Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.3 #162
Expected Predictive Rating -2.7 #215
Pace 62.9 #333
Improvement +4.4 #18

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #185 B D+ D F C
Defense #150 C- C+ C B+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #127 1.17 #166 +1.3 #131
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #187 0.80 #111 +0.2 #165
Three Pointers 40% #207 1.14 #30 +2.0 #117
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #90 +3.5 #91
Freethrows 11.5 #361 85% #1 9.8 #328
Second Chance 27.5% #268 1.01 #234 0.28 #272
Turnovers 18.5% #292
Total Offense -0.7 #185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #88 1.20 #231 -2.9 #278
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #215 0.72 #130 +0.9 #135
Three Pointers 39% #242 1.03 #209 +0.8 #148
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #223 -1.2 #225
Freethrows 14.3 #40 73% #214 10.5 #314
Second Chance 30.2% #160 1.00 #129 0.30 #141
Turnovers 16.9% #166
Total Defense +0.4 #150

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #159 0.9% #253
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.3% #78 1.4% #214
Possession Length 18.0 #251 18.7 #343
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #260 0.15 #118
Improvement +2.1 #68 +2.3 #57

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.3% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 51.4% 59.5% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 77.1% 49.2%
Conference Champion 12.9% 16.1% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 4.5% 15.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round10.7% 12.3% 6.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 48 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 89% -6  1 - 0 -3 +8 A+ F B- -11 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 236 Northeastern L 60 - 77 74% -9  1 - 1 -24 -16 F F F -9 C D F
 Sat, Nov 15 330 @Army W 75 - 52 76% +9  2 - 1 +15 +5 A+ F F +13 A- C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 129 @Marist W 56 - 54 31% +1  3 - 1 +7 -3 D+ C- F +10 B A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 99 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 21% -2  3 - 2 +4 +17 A+ A+ D+ -13 D- C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 256 Boston University L 74 - 75 69% +2  3 - 3 -6 +1 B C- F -7 F C A+
 Wed, Nov 26 151 @Boston College L 60 - 73 36% -9  3 - 4 -10 -3 C D+ C- -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 329 Bryant W 56 - 53 89% +2  4 - 4 -10 -9 C- F F -0 A+ F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 168 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 40% -10  4 - 5 -5 -3 D+ D+ C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 147 @Furman L 69 - 79 35% -7  4 - 6 -6 +0 B F B- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 310 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 86% +16  5 - 6 +16 +14 A- A+ F +6 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 15 @St. John's L 59 - 85 4% -9  5 - 7 -6 -2 A- F D -4 D C+ A
 Sun, Dec 28 215 @Colgate W 78 - 69 49% +2  6 - 7 +9 +5 A+ F C +4 A- C- B
 Mon, Jan 5 204 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 69% -3  6 - 8 0 - 1 -14 -1 F A+ C -13 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 163 @Columbia W 79 - 54 39% +13  7 - 8 1 - 1 +27 +20 A+ B- D- +12 A+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 17 221 Princeton W 70 - 64 71%
 Mon, Jan 19 206 Penn W 76 - 71 69%
 Sat, Jan 24 193 Cornell W 84 - 79 67%
 Fri, Jan 30 248 @Brown W 66 - 64 56%
 Sat, Jan 31 94 @Yale L 68 - 77 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 204 @Dartmouth L 72 - 73 47%
 Fri, Feb 13 248 Brown W 69 - 61 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 94 Yale L 71 - 74 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 193 @Cornell L 81 - 82 45%
 Fri, Feb 27 221 @Princeton L 66 - 67 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 206 @Penn L 73 - 74 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 163 Columbia W 73 - 70 61%
Totals 13 - 14 7 - 7 +0 -1 B D+ D +0 C- C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.6 5.0 3.7 1.2 0.2 12.9 1st
2nd 0.4 5.4 9.2 4.4 0.6 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.2 10.3 3.6 0.3 19.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 9.1 3.3 0.2 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 7.3 3.7 0.2 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.6 4.0 0.2 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.2 0.4 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.3 3.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.3 14.6 18.6 19.4 15.5 9.7 4.4 1.2 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
12-2 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
11-3 85.5% 3.7    2.6 1.1 0.0
10-4 51.1% 5.0    2.0 2.4 0.6 0.0
9-5 16.5% 2.6    0.3 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 6.2 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.2% 34.1% 34.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 1.2% 28.0% 28.0% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-3 4.4% 30.0% 30.0% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 3.1
10-4 9.7% 23.9% 23.9% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.4 7.4
9-5 15.5% 19.6% 19.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 0.0 12.5
8-6 19.4% 13.5% 13.5% 14.9 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.2 16.8
7-7 18.6% 5.3% 5.3% 15.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 17.6
6-8 14.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.5
5-9 9.3% 9.3
4-10 4.8% 4.8
3-11 1.7% 1.7
2-12 0.5% 0.5
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.3 89.2 0.0%