Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#179
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#240
Pace64.8#302
Improvement+0.3#148

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#171
First Shot+2.2#110
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#325
Layup/Dunks-0.7#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#103
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#197
First Shot-4.2#316
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#24
Layups/Dunks-3.4#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#296
Freethrows+1.3#105
Improvement+0.5#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 7.9% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 43.9% 48.7% 23.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.4% 63.8% 51.3%
Conference Champion 6.5% 7.0% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 7.0% 11.5%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round7.2% 7.8% 4.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 81.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 354 New Hampshire W 86-75 91%     1 - 0 -4.9 +7.4 -12.4
  Tue, Nov 11 200 Northeastern L 60-77 65%     1 - 1 -22.4 -10.7 -12.5
  Sat, Nov 15 346 @Army W 75-52 75%     2 - 1 +14.4 +4.7 +12.0
  Sun, Nov 16 154 @Marist W 56-54 34%     3 - 1 +4.9 -4.2 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 19 100 @Penn St. L 80-84 19%     3 - 2 +3.8 +16.0 -12.5
  Sat, Nov 22 227 Boston University L 74-75 60%     3 - 3 -5.0 +2.4 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 26 127 @Boston College L 60-73 26%     3 - 4 -7.8 -2.5 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 29 302 Bryant W 74-65 81%    
  Wed, Dec 3 181 @Massachusetts L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Dec 6 160 @Furman L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Dec 20 330 Holy Cross W 75-64 85%    
  Tue, Dec 23 15 @St. John's L 65-87 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 182 @Colgate L 69-72 40%    
  Mon, Jan 5 299 Dartmouth W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 10 134 @Columbia L 69-75 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 238 Princeton W 73-67 71%    
  Mon, Jan 19 223 Penn W 77-72 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 161 Cornell W 79-77 57%    
  Fri, Jan 30 254 @Brown W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 69 @Yale L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 @Dartmouth W 75-72 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 254 Brown W 69-62 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 69 Yale L 72-78 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 161 @Cornell L 76-80 37%    
  Fri, Feb 27 238 @Princeton W 71-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 223 @Penn L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 134 Columbia L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.2 2.3 6.0 5.8 2.3 0.4 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.6 9.1 6.0 1.2 0.1 21.4 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 8.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.4 7.7 3.4 0.3 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.8 2.3 0.1 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.6 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.9 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.8 7.2 11.0 14.7 16.9 15.9 12.8 8.7 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
12-2 81.3% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
11-3 49.2% 2.3    1.0 1.2 0.1
10-4 19.0% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
9-5 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.1 2.5 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.6% 39.0% 39.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-2 2.0% 29.5% 29.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
11-3 4.6% 25.3% 25.3% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4
10-4 8.7% 15.4% 15.4% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.4
9-5 12.8% 13.5% 13.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 11.1
8-6 15.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 14.3
7-7 16.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 16.2
6-8 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.6
5-9 11.0% 11.0
4-10 7.2% 7.2
3-11 3.8% 3.8
2-12 1.4% 1.4
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.3 1.0 92.6 0.0%