Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#282
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#259
Pace72.1#119
Improvement+2.1#36

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#266
First Shot-1.9#221
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#279
Layup/Dunks-4.2#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#11
Freethrows-2.6#319
Improvement+0.9#88

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#274
First Shot-2.0#245
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#263
Layups/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#84
Freethrows-0.1#195
Improvement+1.2#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 4.3% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 18.3% 41.6% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 18.1% 27.4% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 15.7% 9.9% 16.2%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round1.5% 3.4% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 49 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 63 @Virginia Tech L 67-98 6%     0 - 1 -19.5 -7.5 -8.8
  Mon, Nov 10 358 @The Citadel W 96-86 66%     1 - 1 -0.8 +12.2 -13.3
  Thu, Nov 13 293 @Alabama A&M L 64-68 42%     1 - 2 -8.3 -8.7 +0.3
  Fri, Nov 14 306 Lindenwood L 77-83 55%     1 - 3 -13.9 -5.5 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 18 355 IU Indianapolis W 103-91 82%     2 - 3 -4.0 +4.7 -10.6
  Fri, Nov 21 259 @East Carolina W 77-65 34%     3 - 3 +9.7 +4.7 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 28 88 @South Carolina L 65-81 7%    
  Tue, Dec 2 263 @Tennessee Martin L 70-74 35%    
  Thu, Dec 18 341 North Florida W 86-78 76%    
  Sun, Dec 21 160 @Furman L 68-77 20%    
  Sun, Dec 28 115 @Richmond L 69-82 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 218 UNC Asheville W 76-75 50%    
  Wed, Jan 7 105 @Winthrop L 72-86 10%    
  Sat, Jan 10 86 High Point L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Jan 14 316 South Carolina Upstate W 79-74 67%    
  Wed, Jan 21 275 @Presbyterian L 67-70 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 @Longwood L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 273 Radford W 81-78 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 86 @High Point L 71-87 8%    
  Sat, Feb 7 316 @South Carolina Upstate L 76-77 46%    
  Thu, Feb 12 275 Presbyterian W 70-67 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 273 @Radford L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 260 Longwood W 78-76 57%    
  Thu, Feb 26 105 Winthrop L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 218 @UNC Asheville L 73-79 30%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 4.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.5 4.3 6.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.3 7.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 17.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.7 8.8 2.9 0.3 20.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.5 7.4 7.0 2.2 0.2 21.3 8th
9th 0.5 1.7 2.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 8.0 9th
Total 0.6 2.6 6.4 11.4 15.1 16.8 15.6 13.3 8.9 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 17.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 3.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.3% 21.3% 21.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.8% 13.1% 13.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 2.6% 7.6% 7.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
9-7 5.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.3
8-8 8.9% 3.6% 3.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.5
7-9 13.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.1 0.2 13.0
6-10 15.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 15.3
5-11 16.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.7
4-12 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.1
3-13 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
2-14 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
1-15 2.6% 2.6
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%