Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.8 #280
Expected Predictive Rating -4.3 #233
Pace 69.6 #170
Improvement -0.6 #222

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #119 C C+ B C F
Defense #362 D- F F C+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #318 1.12 #224 -3.8 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #51 0.81 #101 +3.6 #33
Three Pointers 39% #219 1.11 #53 +1.0 #138
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #163 +0.8 #161
Freethrows 17.3 #193 75% #98 13.1 #152
Second Chance 30.2% #199 1.15 #69 0.35 #121
Turnovers 14.8% #74
Total Offense +2.0 #119

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #50 1.24 #272 -4.7 #323
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #304 0.78 #229 +1.3 #89
Three Pointers 40% #219 1.12 #317 -1.6 #256
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #326 -4.9 #326
Freethrows 17.0 #176 70% #66 11.9 #220
Second Chance 36.6% #345 1.19 #327 0.44 #357
Turnovers 13.2% #340
Total Defense -8.7 #362

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.7% #326 1.8% #332
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.3% #119 7.8% #315
Possession Length 17.5 #190 16.8 #100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #345 0.19 #258
Improvement -2.2 #310 +1.6 #90

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.4% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 5.5% 7.7% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.2% 40.9% 16.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 7.0% 23.1%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.7%
First Round2.2% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 65.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 47 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 121 @Seattle L 73 - 84 13% -6  0 - 1 -6 +0 C C+ F -5 B D D+
 Thu, Nov 6 46 @Washington L 70 - 84 4% -8  0 - 2 +0 +3 A D- D -3 D+ D D
 Sun, Nov 9 161 @Montana St. W 75 - 73 18% -2  1 - 2 +5 +10 A+ A+ F -5 C+ F F
 Sat, Nov 15 332 Texas San Antonio L 79 - 84 75% -4  1 - 3 -19 +8 A- F A+ -27 F F D-
 Fri, Nov 21 97 @Colorado St. W 83 - 81 9% +2  2 - 3 +10 +24 A+ C A+ -14 C F C
 Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73 - 103 0% -23  2 - 4 -3 +9 B- A+ D -9 F D A-
 Wed, Nov 26 96 @Wyoming L 59 - 101 9% -16  2 - 5 -34 -12 F B- C+ -22 D F F
 Wed, Dec 3 255 Eastern Washington W 93 - 89 57% +0  3 - 5 -4 +15 A F A+ -19 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 196 @Idaho St. L 79 - 93 24% -6  3 - 6 -13 +7 C A+ C -21 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 231 Cal St. Fullerton L 86 - 105 50% -19  3 - 7 -26 +2 F A+ B+ -26 F F C
 Sat, Dec 20 174 @Northern Colorado W 86 - 79 20% -2  4 - 7 +9 +11 A+ F C -2 B- C- F
 Mon, Dec 22 93 @Tulsa L 85 - 90 8% -4  4 - 8 +4 +5 D A+ F -1 A+ D- D-
 Wed, Dec 31 346 UMKC W 87 - 74 78% +12  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +8 C C- A+ -10 C F F
 Sun, Jan 4 128 @St. Thomas L 88 - 92 14% -3  5 - 9 1 - 1 +1 +14 B- A+ A -13 C F F
 Thu, Jan 8 176 @South Dakota St. L 79 - 87 21% -1  5 - 10 1 - 2 -6 +7 D+ C+ A+ -13 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 282 @South Dakota L 72 - 82 39% -2  5 - 11 1 - 3 -14 -5 F D+ C -9 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 298 Oral Roberts W 81 - 77 65%
 Thu, Jan 22 148 North Dakota St. L 77 - 81 34%
 Sat, Jan 24 319 North Dakota W 84 - 78 70%
 Wed, Jan 28 346 @UMKC W 80 - 78 58%
 Sat, Jan 31 258 Nebraska Omaha W 83 - 81 56%
 Thu, Feb 5 148 @North Dakota St. L 74 - 84 17%
 Sat, Feb 7 319 @North Dakota L 81 - 82 49%
 Thu, Feb 12 176 South Dakota St. L 80 - 83 40%
 Sat, Feb 14 258 @Nebraska Omaha L 80 - 84 35%
 Thu, Feb 19 282 South Dakota W 88 - 85 61%
 Sat, Feb 21 128 St. Thomas L 79 - 85 30%
 Thu, Feb 26 298 @Oral Roberts L 78 - 80 44%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -7 +2 C C+ B -9 D- F F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.1 3.2 8.0 5.3 1.1 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.1 3.1 9.7 5.4 0.7 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 9.3 5.7 0.6 0.0 17.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 7.8 6.0 0.6 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.9 4.5 0.6 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.8 9th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.8 9.4 14.8 19.1 19.3 15.6 9.9 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 38.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.3% 16.7% 16.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.7% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
10-6 4.7% 8.5% 8.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 4.3
9-7 9.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.1 0.4 9.4
8-8 15.6% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.9
7-9 19.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.6 18.7
6-10 19.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 18.8
5-11 14.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.7
4-12 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.3
3-13 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-14 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.8 97.0 0.0%