California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#62
Pace66.5#266
Improvement+0.3#149

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#193
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#261
Layup/Dunks+3.3#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-1.7#324

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#95
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#13
Layups/Dunks-4.3#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#22
Freethrows-1.5#266
Improvement+2.0#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.4% 25.4% 19.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.9 13.3
.500 or above 94.8% 98.0% 91.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.8% 91.4% 84.4%
Conference Champion 23.7% 27.6% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round22.4% 25.4% 19.5%
Second Round2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 416 - 322 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 316 South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 88%     1 - 0 +0.7 +8.1 -7.6
  Fri, Nov 7 133 @UC Irvine W 69-61 37%     2 - 0 +12.9 +3.0 +9.7
  Fri, Nov 14 353 Western Illinois W 69-59 93%     3 - 0 -5.5 -3.3 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 257 UC Riverside W 80-57 82%     4 - 0 +14.8 -3.1 +16.0
  Fri, Nov 21 290 Grambling St. W 72-59 86%     5 - 0 +2.8 +1.3 +2.6
  Tue, Nov 25 247 San Diego W 76-61 73%     6 - 0 +10.2 -0.8 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 29 169 @Oregon St. L 66-67 49%    
  Mon, Dec 1 72 @Colorado L 68-77 19%    
  Wed, Dec 3 7 BYU L 62-80 5%    
  Sat, Dec 6 125 @Utah L 70-74 35%    
  Fri, Dec 12 240 @Eastern Washington W 74-71 61%    
  Tue, Dec 16 197 Southern W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Dec 20 272 Sacramento St. W 78-67 83%    
  Mon, Dec 29 89 @Utah Valley L 66-73 25%    
  Thu, Jan 1 184 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 195 @Tarleton St. W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Jan 8 281 Utah Tech W 72-61 84%    
  Sat, Jan 10 331 Southern Utah W 79-65 90%    
  Thu, Jan 15 252 @Abilene Christian W 66-62 63%    
  Wed, Jan 21 281 Utah Tech W 72-61 84%    
  Sat, Jan 24 89 Utah Valley L 69-70 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 184 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 195 Tarleton St. W 74-67 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 252 Abilene Christian W 69-59 80%    
  Thu, Feb 12 331 @Southern Utah W 76-68 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 281 @Utah Tech W 69-64 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 89 @Utah Valley L 66-73 26%    
  Thu, Feb 26 184 Texas Arlington W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 195 Tarleton St. W 74-67 73%    
  Thu, Mar 5 252 Abilene Christian W 69-59 80%    
  Sat, Mar 7 331 @Southern Utah W 76-68 76%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 5.9 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 23.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.9 10.1 9.6 5.5 1.6 0.1 36.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.3 6.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 21.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.5 5.6 8.4 10.7 14.2 14.9 13.6 11.5 8.2 4.2 1.7 0.5 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7
16-2 96.5% 4.1    3.6 0.4
15-3 80.6% 6.6    5.0 1.6 0.0
14-4 51.3% 5.9    3.5 2.3 0.1
13-5 25.0% 3.4    1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 9.5% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.7% 23.7 16.0 6.7 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 57.6% 54.7% 2.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6.3%
17-1 1.7% 52.6% 52.6% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-2 4.2% 51.5% 51.1% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 0.6%
15-3 8.2% 41.5% 41.5% 12.6 0.1 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.8
14-4 11.5% 34.2% 34.2% 12.9 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.0 7.5
13-5 13.6% 29.1% 29.1% 13.1 0.0 0.8 1.9 1.1 0.2 9.6
12-6 14.9% 22.9% 22.9% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.5
11-7 14.2% 15.2% 15.2% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 12.1
10-8 10.7% 11.1% 11.1% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 9.5
9-9 8.4% 7.1% 7.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.8
8-10 5.6% 5.3% 5.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.3
7-11 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.4 0.1 0.1 3.4
6-12 1.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.4% 22.4% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 5.7 8.6 5.3 1.8 0.2 77.6 0.0%