Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.1 #217
Expected Predictive Rating -3.4 #222
Pace 75.9 #37
Improvement +3.9 #26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #238 C+ D- C D- B+
Defense #183 A- C+ F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #212 1.13 #218 -1.3 #228
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% #343 0.72 #224 -3.9 #342
Three Pointers 52% #15 1.05 #137 +6.6 #22
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #143 +1.4 #142
Freethrows 15.2 #290 66% #344 10.0 #324
Second Chance 27.8% #260 0.86 #348 0.24 #331
Turnovers 17.0% #207
Total Offense -2.6 #238

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #92 1.03 #41 +0.7 #147
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #43 0.67 #72 -1.1 #265
Three Pointers 32% #356 0.95 #102 +5.6 #15
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #38 +5.3 #38
Freethrows 20.5 #317 70% #92 14.4 #67
Second Chance 29.6% #137 1.03 #157 0.30 #144
Turnovers 11.3% #364
Total Defense -0.5 #183

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #44 -0.9% #98
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.4% #170 -9.6% #35
Possession Length 15.1 #27 16.7 #81
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #264 0.16 #145
Improvement +1.0 #126 +3.0 #36

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 5.7% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 64.7% 71.6% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 68.7% 37.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.9%
First Round5.1% 5.5% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 9
Quad 413 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 64 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 9% -13  0 - 1 -19 -7 C- F D+ -9 B F F
 Mon, Nov 10 358 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 80% +0  1 - 1 -2 +12 B C C+ -14 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 300 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 58% -5  1 - 2 -9 -10 D- C- F +1 A- F A
 Fri, Nov 14 252 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 59% +6  1 - 3 -11 -5 B- F F -6 D A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 353 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 89% +13  2 - 3 -4 +5 A- C D -11 B C F
 Fri, Nov 21 262 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 49% +7  3 - 3 +9 +5 A F A+ +4 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 69 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 10% -4  3 - 4 -1 -6 D+ F C +5 A+ C F
 Tue, Dec 2 225 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 40% +7  3 - 5 -17 -12 F F F -6 C A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 8 361 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 91% +15  4 - 5 +22 +6 B- F D+ +17 A+ A+ C
 Thu, Dec 18 350 North Florida W 113 - 90 88% +12  5 - 5 +7 +14 A+ F D+ -10 C+ B F
 Sun, Dec 21 147 @Furman L 76 - 84 26% -6  5 - 6 -4 +1 C+ F A- -5 A- D- F
 Sun, Dec 28 116 @Richmond W 77 - 72 19% +4  6 - 6 +11 +3 C D+ C- +7 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 362 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 83% -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 -3 +5 C C D -9 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 218 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 62% +6  8 - 6 2 - 0 -3 +7 A+ A F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 143 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 25% +2  8 - 7 2 - 1 +0 -3 F B+ A+ +3 A B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 87 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 26% +2  8 - 8 2 - 2 +2 -3 C- F A+ +5 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 299 South Carolina Upstate W 80 - 72 78%
 Wed, Jan 21 292 @Presbyterian W 71 - 70 56%
 Sat, Jan 24 270 @Longwood W 79 - 78 51%
 Thu, Jan 29 254 Radford W 86 - 81 69%
 Wed, Feb 4 87 @High Point L 75 - 88 12%
 Sat, Feb 7 299 @South Carolina Upstate W 77 - 75 57%
 Thu, Feb 12 292 Presbyterian W 74 - 67 75%
 Sat, Feb 14 254 @Radford L 83 - 84 48%
 Sat, Feb 21 270 Longwood W 81 - 75 72%
 Thu, Feb 26 143 Winthrop L 79 - 80 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 218 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 76 39%
Totals 14 - 13 8 - 7 -3 -3 C+ D- C -1 A- C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.1 1.4 0.1 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 8.7 7.8 2.4 0.2 21.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 9.2 8.6 1.4 0.0 21.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 7.8 8.7 1.3 0.0 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 6.0 7.0 1.1 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.0 11.9 17.7 21.1 19.4 12.6 6.6 1.7 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 59.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 9.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 29.8% 29.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.7% 14.3% 14.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-5 6.6% 11.4% 11.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 5.8
10-6 12.6% 8.6% 8.6% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.5
9-7 19.4% 5.9% 5.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 18.2
8-8 21.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 20.2
7-9 17.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.2 0.3 17.1
6-10 11.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.6
5-11 6.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
4-12 2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-13 0.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 14.9 94.7 0.0%