Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#230
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#228
Pace61.5#352
Improvement+0.9#103

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#218
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#221
Layup/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#62
Freethrows-1.2#254
Improvement+0.6#126

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks-1.1#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement+0.3#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.7% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 25.2% 35.0% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 42.5% 49.1% 36.4%
Conference Champion 6.0% 7.7% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 12.4% 20.6%
First Four1.3% 1.1% 1.5%
First Round5.7% 7.3% 4.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Neutral) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 247 @San Diego W 71-68 41%     1 - 0 +1.2 +3.9 -2.4
  Sun, Nov 9 57 @San Diego St. L 57-73 7%     1 - 1 -3.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 116 @Seattle L 74-83 17%     1 - 2 -2.8 +14.8 -18.8
  Tue, Nov 18 59 @Santa Clara L 55-64 7%     1 - 3 +3.3 -6.1 +8.6
  Wed, Nov 26 170 Sam Houston St. L 81-84 39%     1 - 4 -4.2 +3.9 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 28 220 Cal St. Northridge L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Dec 3 335 @UMKC W 71-68 63%    
  Sat, Dec 6 300 Denver W 75-68 73%    
  Wed, Dec 10 89 @Utah Valley L 62-75 11%    
  Sun, Dec 21 178 UC Davis W 67-66 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 272 Sacramento St. W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 156 Portland St. L 69-70 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 145 @Northern Colorado L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 249 @Northern Arizona L 68-70 42%    
  Wed, Jan 14 168 @Idaho L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 240 Eastern Washington W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 22 186 @Montana St. L 64-69 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 191 @Montana L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 229 @Weber St. L 70-73 39%    
  Mon, Feb 2 156 @Portland St. L 66-73 28%    
  Thu, Feb 5 249 Northern Arizona W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 145 Northern Colorado L 70-71 46%    
  Thu, Feb 12 240 @Eastern Washington L 71-73 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 168 @Idaho L 65-71 31%    
  Thu, Feb 19 191 Montana W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 186 Montana St. W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 229 Weber St. W 73-70 60%    
  Mon, Mar 2 272 @Sacramento St. L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 4.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 2.9 0.3 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 3.9 0.4 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.3 3.9 0.5 12.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.8 3.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.6 6.3 8.6 11.1 12.3 13.0 11.9 9.8 7.9 5.8 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 95.4% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 74.6% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.1
13-5 50.8% 1.8    0.9 0.7 0.2
12-6 18.4% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
11-7 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 35.4% 35.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 28.4% 28.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.0% 29.7% 29.7% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.6% 20.6% 20.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.9
12-6 5.8% 14.8% 14.8% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.0
11-7 7.9% 11.7% 11.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 7.0
10-8 9.8% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 8.9
9-9 11.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 11.0
8-10 13.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 12.5
7-11 12.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.1
6-12 11.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.0
5-13 8.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 6.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.2
3-15 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 93.7 0.0%