Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#220
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#199
Pace79.2#20
Improvement+0.5#138

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#211
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#74
Layup/Dunks+2.9#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#276
Freethrows-1.2#252
Improvement-0.5#238

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#231
First Shot+0.6#142
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#317
Layups/Dunks-0.1#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#239
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement+1.0#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.5% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 32.5% 42.7% 21.4%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 49.4% 36.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 6.5% 10.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.6% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Neutral) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 410 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 90 @Northern Iowa L 57-86 12%     0 - 1 -20.1 -10.2 -9.1
  Sun, Nov 9 319 @North Dakota W 93-85 57%     1 - 1 +2.5 +11.5 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 11 155 @North Dakota St. L 68-90 27%     1 - 2 -19.2 -11.1 -5.3
  Sun, Nov 16 131 Troy W 94-85 40%     2 - 2 +8.0 +17.6 -10.0
  Wed, Nov 26 168 Idaho L 64-78 40%     2 - 3 -15.1 -12.7 -1.7
  Fri, Nov 28 230 Idaho St. W 74-73 52%    
  Thu, Dec 4 271 Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-76 69%    
  Sat, Dec 6 133 @UC Irvine L 70-79 20%    
  Wed, Dec 10 153 Fresno St. L 80-81 48%    
  Sat, Dec 13 241 @Delaware L 77-79 43%    
  Mon, Dec 22 272 Sacramento St. W 84-79 69%    
  Sat, Dec 27 95 @Stanford L 76-88 14%    
  Thu, Jan 1 178 @UC Davis L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 141 UC Santa Barbara L 77-79 44%    
  Thu, Jan 8 245 Cal Poly W 89-85 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 324 @Cal St. Fullerton W 88-86 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 96 @UC San Diego L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Jan 17 298 Long Beach St. W 82-75 73%    
  Sun, Jan 25 110 @Hawaii L 73-83 18%    
  Thu, Jan 29 178 UC Davis W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 96 UC San Diego L 77-83 29%    
  Thu, Feb 5 245 @Cal Poly L 86-88 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 257 UC Riverside W 80-75 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 110 Hawaii L 76-80 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 74-82 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 298 @Long Beach St. W 79-78 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 133 UC Irvine L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 257 @UC Riverside L 77-78 44%    
  Thu, Mar 5 271 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 78-79 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 324 Cal St. Fullerton W 91-83 76%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.4 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.8 1.6 0.2 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.6 4.4 1.4 0.1 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.1 2.8 0.6 0.1 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.8 2.0 0.4 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.8 6.1 8.6 10.5 12.2 12.6 11.7 10.4 7.9 6.0 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 84.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 53.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 28.6% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 48.5% 48.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 26.8% 26.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.9% 28.0% 28.0% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 2.1% 19.5% 19.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.7
14-6 3.6% 13.7% 13.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.1
13-7 6.0% 8.1% 8.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.5
12-8 7.9% 4.1% 4.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.6
11-9 10.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.2
10-10 11.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.5
9-11 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 12.5
8-12 12.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
6-14 8.6% 8.6
5-15 6.1% 6.1
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 1.8% 1.8
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 97.3 0.0%