1.5#265
Improvement-0.3#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 13.8% 27.1% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 24.7% 33.5% 22.5%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 11.3% 18.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 83 - 14
Quad 49 - 512 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 67 @California L 60-87 6%     0 - 1 -15.7 -10.6 -3.9
  Tue, Nov 11 353 Western Illinois W 74-58 82%     1 - 1 +0.5 -3.0 +4.3
  Fri, Nov 14 49 @Mississippi L 60-82 5%     1 - 2 -8.6 -0.3 -11.0
  Mon, Nov 17 156 @Portland St. L 80-93 21%     1 - 3 -10.3 +5.7 -15.2
  Sat, Nov 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86-70 95%     2 - 3 -9.0 -3.5 -6.5
  Tue, Nov 25 55 @Florida St. L 59-89 5%     2 - 4 -17.3 -14.2 +1.0
  Sun, Nov 30 153 @Fresno St. L 71-80 21%    
  Thu, Dec 4 220 @Cal St. Northridge L 76-81 31%    
  Sat, Dec 6 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 68-78 18%    
  Thu, Dec 11 155 North Dakota St. L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Dec 13 264 Pepperdine W 75-72 60%    
  Tue, Dec 23 168 Idaho L 71-73 44%    
  Thu, Jan 1 133 UC Irvine L 67-72 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 178 @UC Davis L 67-74 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 257 UC Riverside W 74-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 298 @Long Beach St. L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 141 UC Santa Barbara L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 96 UC San Diego L 71-79 23%    
  Fri, Jan 23 110 @Hawaii L 67-79 13%    
  Thu, Jan 29 245 Cal Poly W 83-81 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 178 UC Davis L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Feb 5 133 @UC Irvine L 64-75 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 324 @Cal St. Fullerton L 81-82 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 110 Hawaii L 70-76 28%    
  Thu, Feb 19 257 @UC Riverside L 71-75 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 85-79 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 96 @UC San Diego L 68-82 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 298 Long Beach St. W 76-71 66%    
  Thu, Mar 5 220 Cal St. Northridge W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 245 @Cal Poly L 80-84 35%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 2.7 0.8 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.6 0.8 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.4 4.3 1.0 0.1 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 6.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.4 6.0 3.9 0.9 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 4.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.4 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.8 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.0 7.5 9.9 12.4 13.3 12.5 11.4 9.0 6.2 4.4 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 0.0%
17-3 78.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 60.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 17.9% 17.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 17.9% 17.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.5% 13.0% 13.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
13-7 2.6% 6.2% 6.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-8 4.4% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.2
11-9 6.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.1
10-10 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 9.0
9-11 11.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.4
8-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.4
7-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-14 12.4% 12.4
5-15 9.9% 9.9
4-16 7.5% 7.5
3-17 5.0% 5.0
2-18 2.3% 2.3
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%