East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#308
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#249
Pace68.2#229
Improvement+1.6#62

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#337
First Shot-4.0#290
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#310
Layup/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#84
Freethrows-3.5#340
Improvement+0.4#143

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#222
First Shot-2.3#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#160
Layups/Dunks-1.2#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#252
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement+1.2#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 2.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 16.0 15.0
.500 or above 8.3% 32.0% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 17.0% 38.7% 16.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 29.7% 9.3% 29.8%
First Four0.1% 2.7% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 49 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 101 @New Mexico L 54-76 8%     0 - 1 -14.3 -18.9 +6.7
  Sun, Nov 9 110 @Hawaii L 74-100 9%     0 - 2 -19.5 +0.5 -17.4
  Fri, Nov 14 213 @Rice L 64-71 23%     0 - 3 -7.3 -5.0 -2.7
  Mon, Nov 24 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-65 63%     1 - 3 -6.4 -6.4 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 346 Army W 84-67 64%     2 - 3 +5.4 +5.9 -0.2
  Fri, Dec 5 8 @Connecticut L 55-85 0.3%   
  Sun, Dec 7 317 Central Arkansas W 71-68 63%    
  Fri, Dec 12 82 @McNeese St. L 59-77 5%    
  Mon, Dec 15 250 @SE Louisiana L 64-70 29%    
  Sun, Dec 21 60 @Texas A&M L 65-85 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 139 Stephen F. Austin L 66-72 28%    
  Wed, Dec 31 199 Lamar L 64-67 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 270 @Nicholls St. L 66-71 32%    
  Mon, Jan 5 205 @New Orleans L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-75 42%    
  Mon, Jan 12 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 276 @Houston Christian L 64-69 34%    
  Mon, Jan 19 192 @Incarnate Word L 65-74 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 @Northwestern St. L 66-70 35%    
  Mon, Jan 26 199 @Lamar L 61-70 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 270 Nicholls St. W 69-68 53%    
  Mon, Feb 2 205 New Orleans L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 285 Northwestern St. W 69-67 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 82 McNeese St. L 62-74 15%    
  Mon, Feb 16 250 SE Louisiana L 66-67 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 192 Incarnate Word L 68-71 40%    
  Mon, Feb 23 276 Houston Christian W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-78 24%    
  Mon, Mar 2 226 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-72 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 0.7 0.1 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.2 1.1 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.9 1.6 0.1 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.8 2.1 0.2 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.4 5.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 16.9 11th
12th 0.3 1.6 3.1 5.3 5.5 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 21.7 12th
Total 0.3 1.6 3.2 6.1 8.5 10.8 11.9 12.2 11.3 9.5 7.6 6.0 4.5 2.8 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2
19-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 55.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-5 32.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1
16-6 11.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2
19-3 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.1% 41.7% 41.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.2% 10.0% 10.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-6 0.5% 5.2% 5.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-7 1.1% 6.8% 6.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 1.0
14-8 1.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
13-9 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
12-10 4.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.4
11-11 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 5.9
10-12 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.6
9-13 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.5
8-14 11.3% 11.3
7-15 12.2% 12.2
6-16 11.9% 11.9
5-17 10.8% 10.8
4-18 8.5% 8.5
3-19 6.1% 6.1
2-20 3.2% 3.2
1-21 1.6% 1.6
0-22 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%